32206 Turtle Grace Loop · Wesley Chapel, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Short Sale. Third Party Approval Required. Located in the highly desirable Meadow Ridge Townhomes at Epperson Lagoon, this 2023-built, 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with loft and pond view is a turnkey investment opportunity you don’t want to miss. This modern home features an open-concept layout, spacious loft (perfect for added rental appeal), and a peaceful pond view that enhances tenant retention and long-term value. Built with concrete block construction on both floors and equipped with Smart Home System, this property offers durability and low-maintenance ownership.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Water slides
- Pond view
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-410 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (26.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.6% in Wesley Chapel — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#143 in FL, #2,137 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Watergrass Elementary School (math 50% / reading 62%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 865 students, 41% FRL); Thomas E. Weightman Middle School (math 48% / reading 53%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 1,250 students, 40% FRL); Wesley Chapel High School (math 52% / reading 58%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 1,826 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 712 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 49d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.39%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $294,514
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -6.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32419 Turtle Grace Loop | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,758 (0%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $159 | 91 |
| 32479 Welling Blade Loop | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,758 (0%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $202 | 84 |
| 32506 Welling Blade Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-5%) | 1mo | $294,990 | $176 | 76 |
| 32467 Welling Blade Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-5%) | 1mo | $324,990 | $194 | 76 |
| 32471 Welling Blade Loop | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-5%) | 2mo | $328,990 | $197 | 76 |
| 32463 Welling Blade Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-5%) | 1mo | $322,990 | $193 | 76 |
| 8057 Rolling Shell Trl | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,760 (+0%) | 1mo | $299,000 | $170 | 75 |
| 32459 Welling Blade Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-5%) | 2mo | $307,990 | $184 | 75 |
| 32510 Welling Blade Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-5%) | 2mo | $312,490 | $187 | 75 |
| 32409 Welling Blade Loop | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-5%) | 1mo | $329,990 | $197 | 73 |
| 32413 Welling Blade Loop | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-5%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $179 | 73 |
| 31881 Oyster Pier Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,749 (-0%) | 1mo | $364,990 | $209 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-77,418
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -63.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.65×
- Total profit
- $-127,032
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 28 active · 17 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.7 mo (21%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $315,000 ($186/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 69 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -10.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33545
- Home prices YoY
- -17.4%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 712
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,396 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$526 /mo · $6,317/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$220
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $-410
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-254 | -5% $-332 | +0% $-410 | +5% $-488 | +10% $-566 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-599 | -5% $-505 | +0% $-410 | +5% $-315 | +10% $-221 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-272 | -0.5pp $-340 | base $-410 | +0.5pp $-481 | +1.0pp $-554 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32312 Turtle Grace Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,300 | $1.37 | 51d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 32557 Turtle Grace Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 26d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 32557 Turtle Grace Loop Unit 1 Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1768 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 33d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 32557 Turtle Grace Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1768 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 33d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 32311 Turtle Grace Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,300 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 32599 Turtle Grace Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,600 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 32323 Turtle Grace Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $1,980 | $1.18 | 73d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 32389 Turtle Grace Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 36d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 8200 Rockfleet Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1534 | $2,197 | $1.43 | 14d | 6 | 0.22mi |
| 32519 Welling Blade Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,375 | $1.42 | 26d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 32492 Welling Blade Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $2,295 | $1.31 | 60d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8737 Bower Bass Cir Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2037 | $2,750 | $1.35 | 42d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 31993 Blue Passing Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1807 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 67d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 8069 Rolling Shell Trl Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $2,200 | $1.25 | 73d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 31535 Blue Passing Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1597 | $2,099 | $1.31 | 73d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 31881 Blue Passing Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1807 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 42d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 31632 Blue Passing Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,650 | $1.66 | 67d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 31611 Blue Passing Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $2,095 | $1.19 | 38d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 31700 Blue Passing Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1807 | $2,245 | $1.24 | 54d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 31700 Blue Passing Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1807 | $2,245 | $1.24 | 48d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7852 Tranquility Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $3,769 | $3.53 | 8d | 30 | 0.54mi |
| 31641 Blue Passing Loop Unit Epperson Logoon Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $2,250 | $1.28 | 54d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 31825 Lily Arbor Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2155 | $2,600 | $1.21 | 73d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7687 Intrepid Rd Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1808 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 36d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 32257 Snowberry Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $2,229 | $2.23 | 8d | 30 | 0.72mi |
| 7618 Momentum Pkwy Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 66d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 31742 Sun Kettle Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1939 | $2,500 | $1.29 | 73d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 31724 Sun Kettle Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2582 | $2,800 | $1.08 | 54d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8332 Juning Cv Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2371 | $2,823 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8893 Parsons Hill Blvd Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2582 | $2,850 | $1.10 | 73d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 31454 Barrel Wave Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $2,799 | $1.50 | 73d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 31478 Penny Surf Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2260 | $2,545 | $1.13 | 42d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 31478 Penny Surf Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2260 | $2,545 | $1.13 | 48d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8318 Claw Glades Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1846 | $2,399 | $1.30 | 34d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7942 Roma Dune Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2295 | $2,995 | $1.31 | 64d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7942 Roma Dune Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2299 | $2,995 | $1.30 | 62d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7273 Notched Pine Bnd Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2143 | $3,400 | $1.59 | 42d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8942 Forge Breeze Loop Unit Na Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,500 | $1.50 | 34d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 31365 Paper Birch St Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 64d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 31364 Midnight Sun Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1673 | $1,995 | $1.19 | 69d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- UnfurnishedLot roughly 0.07 acres (approx. 275 m²)
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment: $1,356Total annual fees: $2,640Total monthly fees: $220Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- HOA: Kai at EppersonMonthly HOA fee $150 (includes cable TV, internet, and recreational facilities)CDD presentPets allowed with breed restrictions
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedCable availableWater connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- TownhouseResidential propertyTwo storiesSouth-facing
- Construction
- Block, concrete and stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt with public records listing (living area 1,758 sq ft, building area 2,183 sq ft)
- Exterior features
- BalconySidewalkPond view
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenKitchen open to family roomLiving room open to dining roomOpen floorplanSplit bedroom layoutWalk-in closets
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerLaundry closet
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $275,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-07price $275,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $299,990 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $299,990 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $299,990 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $299,990 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $299,990 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $299,990 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $299,990 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $299,990 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $299,990 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $299,990 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $299,990 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $299,990 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $299,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $299,990 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $299,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $299,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $299,990 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $299,990 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $299,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $299,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $299,990 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $299,990 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $299,990 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $299,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $299,990 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $299,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $299,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $299,990 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $299,990 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $299,990 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $299,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $299,990 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $299,990 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $299,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $299,990 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $299,990 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,990 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,990 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,990 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,990 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $299,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $309,990 Active 34 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,317 · $526/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,317 · $526/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,755
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$6,317
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,300
- − Management
- −$2,300
- − HOA
- −$2,640
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$9,582
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,300
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This 2023-built townhome in a highly desirable gated community is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern layout, spacious loft, and a peaceful pond view, making it a turnkey investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Smart Home System — Enhances both resale and rental value by adding modern amenities. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more tenants or buyers. ↑
- Both Interior updates — Modernizing the interior can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more appealing to potential buyers and tenants. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wesley Chapel
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #2137
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wesley Chapel, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 100,771
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,222
- Household income
- $118,889
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 20% Black 14% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.59%
- Current HPI
- 273.0769
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.68%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-3.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $299,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $309,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+135.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,317 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…