CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4905 Fm 2709
C+ Composite 61.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

4905 Fm 2709 · Athens, TX 75752
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1983 3.11 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy country living for an affordable price! This 3 bedroom, 2bath home sits on 3.112 acres in a beautiful part of Henderson County. The home was built in 1983, has approximately 1,344 sq. ft. and is in good condition. There is a front porch with a ramp, back enclosed porch, all appliances stay, including washer & dryer. There is a 20'x40' (approximately) storage building and two other smaller storage buildings. The property has beautiful trees, with some woods on the back of the property. Survey Plat available. This is an estate and property is being sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Storage building
  • All appliances stay

Tags

FRONT PORCHBACK ENCLOSED PORCHALL APPLIANCES STAYSTORAGE BUILDINGWOODS ON THE BACK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property classified as residential manufactured home; Will not subdivide; Utility easement noted
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered or carport spaces noted; No dedicated parking features listed
  • Utilities: Co-op electric; Co-op water; Septic (septic system); Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One level; Built in 1983
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Storage; Barbed wire fencing; Utilities easement; Acreage lot (about 3.11 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Electric oven and electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bath, separate shower, and walk-in closet; Two additional bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Paneling; One living area; One dining area; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer and dryer area; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.5% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#241 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Athens ISD (town): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #548 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Central Athens (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 587 students, 76% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $142,825 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.64%
Cash-on-cash
11.96%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,254
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$35,047
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75752

Home prices YoY
-27.0%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$405

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,163
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $487 -5% $446 +0% $405 +5% $364 +10% $323
Rent -10% $272 -5% $339 +0% $405 +5% $471 +10% $537
Rate -1.0pp $478 -0.5pp $442 base $405 +0.5pp $367 +1.0pp $329

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $145,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 23 DOM
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Enjoy country living for an affordable price! This 3 bedroom, 2bath home sits on 3.112 acres in a beautiful part of Henderson County. The home was built in 1983, has approximately 1,344 sq. ft. and is in good condition. There is a front porch with a ramp, back enclosed porch, all appliances stay, including washer & dryer. There is a 20'x40' (approximately) storage building and two other smaller storage buildings. The property has beautiful trees, with some woods on the back of the property. Survey Plat available. This is an estate and property is being sold AS-IS.

  5. 2026-06-17
    status $145,000 Active 22 DOM
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Enjoy country living for an affordable price! This 3 bedroom, 2bath home sits on 3.112 acres in a beautiful part of Henderson County. The home was built in 1983, has approximately 1,344 sq. ft. and is in good condition. There is a front porch with a ramp, back enclosed porch, all appliances stay, including washer & dryer. There is a 20'x40' (approximately) storage building and two other smaller storage buildings. The property has beautiful trees, with some woods on the back of the property. Survey Plat available. This is an estate and property is being sold AS-IS.

  6. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active Option Contract 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active Option Contract 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active Option Contract 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active Option Contract 18 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active Option Contract 17 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active Option Contract 16 DOM
  13. 2026-05-14
    listed $145,000 Active 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Enjoy country living for an affordable price! This 3 bedroom, 2bath home sits on 3.112 acres in a beautiful part of Henderson County. The home was built in 1983, has approximately 1,344 sq. ft. and is in good condition. There is a front porch with a ramp, back enclosed porch, all appliances stay, including washer & dryer. There is a 20'x40' (approximately) storage building and two other smaller storage buildings. The property has beautiful trees, with some woods on the back of the property. Survey Plat available. This is an estate and property is being sold AS-IS.

  14. 2026-05-14
    listed $145,000 Active 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Enjoy country living for an affordable price! This 3 bedroom, 2bath home sits on 3.112 acres in a beautiful part of Henderson County. The home was built in 1983, has approximately 1,344 sq. ft. and is in good condition. There is a front porch with a ramp, back enclosed porch, all appliances stay, including washer & dryer. There is a 20'x40' (approximately) storage building and two other smaller storage buildings. The property has beautiful trees, with some woods on the back of the property. Survey Plat available. This is an estate and property is being sold AS-IS.

  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Enjoy country living for an affordable price! This 3 bedroom, 2bath home sits on 3.112 acres in a beautiful part of Henderson County. The home was built in 1983, has approximately 1,344 sq. ft. and is in good condition. There is a front porch with a ramp, back enclosed porch, all appliances stay, including washer & dryer. There is a 20'x40' (approximately) storage building and two other smaller storage buildings. The property has beautiful trees, with some woods on the back of the property. Survey Plat available. This is an estate and property is being sold AS-IS.

  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Enjoy country living for an affordable price! This 3 bedroom, 2bath home sits on 3.112 acres in a beautiful part of Henderson County. The home was built in 1983, has approximately 1,344 sq. ft. and is in good condition. There is a front porch with a ramp, back enclosed porch, all appliances stay, including washer & dryer. There is a 20'x40' (approximately) storage building and two other smaller storage buildings. The property has beautiful trees, with some woods on the back of the property. Survey Plat available. This is an estate and property is being sold AS-IS.

  17. 2005-08-12
    soldstatus
  18. 1977-08-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,173 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,654 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$1,481/yr (+$123/mo · 126.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,100
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,173
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,608
− Management
−$1,608
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$2,646
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$635
After-tax cash flow
$4,221/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Athens ISD
NCES district ID
4808870
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,617
Composite
28.73/100
National rank
#6680
State rank
#548 of 826 in TX

Livability — Athens

Score
72/100
State rank
#241
US rank
#5796

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
18,644
Population (ZIP)
7,391

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,471 people
By 2030
80,608 · +0.2%
By 2040
80,087 · -0.5%
By 2050
78,208 · -2.8%
By 2075
72,423 · -10.0%
By 2100
61,012 · -24.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.92%
Current HPI
200.117
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Relisted PAOR
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted HCBOR
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted GTAR
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-06-05 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-22 Pending HCBOR
  • 2026-05-22 Pending GTAR
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $145,000 GTAR
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $145,000 PAOR
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $145,000 HCBOR
  • 2005-08-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1977-08-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,173 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…