35 Jordan Loop · Toccoa, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently located in the heart of Toccoa, GA, 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home offers comfortable living with an open floor plan and great functionality. The spacious living room features a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes a breakfast area, breakfast bar, and pantry, providing plenty of space for everyday living. The owner's suite offers a walk-in closet and a private bath complete with a garden tub and separate shower. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced backyard, ideal for pets or gatherings. A 2-car metal garage/workshop adds excellent storage and workspace options. Located just minutes from town, shopping, and schools, this property combines convenience with value. Cash buyer, Contact 21st Mortgage for financing 800-955-0021.Does not have permanent foundation. Title needs to be retired at closing. Ineligible for FHA , USDA and VA Loan.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Walk-in closet
- Private bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($45/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $157k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.4% in Toccoa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#131 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Stephens County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #74 of 174 in GA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (567 students, 75% FRL); Stephens County Middle School (math 29% / reading 31%, grade F, #243 of 470 statewide, top 53%, 860 students, 75% FRL); Stephens County High School (math 18% / reading 34%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,142 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 52 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Stephens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.09%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $226,131
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -20.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $54,656
- Equity at exit
- $115,413
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.19×
- Total profit
- $159,947
- Equity at exit
- $211,832
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30577
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,571 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $127 | -5% $66 | +0% $4 | +5% $-58 | +10% $-120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-120 | -5% $-58 | +0% $4 | +5% $66 | +10% $128 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $94 | -0.5pp $49 | base $4 | +0.5pp $-43 | +1.0pp $-90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2636 Toccoa Byp Toccoa, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 971 | $1,755 | $1.81 | 5d | 17 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $179,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-07$179,000 New 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Conveniently located in the heart of Toccoa, GA, 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home offers comfortable living with an open floor plan and great functionality. The spacious living room features a cozy fireplace, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes a breakfast area, breakfast bar, and pantry, providing plenty of space for everyday living. The owner's suite offers a walk-in closet and a private bath complete with a garden tub and separate shower. Enjoy outdoor space with a fenced backyard, ideal for pets or gatherings. A 2-car metal garage/workshop adds excellent storage and workspace options. Located just minutes from town, shopping, and schools, this property combines convenience with value. Cash buyer, Contact 21st Mortgage for financing 800-955-0021.Does not have permanent foundation. Title needs to be retired at closing. Ineligible for FHA , USDA and VA Loan.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$2,685
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,508
- − Management
- −$1,508
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$2,983
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$716
- After-tax cash flow
- $761/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stephens County
- NCES district ID
- 1304560
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,416
- Composite
- 28.42/100
- National rank
- #6759
- State rank
- #74 of 174 in GA
Livability — Toccoa
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #9152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Stephens County · 22,964 people
- City population
- 22,964
- Metro
- Toccoa, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,964
- Household income
- $53,818
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Stephens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,797 people
- By 2030
- 22,785 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 20,653 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 18,745 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 14,780 · -37.9%
- By 2100
- 11,079 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephens
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.4% · R 81.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -47.4pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.7 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.25%
- Current HPI
- 320.5275
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toccoa, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $179,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $174 · +33.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…