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121 Mullins Ave
C Composite 55.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.6/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

121 Mullins Ave · Fayetteville, NC 28301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 777 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1950 Est $92k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the opportunity to own this well-maintained investment property at 121 Mullins, offering immediate income potential and flexible purchasing options. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025. The property is currently occupied by a tenant on a month-to-month lease, offering buyers flexibility to continue generating rental income or take possession as an owner occupant.

Key facts

  • New roof
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 10 days

Tags

NEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Cooktop; Range
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Beaver Dam Elementary (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #95 of 1,410 statewide, top 7%, 86 students, 96% FRL); Luther Nick Jeralds Middle (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #436 of 475 statewide, top 93%, 616 students, 100% FRL); Terry Sanford High (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,224 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 55% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.76%
Cash-on-cash
8.82%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$92,463
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
140 Kensington Cir 0.19mi 2/1.0 800 (+3%) 10mo $131,500 $164 78
1207 Hillsboro St 0.24mi 2/1.0 830 (+7%) 2mo $150,000 $181 76
276 N Windsor Dr 0.41mi 2/1.0 775 (-0%) 6mo $92,000 $119 76
1203 North St 0.29mi 2/1.0 715 (-8%) 1mo $126,628 $177 72
151 Kensington Cir 0.17mi 2/1.0 857 (+10%) 5mo $57,500 $67 71
1211 West Dr 0.44mi 2/1.0 810 (+4%) 20mo $55,000 $68 56
2007 Overlook Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 786 (+1%) 18mo $85,000 $108 51
306 Plum St 0.52mi 2/1.0 720 (-7%) 21mo $130,000 $181 46
822 E Orange St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 863 (+11%) 13mo $35,000 $41 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,485
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$16,932
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28301

Home prices YoY
-12.5%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,125 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,491/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $867
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 Mullins Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,025 $1.02 23d 1 0.04mi
122 Kensington Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 856 $1,250 $1.46 23d 1 0.12mi
302 Brookwood Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 979 $1,250 $1.28 14d 1 0.26mi
210 Colonial Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0 1.0 625 $749 $1.20 14d 1 0.30mi
1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 23d 1 0.31mi
1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 14d 1 0.31mi
112 Quincy St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,320 $1.22 14d 1 0.34mi
1606 Gibson St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1014 $1,000 $0.99 23d 1 0.34mi
282 Windsor Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 855 $1,000 $1.17 23d 1 0.38mi
307 Hawthorne Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 886 $1,125 $1.27 14d 1 0.40mi
1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 14d 1 0.44mi
1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 23d 1 0.44mi
398 Bainbridge Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 14d 1 0.57mi
398 Bainbridge Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 23d 1 0.57mi
100 Sycamore Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 23d 1 0.70mi
2015 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 23d 1 0.73mi
110 Facility Dr #2015 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 23d 1 0.73mi
2061 Osceola Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 928 $1,300 $1.40 23d 1 0.76mi
1704 Newark Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 23d 1 1.16mi
216 Brainerd Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 818 $1,150 $1.41 23d 1 1.18mi
806 Lakeland St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 23d 1 1.22mi
2737 Kentberry Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0–3.0 2.0 1209 $1,300 $1.08 14d 5 1.36mi
1401 Briarcliff Dr Unit B Fayetteville, NC 1.0 1.0 1001 $875 $0.87 23d 1 1.43mi
620 Forest Rd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $975 $0.97 23d 2 1.47mi
450 Hay St Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 799 $1,745 $2.18 14d 3 1.49mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 398-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $99,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,491 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,491 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,496
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,491
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,080
− Management
−$1,080
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$925
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$222
After-tax cash flow
$2,224/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
16,798
Household income
$39,198
Rent vs Own
64.7% rent · 35.3% own
Severe rent burden
1389.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.92%
Current HPI
265.98
Rent YoY
▲ 3.49%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $99,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-05-14 Listed $72,500 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,491 · +53.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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