319 N 7th St · Olean, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
OLEAN. FIRST TIME OFFERED. 3 BEDROOM HOME WITH 2 CAR GARAGE. LOCATED BETWEEN MIDDLE AND HIGH SCHOOL. MLS#B417473
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Manageable yard
- Updated mudroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Garage with electricity and garage door opener; Shared driveway
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2 stories; Resale property; Exterior entry to basement; Full walk-up basement
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Year built: existing
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Gravel driveway; Deck; Covered porch; Fence (partial)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Entrance foyer; Country kitchen; Window treatments; Drapes; Workshop
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 8.1% in Olean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Olean City School District (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #511 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Washington West Elementary School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 304 students, 57% FRL); Olean Intermediate-Middle School (math 23% / reading 36%, 564 students, 58% FRL); Olean Senior High School (math 77% / reading 67%, grade B+, #677 of 1,100 statewide, top 63%, 659 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $92k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.46%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,054
- List price
- $92,000
- Delta
- -14.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708 Irving St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (-0%) | 5mo | $25,000 | $20 | 68 |
| 309 S 3rd St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,270 (+3%) | 5mo | $10,000 | $8 | 62 |
| 218 N 12th St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+9%) | 10mo | $99,900 | $74 | 62 |
| 123 S 4th St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+5%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $69 | 61 |
| 1117 W Sullivan St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+13%) | 6mo | $53,500 | $38 | 60 |
| 1705 W State St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (-7%) | 2mo | $37,500 | $32 | 57 |
| 1014 N Union St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-1%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $25 | 57 |
| 130 S 6th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+7%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $114 | 56 |
| 334 N 13th St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,392 (+12%) | 5mo | $74,500 | $54 | 54 |
| 119 W Green St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,278 (+3%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $67 | 47 |
| 120 W Green St Unit R | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,128 (-9%) | 8mo | $15,000 | $13 | 41 |
| 224 S 16th St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-10%) | 3mo | $69,000 | $62 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $7,644
- Equity at exit
- $13,717
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $35,836
- Equity at exit
- $7,954
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14760
- Home prices YoY
- -7.7%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,316 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,990/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $405 | -5% $379 | +0% $353 | +5% $327 | +10% $301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $301 | +0% $353 | +5% $405 | +10% $457 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $400 | -0.5pp $377 | base $353 | +0.5pp $329 | +1.0pp $305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $92,000 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,000 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-05-10$92,000 Active 1221-char remark
-
2013-01-01soldstatus $46,000 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
OLEAN. FIRST TIME OFFERED. 3 BEDROOM HOME WITH 2 CAR GARAGE. LOCATED BETWEEN MIDDLE AND HIGH SCHOOL. MLS#B417473
-
2012-12-24soldstatus $46,000
-
2012-10-02$49,900 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
OLEAN. FIRST TIME OFFERED. 3 BEDROOM HOME WITH 2 CAR GARAGE. LOCATED BETWEEN MIDDLE AND HIGH SCHOOL. MLS#B417473
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,990 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,990 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$1,990
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,264
- − Management
- −$1,264
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $2,989
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$717
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olean City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621720
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,365
- Composite
- 34.81/100
- National rank
- #5104
- State rank
- #511 of 590 in NY
Livability — Olean
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #5930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Olean, NY
- City population
- 17,272
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,272
Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,623 people
- By 2030
- 67,751 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 59,488 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 51,601 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 35,025 · -51.1%
- By 2100
- 21,243 · -70.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.85%
- Current HPI
- 237.327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+84.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-23 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $92,000 WNYREIS
- 2013-01-01 Sold (MLS) $46,000 WNYREIS
- 2012-12-24 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2012-10-02 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,990 · -38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…