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404 E Colorado St
D+ Composite 49.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0

$99,000

404 E Colorado St · Windsor, MO 65360
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · Other public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1958 0.48 ac lot $127/sqft · at area comps Est $116k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors and 1st time homeowners! This well kept and manageable 2 bed 1 bath house is in good condition and ready for a new owner! Move in ready houses in this price range don't come around often. Enjoy small town living in the centrally located Windsor Missouri, Just A 20 minute drive to Whiteman Air Force base! Home previously rented out for $600 a month. Call to set up a showing today!

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • New water heater
  • Outdoor space

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNEWLY REMODELED BATHROOMUNFINISHED BASEMENTNEW ROOFNEW WATER HEATEROUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Inside city limits
  • HOA & community: No HOA fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached single-family residence; Ranch style; Living area approximately 870 (above grade)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Full unfinished concrete basement
  • Exterior features: Patio; City lot; Paved road with public maintenance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Linoleum in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the first floor)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (first floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Ranch floor plan
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer hookup (electric) in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-746/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $88k (11.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $70k (29.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.4% in Windsor — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#288 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County R-I (town): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #270 of 324 in MO (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Windsor Elem. (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 377 students, 58% FRL); Windsor High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #356 of 521 statewide, top 71%, 326 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $99k implies a 281% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,000 (29.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.69%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,125
List price
$99,000
Delta
-14.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$49,925
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
6.41×
Total profit
$150,072
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65360

Home prices YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $657/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$147
Net cashflow
$-62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $88,013
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-6 -5% $-34 +0% $-62 +5% $-90 +10% $-118
Rent -10% $-117 -5% $-90 +0% $-62 +5% $-35 +10% $-7
Rate -1.0pp $-12 -0.5pp $-37 base $-62 +0.5pp $-88 +1.0pp $-114

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
301 E Benton St Unit B Windsor, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $700 $0.88 45d 1 0.19mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $99,000 Pending 24 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-05-08
    price $110,000
  5. 2026-05-08
    listed $110,000 Active 556-char remark
  6. 2025-07-06
    historical
  7. 2025-06-24
    price $123,000
  8. 2025-06-23
    status Active
  9. 2025-06-04
    status Pending
  10. 2025-05-24
    price $130,000
  11. 2025-05-16
    listed $135,000 Active
  12. 2021-07-27
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    Calling all investors and 1st time homeowners! This well kept and manageable 2 bed 1 bath house is in good condition and ready for a new owner! Move in ready houses in this price range don't come around often. Enjoy small town living in the centrally located Windsor Missouri, Just A 20 minute drive to Whiteman Air Force base! Home previously rented out for $600 a month. Call to set up a showing today!

  13. 2021-06-13
    listed $59,900
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    Calling all investors and 1st time homeowners! This well kept and manageable 2 bed 1 bath house is in good condition and ready for a new owner! Move in ready houses in this price range don't come around often. Enjoy small town living in the centrally located Windsor Missouri, Just A 20 minute drive to Whiteman Air Force base! Home previously rented out for $600 a month. Call to set up a showing today!

  14. 2017-02-03
    soldstatus
  15. 2016-09-19
    listed $55,900
  16. 2015-11-12
    soldstatus
  17. 2015-06-18
    listed $38,000
  18. 1987-10-01
    soldstatus $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$657 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$303/yr (+$25/mo · 46.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,400
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$657
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$672
− Management
−$672
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$2,522
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$605
After-tax cash flow
$-141/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County R-I
NCES district ID
2932110
Math proficiency
27% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$38,839
Composite
25.53/100
National rank
#7434
State rank
#270 of 324 in MO

Livability — Windsor

Score
65/100
State rank
#288
US rank
#13335

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Windsor, MO
City population
4,526
Population (ZIP)
4,526

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,584 people
By 2030
19,839 · -3.6%
By 2040
18,305 · -11.1%
By 2050
16,893 · -17.9%
By 2075
14,285 · -30.6%
By 2100
11,905 · -42.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: -11.0pp · 2024: -52.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.6 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+11.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 24.82%
Current HPI
279.7789
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+280.8% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $99,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $110,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $110,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-06 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $123,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-23 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-04 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-24 Price Changed $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $135,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-27 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-13 Listed $59,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-03 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-19 Listed $55,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-11-12 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-18 Listed $38,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $657 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…