3965 Black Hawk Dr · McCalla, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 44.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!
Key facts
- Large master suite
- 2 acres
- Finished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Has down payment assistance available
- HOA & community: No association/HOA fees
Exterior
- Parking: Side garage entry; Detached/attached 2 total garage spaces (listed as 2 garage spaces); Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Brick over foundation with vinyl siding; Basement foundation; Daylight full basement (both finished and unfinished areas); Tri-level: no / Split level: no / Split foyer: no; Year built: existing (not new construction)
- Construction: Brick over foundation; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Covered deck; Porch; Storage building; Paved public road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Built-in dishwasher; Built-in microwave; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Second kitchen in the basement
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level; Basement contains additional bedroom(s)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Master bath with garden tub and jetted tub; Separate shower and tub/shower combo; Walk-in closets
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Crown molding and smooth ceilings; Recessed lighting; Gas fireplace with gas logs in the den; Tile kitchen countertops
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($412/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (23.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $223k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in McCalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mcadory Elementary School (math 14% / reading 40%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 61% FRL); Mcadory Middle School (math 2% / reading 33%, grade F, #199 of 257 statewide, top 77%, 854 students, 74% FRL); Mcadory High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #237 of 305 statewide, top 78%, 1,162 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.51%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $358,116
- List price
- $290,000
- Delta
- -19.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3878 Black Hawk Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-4%) | 8mo | $255,007 | $173 | 79 |
| 4500 Cabin Rd | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-8%) | 11mo | $275,500 | $197 | 58 |
| 4587 Cabin Rd | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,366 (-11%) | 4mo | $382,500 | $280 | 56 |
| 4591 Cabin Rd | 0.43mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,390 (-9%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $259 | 56 |
| 4580 Cabin Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+14%) | 6mo | $440,000 | $251 | 52 |
| 5576 Tailwinds Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (+10%) | 15mo | $295,615 | $176 | 45 |
| 5424 Tailwinds Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (+10%) | 19mo | $298,230 | $178 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-33,184
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $26,892
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35022
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,226 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $990/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $198 | -5% $116 | +0% $34 | +5% $-48 | +10% $-130 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-142 | -5% $-54 | +0% $34 | +5% $122 | +10% $210 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $180 | -0.5pp $108 | base $34 | +0.5pp $-41 | +1.0pp $-117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4325 McClendon Chapel Rd Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1809 | $1,876 | $1.04 | 46d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3515 Timberlake Dr Helena, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2139 | $2,366 | $1.11 | 26d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $290,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $290,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $290,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $290,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $290,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $290,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-04$299,000 Active 606-char remark
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2026-03-02price $299,999
-
2026-02-12price $324,999
-
2026-02-06price $339,900
-
2023-06-16soldstatus $275,000
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2023-05-22soldstatus $275,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!
-
2023-04-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!
-
2023-03-30$299,900 Active
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!
-
2023-03-22price $299,900
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!
-
2023-03-22historical $399,900
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!
-
2020-07-28soldstatus $222,500
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2020-07-23soldstatus $222,500 Sold
-
2020-07-17status Pending
-
2020-06-13historical Contingent
-
2020-05-20$224,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $990 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,189 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 20.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,710
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$990
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,137
- − Management
- −$2,137
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$4,684
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,124
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — McCalla
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,126
- Household income
- $81,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 554.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.40%
- Current HPI
- 219.3839
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.80%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+28.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $290,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $299,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $299,999 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $324,999 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $339,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-22 Sold (MLS) $275,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-04-18 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-03-30 Listed $299,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-03-22 Price Changed $299,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-03-22 Coming Soon $399,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $222,500 Public Records
- 2020-07-23 Sold (MLS) $222,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-07-17 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-06-13 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-05-20 Listed $224,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $990 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…