14500 Dobson Ave · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent opportunity for rehabbers and investors looking for an affordable 4 bedrooms single family home located in the city of Dolton. This home has a beautiful and spacious living room plus a large full finished basement. Located close to commerce, schools, and parks. All room sizes are estimated. This property is being sold as-is. The buyer will be responsible for any and all village requirements.
Key facts
- Close to commerce
- Close to parks
- Close to schools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number: 29023290130000
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces; 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer and storm sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Built between 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978; Not rebuilt or recently rehabbed
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 125; Lot is less than 0.25 acre; School bus service available; Interstate access nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10 x 12)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total (1 additional bedroom finished below grade); Main-level bedrooms: 14 x 11 (master), 11 x 10, 10 x 9; Basement bedroom: 11 x 13
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement contains at least one bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Finished full basement; 8 total rooms; Dining room in combo layout; Family room in basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement (approx. 10 x 9)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $985 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $97k).
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.50%
- DSCR
- 2.94
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,236
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14341 University Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,035 (+5%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $97 | 81 |
| 14642 Dorchester Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,013 (+2%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $168 | 72 |
| 14731 Kimbark Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+3%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $113 | 71 |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+3%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $147 | 67 |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+3%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $147 | 64 |
| 14819 Irving Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-1%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $133 | 64 |
| 14222 S Woodlawn Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (+10%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $83 | 63 |
| 14700 Avalon Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,128 (+14%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $111 | 54 |
| 14840 Langley Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-5%) | 2mo | $37,000 | $40 | 54 |
| 14647 Irving Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 889 (-10%) | 2mo | $138,000 | $155 | 50 |
| 1138 E 151st St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (+7%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $199 | 50 |
| 14927 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,095 (+11%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $228 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $58,088
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.70×
- Total profit
- $181,838
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,095 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $985
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,430 | $2.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1860 State St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $2,300 | $2.36 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,895 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1601 Downs Dr Unit 3S Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,465 | $1.67 | 7d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 404-char remark
-
2026-06-13$97,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$1,455
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,011
- − Management
- −$2,011
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $10,920
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,621
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+14.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $97,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2023): $4,900 · +293.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…