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6737 E Crimson Dr
D- Composite 39.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$381,990

6737 E Crimson Dr · Fresno, CA 93727
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,402 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market
2,051 sqft lot $272/sqft · 11% below area Est $430k · 11% under $162/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the comfort and convenience of modern living in this exclusive gated community. The Avenue offers beautiful homes ranging from 1,227 to 1,651 square feet, featuring modern designs and upgraded standard features. Enjoy low-maintenance front yard with Front yard landscape maintenance included, a community pool for relaxation and fun, and a prime location within the Clovis Unified School District. Each home comes turnkey, fully equipped with essential appliances including a washer, dryer, and refrigerator. Inside, you'll find stylish 6x24 wood-look tile plank flooring, elegant white quartz countertops throughout, and 2 fauxwood blinds that add a touch of sophistication. Priced in the

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Community pool
  • Essential appliances

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY POOLCLOVIS UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICTTURNKEYESSENTIAL APPLIANCESWOOD-LOOK TILE PLANK FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $162.04; Association amenities: pool, landscape maintenance, gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Public utilities; Electricity connected; Electric service listed as off
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Composition roof; Concrete foundation; Solar installed
  • Exterior features: Private community in-ground pool; Urban lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric appliances; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2.5 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Electric appliances; Refrigerator; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $382k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-420 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $321k (15.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $302k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $302k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.7% in Fresno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#469 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D+, crime F.
  • Clovis Unified (suburban): math 58% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #152 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Temperance-Kutner Elementary (634 students, 79% FRL); Reyburn Intermediate (1,643 students, 58% FRL); Clovis East High (2,768 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 32% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($371k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $301,560 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
4.98%
Cash-on-cash
-4.71%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$429,820
List price
$381,990
Delta
-11.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6604 E Clingstone Dr 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,402 (0%) 1mo $407,820 $291 97
2128 N Autumnglo Dr 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,402 (0%) 0mo $410,820 $293 96
6591 E Cresthaven Dr 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,402 (0%) 0mo $403,099 $288 95
6543 E Cresthaven Dr 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,402 (0%) 0mo $411,820 $294 95
6568 E Clingstone Dr 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,402 (0%) 1mo $391,820 $279 95
6551 E Cresthaven Dr 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,227 (-12%) 0mo $385,300 $314 76
6567 E Cresthaven Dr 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,227 (-12%) 0mo $387,300 $316 76
6544 E Blushing Dr 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,227 (-12%) 1mo $385,300 $314 75
6527 E Cresthaven Dr 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,227 (-12%) 0mo $394,300 $321 74
6575 E Cresthaven Dr 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,227 (-12%) 0mo $370,300 $302 74
6584 E Clingstone Dr 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,227 (-12%) 1mo $385,300 $314 74
7216 E University Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+14%) 0mo $435,000 $272 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.3%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-88,625
Equity at exit
$56,956
10-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-111,611
Equity at exit
$33,028

Cash invested: $106,957 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93727

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
329
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,016 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,003
Tax est. 1.5%
$477 /mo · $5,730/yr
Insurance
$159
HOA
$162
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$633
Net cashflow
$-420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,547
Max offer price $321,284
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-156 -5% $-288 +0% $-420 +5% $-552 +10% $-684
Rent -10% $-658 -5% $-539 +0% $-420 +5% $-300 +10% $-181
Rate -1.0pp $-227 -0.5pp $-322 base $-420 +0.5pp $-519 +1.0pp $-619

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$95,498
Closing costs
$11,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6609 E Carmen Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 2.0 1782 $2,650 $1.49 6d 1 0.19mi
6446 E Meritage Dr Fresno, CA 3.0 2.5 1652 $4,195 $2.54 46d 1 0.21mi
2400 N Armstrong Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 3.0 1400 $900 $0.64 46d 1 0.27mi
6563 E Tobey Ave Fresno, CA 4.0 2.0 1794 $4,695 $2.62 46d 1 0.48mi
6226 E Nala Dr Fresno, CA 3.0 2.5 1627 $2,350 $1.44 0d 1 0.79mi
6050 E Princeton Ave Fresno, CA 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,300 $2.00 0d 1 0.84mi
2851 N Janice Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 2.0 1341 $2,395 $1.79 26d 1 0.91mi
7170 E Amherst Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 2.0 1635 $2,595 $1.59 17d 1 0.92mi
5965 E Shields Ave #177 Fresno, CA 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,550 $1.40 17d 1 1.10mi
6102 E Giavanna Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 2.0 1343 $2,600 $1.94 46d 1 1.32mi
3462 N Clover Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 2.0 1787 $2,400 $1.34 26d 1 1.34mi
6193 E Brick Dr Fresno, CA 3.0 2.5 1512 $2,395 $1.58 22d 1 1.41mi
6052 E Bishop Ln Fresno, CA 3.0 2.5 1579 $2,250 $1.42 24d 1 1.41mi
5910 E Robinson Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,050 $1.86 6d 1 1.46mi
7399 E Giavanna Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 2.5 1703 $2,250 $1.32 46d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$162 · $1,944/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $381,990 Pending 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $381,990 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $381,990 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $381,990 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    price $381,990 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $397,990 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $397,990 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $397,990 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $397,990 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $397,990 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $397,990 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-04-22
    listed $381,990 Active 1070-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 14% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 57 unhealthy d/yr today · 60 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,187
− Mortgage interest
−$21,397
− Property taxes
−$5,730
− Insurance
−$1,910
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,895
− Management
−$2,895
− HOA
−$1,944
− Depreciation
−$11,112
Taxable loss
−$11,696
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,807
After-tax cash flow
$-2,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Unified
NCES district ID
0609030
Math proficiency
58% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$71,950
Composite
58.7/100
National rank
#2003
State rank
#152 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Fresno

Score
62/100
State rank
#469
US rank
#15907

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fresno, CA
County
Fresno County · 834,801 people
City population
593,114
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
84,107
Household income
$87,466
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
2745.0

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% Asian 27% Two or more races 22% White 18% Black 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Russian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Asian/Pacific 13% Other Indo-European 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -317.54%
Current HPI
379.1959
Rent YoY
▲ 2.95%
Metro
Fresno, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-06-07 Price Changed $381,990 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $397,990 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $381,990 FRESNOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…