5409 S Aquamarine Ln · St. George, UT
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Owner/Agent offering 1/8 fractional ownership in this luxury Desert Color townhome. Located steps from the 2.5-acre lagoon, pickleball courts, parks, and trails, with easy access to Sand Hollow, golf, and Zion National Park. Professionally designed and fully furnished, this interior-unit home sits along a lush park strip and features an open-concept layout with a gourmet kitchen, large dining area, and two spacious living rooms--perfect for entertaining. Sleeps comfortably with 4 ensuite bedrooms, including 2 king suites, a queen bunk room, and a twin bunk room--ideal for multi-family use or vacation rental potential. Enjoy low-maintenance ownership in one of St. George's premier resort com
Key facts
- 1 gigabit internet
- Tesla charger
- Desert color resort
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: DESERT COLOR RESORT
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Association fees billed annually
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage; 1 garage space
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Electricity available; Sewer available
- Home design: Residential townhouse; 2 stories; Facing direction not specified; Entry level not specified
- Construction: Stone and stucco construction; Slab foundation; Built year not specified; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Asphalt roof; Landscaped lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Window coverings; Double-pane windows; See remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/5.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 976 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 798 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 798 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.93%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $11,305
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $38,671
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84790
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 976
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,472 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$442 /mo · $5,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $662
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 662 W Rosa Ln Saint George, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,400 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 767 W Scarlet Hill Dr Saint George, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2155 | $2,395 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 667 W Desert Poppy Ln Saint George, UT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1865 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6134 Snead Cir Saint George, UT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1799 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1806 W Sunstar Dr Saint George, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $2,100 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 798 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 797 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 796 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 795 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 794 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 792 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 791 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 789 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 788 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 787 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 786 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 783 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 781 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 780 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 779 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 778 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $150,000
-
2026-03-13price $160,000
-
2025-10-07price $165,000
-
2024-10-16status Active
-
2024-10-15soldstatus
-
2024-10-02historical
-
2024-09-04status Active
-
2024-09-01historical
-
2024-05-15price $168,000
-
2023-09-11$171,000 Active
-
2023-01-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,300 · $442/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,300 · $442/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$5,300
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,374
- − Management
- −$2,374
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $6,107
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,466
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,484/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington District
- NCES district ID
- 4901140
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,861
- Composite
- 37.47/100
- National rank
- #4408
- State rank
- #37 of 80 in UT
Livability — St. George
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. George, UT
- County
- Washington County · 179,216 people
- City population
- 101,579
- Metro
- St. George, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,892
- Household income
- $91,054
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1359.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 193,324 people
- By 2030
- 211,699 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 246,449 · +27.5%
- By 2050
- 278,447 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 342,734 · +77.3%
- By 2100
- 382,815 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.0% · R 75.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -52.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+52.1 2012: R+67.0 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.13%
- Current HPI
- 218.2317
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Metro
- St. George, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-12.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $150,000 WCBOR
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $160,000 WCBOR
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $165,000 WCBOR
- 2024-10-16 Relisted — WCBOR
- 2024-10-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-10-02 Delisted — WCBOR
- 2024-09-04 Relisted — WCBOR
- 2024-09-01 Delisted — WCBOR
- 2024-05-15 Price Changed $168,000 WCBOR
- 2023-09-11 Listed $171,000 WCBOR
- 2023-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+106.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,300 · -10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…