635 W Union St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$139,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investor opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath row home offering 1,156 sq ft of potential in the heart of Allentown. The first floor features a spacious living room, formal dining room, convenient half bath, and first-floor laundry. The second floor offers three bedrooms and a full bathroom. A walk-up attic provides the opportunity to be finished for additional living space, home office, or possible fourth bedroom. Additional features include a full basement, fenced-in backyard, gas heat, gas hot water, and gas cooking. This property does need some TLC but offers tremendous potential for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Low taxes make this an excellent opportu
Key facts
- Full basement
- Fenced-in backyard
- Walk-up attic
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned B-2 (Central Business)
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: 2 stories; Stucco exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Stucco construction
- Exterior features: Yard fenced; Fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7; Has basement (full)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum; Resilient flooring; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas)
- Interior features: Attic; Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Dryer hookup on main level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.2% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Roosevelt El Sch (math 8%, 532 students, 100% FRL); South Mountain Ms (math 3% / reading 15%, grade F, #502 of 512 statewide, top 98%, 1,007 students, 100% FRL); William Allen Hs (math 29% / reading 10%, grade F, #392 of 437 statewide, top 90%, 2,852 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 73% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 7 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,907/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 660% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.14%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $176,868
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242 Hall St | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $129 | 63 |
| 115 N Penn St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $128 | 63 |
| 436 N Hall St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-0%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 924 Wyoming St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,139 (-2%) | 1mo | $263,500 | $231 | 60 |
| 749 S Hall St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (+8%) | 2mo | $228,000 | $183 | 59 |
| 1135 W Court St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $156 | 56 |
| 518 Oak St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+12%) | 4mo | $187,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 237 N Fountain | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,290 (+12%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $105 | 52 |
| 121 S Blank St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (-10%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $153 | 51 |
| 384 W Gordon St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,266 (+10%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $158 | 50 |
| 172 Chestnut St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-8%) | 3mo | $197,000 | $185 | 50 |
| 127 Bryan St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-10%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $145 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.94% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $19,978
- Equity at exit
- $27,557
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $71,833
- Equity at exit
- $23,939
Cash invested: $39,144 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18101
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,907 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$733
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,871/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $638 | -5% $599 | +0% $559 | +5% $520 | +10% $480 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $408 | -5% $484 | +0% $559 | +5% $634 | +10% $710 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $630 | -0.5pp $595 | base $559 | +0.5pp $523 | +1.0pp $486 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,950
- Closing costs
- $4,194
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 818 Walnut St Apt 5 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 26 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $2,224 | $2.33 | 4d | 9 | 0.27mi |
| 45 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $3,616 | $3.61 | 4d | 13 | 0.27mi |
| 27 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $2,222 | $2.64 | 4d | 11 | 0.27mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 608 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,725 | $1.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 409 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $2,374 | $2.26 | 20d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 424 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,625 | $1.86 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 509 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $2,399 | $2.28 | 20d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 107 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $2,972 | $3.47 | 4d | 23 | 0.30mi |
| 932 W Hamilton St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $2,350 | $2.73 | 4d | 15 | 0.35mi |
| 827 Linden St Unit 829-1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 829 Linden St Apt 1 Rear Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 144 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 832 Chestnut St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $2,100 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 621 W Turner St Apt 14 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 209 N Eighth St Apt 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,550 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 218 N 6th St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 626 Oak St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 25 N 10th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $1,475 | $2.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1010 W Hamilton St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $2,022 | $2.14 | 4d | 6 | 0.45mi |
| 120 N 4th St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,475 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 622 W Chew St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1046 Walnut St Unit 1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 748 S Hall St Unit 1 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1183 | $2,000 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1036 Linden St #2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 45 N 11th St Unit 3 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1039 E St Unit Linden St unit Apt Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 347 N 7th St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 702 Saint John St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 144 S 12th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 229 Peach St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,800 | $2.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1145 Linden St Apt 2 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,525 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 432 N Law St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 944 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1146 | $1,750 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 427 N 5th St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 440 N Hall St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 407 N 4th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1321 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1210 W Turner St Unit 1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1210 W Turner St Unit 1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,050 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1210 W Turner St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $139,800 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,800 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,800 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,800 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,800 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,800 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $139,800 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$139,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,871 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,040 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- +$169/yr (+$14/mo · 9.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,831
- − Property taxes
- −$1,871
- − Insurance
- −$699
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,831
- − Management
- −$1,831
- − Depreciation
- −$4,067
- Taxable income
- $4,753
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,141
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,569/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,120
- Household income
- $44,773
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 660.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 27% Two or more races 23% White 22% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Polish 1% Dutch 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.94%
- Current HPI
- 326.4766
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.36%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $139,900 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,871 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…