13 Mountain Sun Way Unit 11-B · Waterville Valley, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy all that the Mountain Sun Quartshare Condominium has to offer!! This meticulously maintained 3 level Mountain Townhouse is fully furnished with 1,660 sq. ft. of living space, 2 living rooms, 3 bedrooms which sleep up to 8, 2.5 baths, Jacuzzi bath, Wi-Fi and washer & dryer. The Townhouse is in the heart of Waterville Valley Resort and is within walking distance to Town Square with its shops, grocery store, restaurants and sports bars. Waterville Valley is a premier ski resort town in the White Mountains: A small ski town with a central village square surrounded by snow-capped peaks. The town is built around Waterville Valley Resort, one of the East Coast’s premier ski areas
Key facts
- Walkable to village
- Private back deck
- $589 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association amenities include recreation facility and indoor storage
- Financial info: Timeshare / fractional ownership (weeks) — 13 weeks
- HOA & community: Quarterly condo fees; Condo association covers cable, cooling, electric, heat, hot water, landscaping, plowing, recreation, sewer, trash, water, internet, master insurance, building maintenance, management plan, storage (indoor), common heating/cooling, snow removal, trash removal and common acreage; One-time buy-in fee
Exterior
- Parking: Shared / common paved driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200 Amp electrical service with circuit breaker; Underground utilities; Cable internet (Spectrum); NH Electric service; Consolidated Communications phone
- Home design: Contemporary, multi-level design; Unit 11-B; Existing construction; Brown exterior color
- Construction: Built in 1987; Wood frame with wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Surveyed
- Exterior features: Condo development; Landscaped; Level site; Common acreage (1.83 acres); Trail / near trail; Walking trails; View; In town; Near golf course; Near paths; Near skiing; Valley location
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen; Microwave; Range - Electric; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on 2nd level; Master bedroom suite on 3rd level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Foyer; Family room; Dining room; Living room; Master bedroom suite; Resort property
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Waterville Valley School District (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #98 of 171 in NH (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
- Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 112.97%
- DSCR
- 6.03
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.12×
- Total profit
- $119,427
- Equity at exit
- $38,890
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.28×
- Total profit
- $273,083
- Equity at exit
- $71,617
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03215
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,268 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$589
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$686
- Net cashflow
- $1,579
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Pine Tree Way Waterville Valley, NH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1900 | $3,600 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 103 Snow's Brook Rd Unit 18 Waterville Valley, NH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,300 | $2.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 38 Windsor Hill Way #105 Waterville Valley, NH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $589 · $7,068/yr
- Likely covers
- waterinternet
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 347 DOM
-
2025-12-04status Active
-
2025-12-01historical
-
2025-07-11price $59,900
-
2025-06-12$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥82°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,137
- − Management
- −$3,137
- − HOA
- −$7,068
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $19,579
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,699
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterville Valley School District
- NCES district ID
- 3306910
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,976
- Composite
- 46.42/100
- National rank
- #5344
- State rank
- #98 of 171 in NH
Livability — Waterville Valley
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 269
Population outlook (Grafton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,798 people
- By 2030
- 87,131 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 82,000 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 77,064 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 68,769 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 61,631 · -30.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 20% Lithuanian 10% Scotch-Irish 9%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · China
Political lean MEDSL · Grafton
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.9) · D 59.4% · R 39.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 27.7pp · 2024: 19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.6 2016: D+19.0 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+27.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.33%
- Current HPI
- 541.9424
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-7.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-04 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2025-12-01 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $59,900 PrimeMLS
- 2025-06-12 Listed $65,000 PrimeMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…