610 Oak St · Thibodaux, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large Home, Small Price! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a double garage and plenty of storage. With generous living space and solid potential, it's waiting for the right buyer to add a little TLC and unlock its true value. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike--don't miss out!
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.8% in Thibodaux — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in LA, #723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 513 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.92%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,039
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -36.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Apricot St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,383 (-10%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $130 | 70 |
| 306 St. Bernard St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,549 (+1%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $136 | 69 |
| 327 Camellia Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,541 (+1%) | 5mo | $209,500 | $136 | 66 |
| 301 Julia St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+6%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $77 | 66 |
| 755 Bayou Rd | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,566 (+2%) | 7mo | $199,500 | $127 | 58 |
| 510 Olive St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,346 (-12%) | 12mo | $179,000 | $133 | 58 |
| 107 Vernon St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (-10%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $142 | 56 |
| 339 Settlers Run Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (-7%) | 7mo | $214,485 | $151 | 54 |
| 910 Harrison St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (+11%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $85 | 50 |
| 304 St. Bernard St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (+13%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $145 | 49 |
| 207 Lee Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (+8%) | 10mo | $232,500 | $141 | 46 |
| 1405 Tina St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,659 (+8%) | 10mo | $257,570 | $155 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $16,928
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $60,010
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70301
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 513
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,616 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $768/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 Bradford St Thibodaux, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 208 Diplomat Way Thibodaux, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1892 | $2,000 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-04-02price $115,000 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Large Home, Small Price! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a double garage and plenty of storage. With generous living space and solid potential, it’s waiting for the right buyer to add a little TLC and unlock its true value. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike—don’t miss out!
-
2026-04-02price $115,000 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Large Home, Small Price! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a double garage and plenty of storage. With generous living space and solid potential, it’s waiting for the right buyer to add a little TLC and unlock its true value. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike—don’t miss out!
-
2026-01-20$125,000 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Large Home, Small Price! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a double garage and plenty of storage. With generous living space and solid potential, it’s waiting for the right buyer to add a little TLC and unlock its true value. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike—don’t miss out!
-
2026-01-19$125,000 Active 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Large Home, Small Price! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a double garage and plenty of storage. With generous living space and solid potential, it's waiting for the right buyer to add a little TLC and unlock its true value. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike--don't miss out!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $768 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $768 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,387
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$768
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,551
- − Management
- −$1,551
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $5,155
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,237
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Thibodaux
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thibodaux, LA
- County
- Lafourche Parish · 50,095 people
- City population
- 50,095
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,095
- Household income
- $58,394
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1513.0
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.35%
- Current HPI
- 124.5559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $115,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $125,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2024): $768 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…