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B- Composite 69.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

612 Clinton St · Flint, MI 48507
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,580 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 172 Days on market
Built 1950 8,015 sqft lot Est $73k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

AUCTION INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY FLINT, MI 612 Clinton St, Flint, MI 48507 AS-IS property up for auction, perfect for investors. 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-family home, approximately 1,580 sq ft, with attached garage and a large lot. The property requires complete renovation, including roof, garage, windows, siding, and interior remodeling. Great potential for appreciation once renovated. Private auction Cash only / hard money Vacant property Ideal for flipping or renting Direct sale from owner Highest and best offer wins.

Key facts

  • Complete renovation
  • Large lot
  • 8,015 sq ft lot

Tags

COMPLETE RENOVATIONLARGE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 247% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $60,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.34%
Cash-on-cash
21.61%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
627 Campbell St 0.18mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,623 (+3%) 5mo $85,000 $52 76
4602 Camden Ave 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,456 (-8%) 1mo $31,000 $21 73
623 Clinton St 0.03mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,662 (+5%) 15mo $14,990 $9 70
912 Huron St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,739 (+10%) 0mo $33,000 $19 61
4117 Brunswick Ave 0.33mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,808 (+14%) 0mo $58,000 $32 53
825 Pettibone Ave 0.43mi 2/1.5 1,401 (-11%) 8mo $70,000 $50 53
338 Browning Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,534 (-3%) 2mo $71,000 $46 51
1193 Carman St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,452 (-8%) 8mo $154,900 $107 50
1314 Pinehurst Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,660 (+5%) 4mo $34,000 $20 50
1109 Pettibone Ave 0.64mi 2/1.5 1,475 (-7%) 13mo $58,000 $39 46
4602 Milton Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,446 (-8%) 8mo $150,000 $104 43
1445 Kenneth St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,445 (-8%) 8mo $139,900 $97 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$7,950
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$23,753
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,038 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $979/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $598
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $387 -5% $367 +0% $348 +5% $328 +10% $309
Rent -10% $266 -5% $307 +0% $348 +5% $389 +10% $430
Rate -1.0pp $383 -0.5pp $365 base $348 +0.5pp $330 +1.0pp $312

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
912 Waldman Ave Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 1223 $675 $0.55 14d 1 0.49mi
4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,400 $1.17 14d 1 0.93mi
805 E Hemphill Rd Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 14d 1 1.27mi
4070 Greenbriar Blvd Burton, MI 3.0–4.0 2.0 1512 $1,399 $0.93 14d 1 1.39mi
4509 Cheyenne Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,400 $1.17 14d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 172 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 171 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 170 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 169 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 168 DOM
  6. 2026-05-07
    historical
  7. 2026-05-07
    historical
  8. 2026-04-29
    price $20,000
  9. 2026-04-28
    price $20,000
  10. 2026-03-02
    price $24,900
  11. 2026-03-02
    price $24,900
  12. 2026-02-27
    listed $19,900 Active
  13. 2026-02-27
    listed $19,900 Active
  14. 2026-02-05
    historical
  15. 2026-02-05
    historical
  16. 2026-01-22
    listed $30,000 Active
  17. 2026-01-22
    listed $30,000 Active
  18. 2025-12-13
    listed $69,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$979 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,021 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$42/yr (+$4/mo · 4.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,457
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$979
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$997
− Management
−$997
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$3,268
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$784
After-tax cash flow
$3,391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-71.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-13 Listed $69,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2018): $979 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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