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5409 S Aquamarine Ln
B- Composite 68.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

5409 S Aquamarine Ln · St. George, UT 84790
4 bd · 5.0 ba · 2,248 sqft · Condo public records · 798 Days on market
Built 2022 ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Owner/Agent offering 1/8 fractional ownership in this luxury Desert Color townhome. Located steps from the 2.5-acre lagoon, pickleball courts, parks, and trails, with easy access to Sand Hollow, golf, and Zion National Park. Professionally designed and fully furnished, this interior-unit home sits along a lush park strip and features an open-concept layout with a gourmet kitchen, large dining area, and two spacious living rooms--perfect for entertaining. Sleeps comfortably with 4 ensuite bedrooms, including 2 king suites, a queen bunk room, and a twin bunk room--ideal for multi-family use or vacation rental potential. Enjoy low-maintenance ownership in one of St. George's premier resort com

Key facts

  • 1 gigabit internet
  • Tesla charger
  • Desert color resort

Tags

DESERT COLOR RESORTPRIVATE PARTY DECKTESLA CHARGER1 GIGABIT INTERNET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: DESERT COLOR RESORT
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Association fees billed annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage; 1 garage space
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; 2 stories; Facing direction not specified; Entry level not specified
  • Construction: Stone and stucco construction; Slab foundation; Built year not specified; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Asphalt roof; Landscaped lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Window coverings; Double-pane windows; See remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/5.0-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 976 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 798 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 798 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
11.59%
Cash-on-cash
18.93%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$11,305
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$38,671
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Utah
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 84790

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
976
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,472 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$442 /mo · $5,300/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$519
Net cashflow
$662

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,634
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
662 W Rosa Ln Saint George, UT 3.0 2.5 1628 $2,400 $1.47 13d 1 0.30mi
767 W Scarlet Hill Dr Saint George, UT 3.0 2.5 2155 $2,395 $1.11 21d 1 0.45mi
667 W Desert Poppy Ln Saint George, UT 3.0 3.0 1865 $2,200 $1.18 21d 1 0.54mi
6134 Snead Cir Saint George, UT 3.0 3.0 1799 $2,300 $1.28 21d 1 0.96mi
1806 W Sunstar Dr Saint George, UT 3.0 2.0 1509 $2,100 $1.39 21d 1 1.31mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 798 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 797 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 796 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 795 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 794 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 792 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 791 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 789 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 788 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 787 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 786 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 783 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 781 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 780 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 779 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 778 DOM
  17. 2026-04-22
    price $150,000
  18. 2026-03-13
    price $160,000
  19. 2025-10-07
    price $165,000
  20. 2024-10-16
    status Active
  21. 2024-10-15
    soldstatus
  22. 2024-10-02
    historical
  23. 2024-09-04
    status Active
  24. 2024-09-01
    historical
  25. 2024-05-15
    price $168,000
  26. 2023-09-11
    listed $171,000 Active
  27. 2023-01-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,300 · $442/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,300 · $442/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,670
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$5,300
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,374
− Management
−$2,374
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$6,107
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,466
After-tax cash flow
$6,484/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington District
NCES district ID
4901140
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$50,861
Composite
37.47/100
National rank
#4408
State rank
#37 of 80 in UT

Livability — St. George

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. George, UT
County
Washington County · 179,216 people
City population
101,579
Metro
St. George, UT
Population (ZIP)
55,892
Household income
$91,054
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
1359.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
193,324 people
By 2030
211,699 · +9.5%
By 2040
246,449 · +27.5%
By 2050
278,447 · +44.0%
By 2075
342,734 · +77.3%
By 2100
382,815 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.0% · R 75.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+1.2pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -52.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.3 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+52.1 2012: R+67.0 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.13%
Current HPI
218.2317
Rent YoY
▲ 0.20%
Metro
St. George, UT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.54%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $150,000 WCBOR
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $160,000 WCBOR
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $165,000 WCBOR
  • 2024-10-16 Relisted WCBOR
  • 2024-10-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-10-02 Delisted WCBOR
  • 2024-09-04 Relisted WCBOR
  • 2024-09-01 Delisted WCBOR
  • 2024-05-15 Price Changed $168,000 WCBOR
  • 2023-09-11 Listed $171,000 WCBOR
  • 2023-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+106.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,300 · -10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…