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200 S 3rd St
B Composite 72.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$59,000

200 S 3rd St · Arma, KS 66712
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,781 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1920 0.34 ac lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large house that sits on a large lot with a great 2 car garage. Big kitchen. Needs some work but lots of good sized rooms add your own colors to make it your home. Lockbox is on the back handrail great location

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Upper loft
  • Huge corner lot

Tags

NEWER ROOFADA ACCESSIBLE BATHROOMUPPER LOFTHUGE CORNER LOTDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1,781 above-grade living area (public records); Age described as 101 years or more
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2-story floor plan
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 150 x 100 feet; Not in a flood plain

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area off the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#208 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Northeast (rural): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #159 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Northeast Elem (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #567 of 684 statewide, top 83%, 341 students, 78% FRL); North East High (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #319 of 327 statewide, top 99%, 136 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $221 of equity ($408 loan paydown + $-187 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,230 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.62%
Cash-on-cash
40.45%
DSCR
2.80
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$183,443
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 S 4th St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,794 (+1%) 10mo $170,000 $95 82
508 S Long Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+1%) 14mo $184,900 $103 74
108 S West St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,792 (+1%) 6mo $74,900 $42 71
708 E Washington St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,664 (-7%) 13mo $162,000 $97 70
202 S 8th St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,762 (-1%) 8mo $185,000 $105 65
612 N 4th St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,826 (+2%) 9mo $239,000 $131 63
609 S 4th St 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,852 (+4%) 13mo $89,900 $49 59
610 N West St 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,700 (-4%) 7mo $199,000 $117 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.0%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$32,875
Equity at exit
$16,201
10-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
5.91×
Total profit
$81,088
Equity at exit
$18,747

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66712

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,194 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $626/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$557

Break-even live

Break-even rent $489
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $590 -5% $574 +0% $557 +5% $540 +10% $524
Rent -10% $463 -5% $510 +0% $557 +5% $604 +10% $651
Rate -1.0pp $587 -0.5pp $572 base $557 +0.5pp $542 +1.0pp $526

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-05-05
    listed $59,000 Active
  10. 2026-02-01
    historical
  11. 2025-11-11
    price $62,500
  12. 2025-10-21
    price $67,000
  13. 2025-10-16
    price $73,000
  14. 2025-10-01
    listed $75,000 Active
  15. 2023-12-19
    soldstatus Closed 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Large house that sits on a large lot with a great 2 car garage. Big kitchen. Needs some work but lots of good sized rooms add your own colors to make it your home. Lockbox is on the back handrail great location

  16. 2023-12-19
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Large house that sits on a large lot with a great 2 car garage. Big kitchen. Needs some work but lots of good sized rooms add your own colors to make it your home. Lockbox is on the back handrail great location

  17. 2023-12-08
    status Pending 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Large house that sits on a large lot with a great 2 car garage. Big kitchen. Needs some work but lots of good sized rooms add your own colors to make it your home. Lockbox is on the back handrail great location

  18. 2023-11-28
    price $54,500 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Large house that sits on a large lot with a great 2 car garage. Big kitchen. Needs some work but lots of good sized rooms add your own colors to make it your home. Lockbox is on the back handrail great location

  19. 2023-11-06
    price $59,500 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Large house that sits on a large lot with a great 2 car garage. Big kitchen. Needs some work but lots of good sized rooms add your own colors to make it your home. Lockbox is on the back handrail great location

  20. 2023-10-24
    price $62,500 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Large house that sits on a large lot with a great 2 car garage. Big kitchen. Needs some work but lots of good sized rooms add your own colors to make it your home. Lockbox is on the back handrail great location

  21. 2023-10-10
    listed $67,900 Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Large house that sits on a large lot with a great 2 car garage. Big kitchen. Needs some work but lots of good sized rooms add your own colors to make it your home. Lockbox is on the back handrail great location

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$626 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$832 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$206/yr (+$17/mo · 32.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,325
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$626
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,146
− Management
−$1,146
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$6,091
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,462
After-tax cash flow
$5,221/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northeast
NCES district ID
2003480
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$35,724
Composite
16.53/100
National rank
#9180
State rank
#159 of 169 in KS

Livability — Arma

Score
68/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#9327

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Arma, KS
Population (ZIP)
1,471

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,393 people
By 2030
39,540 · +0.4%
By 2040
39,452 · +0.1%
By 2050
39,188 · -0.5%
By 2075
39,038 · -0.9%
By 2100
38,219 · -3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Danish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.5% · R 61.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.4pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.32%
Current HPI
154.0525
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-13.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $59,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-01 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $62,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $67,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $73,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $75,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-12-19 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-08 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-28 Price Changed $54,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-06 Price Changed $59,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-24 Price Changed $62,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-10 Listed $67,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $626 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…