121 Mullins Ave · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the opportunity to own this well-maintained investment property at 121 Mullins, offering immediate income potential and flexible purchasing options. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025. The property is currently occupied by a tenant on a month-to-month lease, offering buyers flexibility to continue generating rental income or take possession as an owner occupant.
Key facts
- New roof
- Built 1950
- Listed 10 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Cooktop; Range
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Beaver Dam Elementary (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #95 of 1,410 statewide, top 7%, 86 students, 96% FRL); Luther Nick Jeralds Middle (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #436 of 475 statewide, top 93%, 616 students, 100% FRL); Terry Sanford High (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,224 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 55% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.82%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,463
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 Kensington Cir | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+3%) | 10mo | $131,500 | $164 | 78 |
| 1207 Hillsboro St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (+7%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $181 | 76 |
| 276 N Windsor Dr | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 775 (-0%) | 6mo | $92,000 | $119 | 76 |
| 1203 North St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 715 (-8%) | 1mo | $126,628 | $177 | 72 |
| 151 Kensington Cir | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 857 (+10%) | 5mo | $57,500 | $67 | 71 |
| 1211 West Dr | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 810 (+4%) | 20mo | $55,000 | $68 | 56 |
| 2007 Overlook Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 786 (+1%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $108 | 51 |
| 306 Plum St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-7%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $181 | 46 |
| 822 E Orange St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 863 (+11%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $41 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,485
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $16,932
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28301
- Home prices YoY
- -12.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,125 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,491/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Mullins Ave Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 122 Kensington Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,250 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 302 Brookwood Ave Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 210 Colonial Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $749 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 112 Quincy St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,320 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1606 Gibson St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1014 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 282 Windsor Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,000 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 307 Hawthorne Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,125 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $990 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $990 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 398 Bainbridge Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $990 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 398 Bainbridge Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $990 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 100 Sycamore Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2015 Blake St Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 110 Facility Dr #2015 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2061 Osceola Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1704 Newark Ave Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 216 Brainerd Ave Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,150 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 806 Lakeland St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2737 Kentberry Ave Fayetteville, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 14d | 5 | 1.36mi |
| 1401 Briarcliff Dr Unit B Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $875 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 620 Forest Rd Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 23d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 450 Hay St Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 799 | $1,745 | $2.18 | 14d | 3 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 398-char remark
-
2026-06-09$99,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,491 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,491 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,491
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,080
- − Management
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $925
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$222
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,798
- Household income
- $39,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1389.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.92%
- Current HPI
- 265.98
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+36.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $99,000 LPRMLS
- 2022-05-14 Listed $72,500 LPRMLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,491 · +53.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…