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189 Highland Rd
B Composite 70.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$60,000

189 Highland Rd · Jackson, KY 41339
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1981 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1981 singlewide 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage, needs some cosmetic work. Supplies to remodel one of the bathrooms included.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1981

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#243 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Breathitt County (town): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #144 of 165 in KY (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Breathitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Breathitt County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.01%
Cash-on-cash
23.99%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$8,177
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$30,303
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41339

Home prices YoY
-4.1%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $322 -5% $301 +0% $280 +5% $260 +10% $239
Rent -10% $205 -5% $243 +0% $280 +5% $318 +10% $355
Rate -1.0pp $310 -0.5pp $296 base $280 +0.5pp $265 +1.0pp $249

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    listed $60,000 Active 127-char remark
    Show marketing remark (127 chars)

    1981 singlewide 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage, needs some cosmetic work. Supplies to remodel one of the bathrooms included.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,399
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$966
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$2,603
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$625
After-tax cash flow
$2,739/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Breathitt County
NCES district ID
2100690
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$24,324
Composite
21.22/100
National rank
#8408
State rank
#144 of 165 in KY

Livability — Jackson

Score
66/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#11866

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,563

Population outlook (Breathitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,445 people
By 2030
11,773 · -5.4%
By 2040
10,356 · -16.8%
By 2050
8,963 · -28.0%
By 2075
6,081 · -51.1%
By 2100
4,071 · -67.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Breathitt

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.3) · D 19.6% · R 78.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-50.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -59.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.3 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.81%
Current HPI
136.5547
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $60,000 EKAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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