260 American Canyon Rd #47 · American Canyon, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully refreshed double-wide mobile home nestled in American Canyon. Thoughtfully updated throughout, this spacious move-in-ready home offers comfort and modern style at an exceptional value. The bright, open interior showcases fresh paint throughout, new carpet in the living areas and bedrooms, and durable vinyl plank flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms. The remodeled kitchen is a true standout, featuring brand-new countertops, a new sink, new appliances, refreshed cabinetry, and updated light fixtures perfect for everyday cooking and entertaining. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated with new vanities and flooring, giving them a clean, contemporary feel. Sta
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- New appliances
- Brand-new furnace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly land lease amount: $940
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking for 3 vehicles
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home
- Construction: Vinyl skirting; Made by HOMETTE / manufacturer: SKYLINE
- Exterior features: Located in a manufactured home park; Park name: American Mobile Park; Land lease in place
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Shower stall(s); Tub with shower over
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Laundry located inside
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 3.2% in American Canyon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#133 in CA, #4,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Napa Valley Unified (urban): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #599 of 1,400 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 427 units permitted in Napa County in 2024 (189 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Napa County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.11%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,952
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 American Canyon RD Spc 25 #25 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,325 (+2%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $136 | 87 |
| 244 American Canyon Rd #193 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (+7%) | 4mo | $137,000 | $98 | 78 |
| 2525 Flosden Rd #90 | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,306 (+1%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $184 | 69 |
| 33 Flosden Rd | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 9mo | $166,000 | $124 | 69 |
| 3000 Broadway St #18 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 10mo | $156,000 | $108 | 63 |
| 260 American Canyon Rd #58 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+9%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $141 | 63 |
| 3000 Broadway St #52 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $90 | 62 |
| 2555 Flosden Rd #65 | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+8%) | 2mo | $304,500 | $218 | 57 |
| 2525 Flosden Rd #61 | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 7mo | $218,000 | $162 | 55 |
| 2555 Flosden Rd #11 | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 12mo | $332,500 | $277 | 54 |
| 420 Sandstone Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $268 | 53 |
| 150 Granite Ct | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $205 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $49,580
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 33.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.06×
- Total profit
- $141,569
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,959 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $1,198
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,312 | -5% $1,255 | +0% $1,198 | +5% $1,141 | +10% $1,084 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $964 | -5% $1,081 | +0% $1,198 | +5% $1,314 | +10% $1,431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,281 | -0.5pp $1,240 | base $1,198 | +0.5pp $1,155 | +1.0pp $1,111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Toscana Dr American Canyon, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1466 | $3,244 | $2.21 | 14d | 5 | 0.37mi |
| 300 Swan Way Vallejo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $2,775 | $2.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2525 Flosden Rd #16 American Canyon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,795 | $2.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 137 Imelda St Unit 3BR/1BA Vallejo, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $3,250 | $3.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 424 Corcoran Ave Vallejo, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 123 David Ct Vallejo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $3,149 | $2.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 325 Falcon Dr Vallejo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,900 | $1.81 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 125 Hibiscus Ct Vallejo, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,709 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 165 Georgetown Ct Vallejo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $2,695 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$165,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,511
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,841
- − Management
- −$2,841
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $12,487
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,997
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready double-wide mobile home offers a fresh, updated interior with new finishes and appliances, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile in living areas — Improves aesthetics and durability.
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal for potential buyers/renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value for potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile in living areas — Improves aesthetics and durability. ↑
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal for potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value for potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Napa Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626640
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,007
- Composite
- 40.18/100
- National rank
- #7827
- State rank
- #599 of 1400 in CA
Livability — American Canyon
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #4684
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- American Canyon, CA
- County
- Napa County · 120,669 people
- City population
- 21,841
- Metro
- Napa, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,841
- Household income
- $121,088
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 486.0
Population outlook (Napa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 153,987 people
- By 2030
- 159,490 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 168,796 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 176,213 · +14.4%
- By 2075
- 190,113 · +23.5%
- By 2100
- 190,528 · +23.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 33% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 21% Two or more races 15% Black 6% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 15% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Napa
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.9) · D 65.9% · R 31.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.4pp toward D · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.9 2020: D+40.4 2016: D+35.2 2012: D+25.7 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.47%
- Current HPI
- 366.9139
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Napa, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $165,000 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…