36707 290th Ave · Badger, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.7/10.0
$116,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A Country Opportunity! Come take a look at this farm house resting on 2 acres north of Badger! The property offers country living at an affordable price! The home features 4 beds 2.5 bath, updated septic, furnace and is ready for some sweat equity! Nice opportunity for anyone looking for a country home at an affordable price! Give us a call to schedule a showing!
Key facts
- 2.16 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1928
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 2.16 acres (dimensions ~285 x 330)
Exterior
- Parking: No carport spaces listed
- Utilities: Well water; Private sewer; Propane fuel
- Home design: Residential property; One-and-a-half stories; Entry level includes main living area
- Construction: Block foundation; Foundation dimensions approximately 22 x 26; Built area split: above grade and below grade (finished and below-grade area present)
- Exterior features: Wood exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-and-a-half level layout; Block foundation (basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $115k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#716 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Roseau Public School District (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #125 of 301 in MN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Roseau County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $805 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roseau County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.85%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,367
- Equity at exit
- $17,371
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $31,567
- Equity at exit
- $10,073
Cash invested: $32,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56751
- Home prices YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$611
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,270/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $349
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $415 | -5% $382 | +0% $349 | +5% $316 | +10% $283 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $238 | -5% $294 | +0% $349 | +5% $405 | +10% $461 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $408 | -0.5pp $379 | base $349 | +0.5pp $319 | +1.0pp $288 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,125
- Closing costs
- $3,495
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-07$116,500 Active 365-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,270 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,287 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$17/yr (+$1/mo · 1.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,931
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,526
- − Property taxes
- −$1,270
- − Insurance
- −$582
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,354
- − Management
- −$1,354
- − Depreciation
- −$3,389
- Taxable income
- $2,455
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$589
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,603/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roseau Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2732250
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,940
- Composite
- 42.4/100
- National rank
- #3232
- State rank
- #125 of 301 in MN
Livability — Badger
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #17198
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,776
Population outlook (Roseau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,709 people
- By 2030
- 15,559 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 15,168 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 14,539 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 13,430 · -14.5%
- By 2100
- 11,713 · -25.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 29% Lithuanian 5% Scottish 5%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Roseau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.3) · D 24.7% · R 74.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -49.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.3 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+17.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.59%
- Current HPI
- 217.2504
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $116,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,270 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…