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218 E Livingston Dr 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 69.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

218 E Livingston Dr · Flint, MI 48503
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,278 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1923 40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don’t miss this wonderful opportunity to own a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character and potential. This inviting property offers comfortable living spaces, a functional layout. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Flint, with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, parks, and major roadways.

Key facts

  • 40 acre lot
  • Built 1923
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 1,278 square feet
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount available
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Subdivision: WAGNER PARK; Cross streets: Collingwood / S Saginaw

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: One and one half levels; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 35.4% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $3k; list at $30k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $29,550 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.11%
Cap rate
35.41%
Cash-on-cash
104.01%
DSCR
5.63
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$98,406
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
218 E Livingston Dr 0.00mi 4/1.0 1,278 (0%) 0mo $30,000 $23 100
149 E Linsey Blvd 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,253 (-2%) 0mo $50,000 $40 73
366 E Atherton Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,274 (-0%) 2mo $40,000 $31 71
337 Burroughs Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,256 (-2%) 11mo $79,000 $63 61
4010 Red Arrow Rd 0.42mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,320 (+3%) 13mo $150,000 $114 57
515 Leland St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,209 (-5%) 8mo $93,000 $77 56
348 E Atherton Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,205 (-6%) 15mo $136,379 $113 52
3420 Dearborn Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,283 (+0%) 14mo $144,000 $112 48
718 Neubert Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,326 (+4%) 14mo $80,000 $60 47
720 Algonquin Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,398 (+9%) 1mo $165,000 $118 42
3914 S Grand Traverse St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,125 (-12%) 13mo $67,000 $60 37
4602 Milton Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,446 (+13%) 8mo $150,000 $104 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.72×
Total profit
$48,066
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.64×
Total profit
$131,390
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,233 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $914/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$728

Break-even live

Break-even rent $311
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $745 -5% $737 +0% $728 +5% $720 +10% $711
Rent -10% $631 -5% $679 +0% $728 +5% $777 +10% $825
Rate -1.0pp $743 -0.5pp $736 base $728 +0.5pp $720 +1.0pp $712

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4428 Pengelly Rd Flint, MI 4.0 2.0 1275 $900 $0.71 44d 1 0.66mi
4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,400 $1.17 14d 1 0.70mi
3908 Cherokee Ave Flint, MI 4.0 2.5 1824 $1,350 $0.74 14d 1 0.85mi
912 Waldman Ave Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 1223 $675 $0.55 14d 1 0.89mi
805 E Hemphill Rd Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 14d 1 1.01mi
1034 McKeighan Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,250 $1.20 22d 1 1.06mi
4509 Cheyenne Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,400 $1.17 14d 1 1.12mi
132 Pine Blf Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $953 $0.99 44d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $30,000 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $30,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-05-12
    listed $30,000 Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Don’t miss this wonderful opportunity to own a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character and potential. This inviting property offers comfortable living spaces, a functional layout. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Flint, with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, parks, and major roadways.

  7. 2026-05-12
    listed $30,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Don’t miss this wonderful opportunity to own a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character and potential. This inviting property offers comfortable living spaces, a functional layout. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Flint, with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, parks, and major roadways.

  8. 2007-11-21
    soldstatus $3,000 82-char remark
    Show marketing remark (82 chars)

    See Www. Ocwen. Com For 10 Day Simultaneous Listing Period And Purchase Documents.

  9. 2007-11-21
    soldstatus $3,000
    Show marketing remark (82 chars)

    See Www. Ocwen. Com For 10 Day Simultaneous Listing Period And Purchase Documents.

  10. 2007-11-09
    historical 82-char remark
    Show marketing remark (82 chars)

    See Www. Ocwen. Com For 10 Day Simultaneous Listing Period And Purchase Documents.

  11. 2007-04-19
    listed $3,000 82-char remark
    Show marketing remark (82 chars)

    See Www. Ocwen. Com For 10 Day Simultaneous Listing Period And Purchase Documents.

  12. 2007-04-19
    listed $3,000
    Show marketing remark (82 chars)

    See Www. Ocwen. Com For 10 Day Simultaneous Listing Period And Purchase Documents.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$914 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$914 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,795
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$914
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,184
− Management
−$1,184
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$8,811
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,115
After-tax cash flow
$6,622/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-21 Sold (MLS) $3,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-21 Sold (MLS) $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-04-19 Listed $3,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-19 Listed $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $914 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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