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C- Composite 52.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,900

13 Mountain Sun Way Unit 11-B · Waterville Valley, NH 03215
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,600 sqft · Condo · 348 Days on market
Built 1987 $589/mo HOA · 18% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy all that the Mountain Sun Quartshare Condominium has to offer!! This meticulously maintained 3 level Mountain Townhouse is fully furnished with 1,660 sq. ft. of living space, 2 living rooms, 3 bedrooms which sleep up to 8, 2.5 baths, Jacuzzi bath, Wi-Fi and washer & dryer. The Townhouse is in the heart of Waterville Valley Resort and is within walking distance to Town Square with its shops, grocery store, restaurants and sports bars. Waterville Valley is a premier ski resort town in the White Mountains: A small ski town with a central village square surrounded by snow-capped peaks. The town is built around Waterville Valley Resort, one of the East Coast’s premier ski areas

Key facts

  • Walkable to village
  • Private back deck
  • $589 HOA

Tags

ACCESS TO WV GOLF CLUBPRIVATE BACK DECKSEASONAL MOUNTAIN VIEWSWALKABLE TO VILLAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Association amenities include recreation facility and indoor storage
  • Financial info: Timeshare / fractional ownership (weeks) — 13 weeks
  • HOA & community: Quarterly condo fees; Condo association covers cable, cooling, electric, heat, hot water, landscaping, plowing, recreation, sewer, trash, water, internet, master insurance, building maintenance, management plan, storage (indoor), common heating/cooling, snow removal, trash removal and common acreage; One-time buy-in fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Shared / common paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200 Amp electrical service with circuit breaker; Underground utilities; Cable internet (Spectrum); NH Electric service; Consolidated Communications phone
  • Home design: Contemporary, multi-level design; Unit 11-B; Existing construction; Brown exterior color
  • Construction: Built in 1987; Wood frame with wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Surveyed
  • Exterior features: Condo development; Landscaped; Level site; Common acreage (1.83 acres); Trail / near trail; Walking trails; View; In town; Near golf course; Near paths; Near skiing; Valley location

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen; Microwave; Range - Electric; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on 2nd level; Master bedroom suite on 3rd level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Foyer; Family room; Dining room; Living room; Master bedroom suite; Resort property
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Waterville Valley School District (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #98 of 171 in NH (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
  • Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.46%
Cap rate
37.92%
Cash-on-cash
112.97%
DSCR
6.03
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.12×
Total profit
$119,427
Equity at exit
$38,890
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.28×
Total profit
$273,083
Equity at exit
$71,617

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03215

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,268 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$589
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$686
Net cashflow
$1,579

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,270
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20 Pine Tree Way Waterville Valley, NH 3.0 1.5 1900 $3,600 $1.89 43d 1 0.01mi
103 Snow's Brook Rd Unit 18 Waterville Valley, NH 3.0 2.0 1450 $3,300 $2.28 43d 1 0.09mi
38 Windsor Hill Way #105 Waterville Valley, NH 2.0 1.5 1098 $1,800 $1.64 43d 1 0.33mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$589 · $7,068/yr
Likely covers
waterinternet
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 348 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 347 DOM
  3. 2025-12-04
    status Active
  4. 2025-12-01
    historical
  5. 2025-07-11
    price $59,900
  6. 2025-06-12
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥82°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,218
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,137
− Management
−$3,137
− HOA
−$7,068
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$19,579
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,699
After-tax cash flow
$14,248/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterville Valley School District
NCES district ID
3306910
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$66,976
Composite
46.42/100
National rank
#5344
State rank
#98 of 171 in NH

Livability — Waterville Valley

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
269

Population outlook (Grafton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,798 people
By 2030
87,131 · -1.9%
By 2040
82,000 · -7.7%
By 2050
77,064 · -13.2%
By 2075
68,769 · -22.6%
By 2100
61,631 · -30.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 20% Lithuanian 10% Scotch-Irish 9%
Foreign-born
11% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Grafton

2024 margin
D (+19.9) · D 59.4% · R 39.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: 27.7pp · 2024: 19.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.6 2016: D+19.0 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+27.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.33%
Current HPI
541.9424
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-7.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-04 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $59,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Listed $65,000 PrimeMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…