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3965 Black Hawk Dr
D+ Composite 47.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$290,000

3965 Black Hawk Dr · McCalla, AL 35022
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,530 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1996 1.70 ac lot $190/sqft · 12% above area Est $358k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!

Key facts

  • Large master suite
  • 2 acres
  • Finished basement

Tags

2 ACRESHARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE MASTER SUITEWALK-UP ATTICFINISHED BASEMENTFULL BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Has down payment assistance available
  • HOA & community: No association/HOA fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Side garage entry; Detached/attached 2 total garage spaces (listed as 2 garage spaces); Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Brick over foundation with vinyl siding; Basement foundation; Daylight full basement (both finished and unfinished areas); Tri-level: no / Split level: no / Split foyer: no; Year built: existing (not new construction)
  • Construction: Brick over foundation; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Covered deck; Porch; Storage building; Paved public road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Built-in dishwasher; Built-in microwave; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Second kitchen in the basement
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level; Basement contains additional bedroom(s)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Master bath with garden tub and jetted tub; Separate shower and tub/shower combo; Walk-in closets
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Crown molding and smooth ceilings; Recessed lighting; Gas fireplace with gas logs in the den; Tile kitchen countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($412/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (23.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in McCalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mcadory Elementary School (math 14% / reading 40%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 61% FRL); Mcadory Middle School (math 2% / reading 33%, grade F, #199 of 257 statewide, top 77%, 854 students, 74% FRL); Mcadory High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #237 of 305 statewide, top 78%, 1,162 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $222,582 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$358,116
List price
$290,000
Delta
-19.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3878 Black Hawk Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,470 (-4%) 8mo $255,007 $173 79
4500 Cabin Rd 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-8%) 11mo $275,500 $197 58
4587 Cabin Rd 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,366 (-11%) 4mo $382,500 $280 56
4591 Cabin Rd 0.43mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,390 (-9%) 2mo $360,000 $259 56
4580 Cabin Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+14%) 6mo $440,000 $251 52
5576 Tailwinds Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,679 (+10%) 15mo $295,615 $176 45
5424 Tailwinds Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,679 (+10%) 19mo $298,230 $178 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-33,184
Equity at exit
$43,240
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$26,892
Equity at exit
$25,074

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35022

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,226 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $990/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,182
Max offer price $290,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $198 -5% $116 +0% $34 +5% $-48 +10% $-130
Rent -10% $-142 -5% $-54 +0% $34 +5% $122 +10% $210
Rate -1.0pp $180 -0.5pp $108 base $34 +0.5pp $-41 +1.0pp $-117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4325 McClendon Chapel Rd Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1809 $1,876 $1.04 46d 1 0.44mi
3515 Timberlake Dr Helena, AL 4.0 3.0 2139 $2,366 $1.11 26d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $290,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-22
    days on market $290,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $290,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $290,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $290,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $290,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $299,000 Active 606-char remark
  17. 2026-03-02
    price $299,999
  18. 2026-02-12
    price $324,999
  19. 2026-02-06
    price $339,900
  20. 2023-06-16
    soldstatus $275,000
  21. 2023-05-22
    soldstatus $275,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!

  22. 2023-04-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!

  23. 2023-03-30
    listed $299,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!

  24. 2023-03-22
    price $299,900
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!

  25. 2023-03-22
    historical $399,900
    Show marketing remark (715 chars)

    If you are looking for a private home surrounded by the tranquility of nature, while still being close to town, this is the home for you! This 3 bedroom, 3 bath basement home has beautiful hardwood floors with so many storage options! Oversized closets throughout with a very large walk-in primary closet. The walk-up attic is the perfect place to store seasonal items or has the option to be finished out for an additional bedroom. The finished basement includes a full bath and kitchenette. Home also includes a separate workshop with ac/electricity. Close distance to schools & new Medical West hospital to be completed in 2024. You do not want to miss this exceptional home! Schedule your private showing!

  26. 2020-07-28
    soldstatus $222,500
  27. 2020-07-23
    soldstatus $222,500 Sold
  28. 2020-07-17
    status Pending
  29. 2020-06-13
    historical Contingent
  30. 2020-05-20
    listed $224,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$990 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$199/yr (+$17/mo · 20.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,710
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$990
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,137
− Management
−$2,137
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$4,684
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,124
After-tax cash flow
$1,536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — McCalla

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,126
Household income
$81,846
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
554.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.40%
Current HPI
219.3839
Rent YoY
▲ 14.80%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.9% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $290,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $299,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $299,999 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $324,999 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $339,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-22 Sold (MLS) $275,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-04-18 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-03-30 Listed $299,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-03-22 Price Changed $299,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-03-22 Coming Soon $399,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $222,500 Public Records
  • 2020-07-23 Sold (MLS) $222,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-07-17 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-06-13 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-05-20 Listed $224,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $990 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…