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203 1st Ave Ave NE
C- Composite 52.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

203 1st Ave Ave NE · Oelwein, IA 50662
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,851 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1914 10,500 sqft lot Est $228k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 Story Historic 1914 Home. .. Rich in Character & Local History 4 Bedroom / 3 Bath Own a remarkable piece of Oelwein history with this stunning 1914 residence, once home to Oelwein's first Mayor. Rich in architectural character and craftsmanship, this stately property beautifully blends historic elegance with the modern updates today's buyers appreciate. From the moment you arrive, you'll be captivated by the home's distinctive turret, welcoming covered front porch, leaded glass windows, and impressive curb appeal on a spacious corner lot. Inside, exquisite quarter-sawn oak woodwork, original pocket doors, gleaming hardwood floors, and a beautiful wood-burning fireplace showcase the

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Leaded glass windows
  • Distinctive turret

Tags

HISTORIC HOMEDISTINCTIVE TURRETCOVERED FRONT PORCHLEADED GLASS WINDOWSQUARTER-SAWN OAK WOODWORKORIGINAL POCKET DOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Carport with 2 spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle (asphalt) roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Beamed ceilings; Wood-burning fireplace in the family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($474/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.5% in Oelwein — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IA, #3,329 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Oelwein Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #281 of 289 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wings Park Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #514 of 616 statewide, top 85%, 345 students, 64% FRL); Oelwein Middle School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade C-, #219 of 246 statewide, top 90%, 359 students, 60% FRL); Oelwein High School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade C-, #293 of 336 statewide, top 87%, 314 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $122,834 (5.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.30%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$228,080
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
221 1st Ave Ave NE 0.04mi 4/1.5 2,451 (-14%) 23mo $170,000 $69 52
27 Maplewood Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 2,696 (-5%) 18mo $233,000 $86 52
220 Lincoln Dr. Dr NE 0.26mi 4/2.0 2,490 (-13%) 18mo $180,000 $72 49
120 12th Ave Ave NE 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,657 (-7%) 2mo $225,000 $85 46
916 1st St. St NE 0.61mi 4/3.0 2,748 (-4%) 22mo $220,000 $80 46
36 7th Ave Ave SE 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,750 (-4%) 22mo $175,000 $64 44
100 Hillside Dr Dr E 0.72mi 4/3.5 3,050 (+7%) 14mo $289,900 $95 39
8 Hillside Dr Dr E 0.68mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,582 (-9%) 10mo $256,500 $99 37
301 SE 6th Ave 0.62mi 4/3.5 2,600 (-9%) 23mo $199,000 $77 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-18,512
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-12,724
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50662

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,340/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,178
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $113 -5% $76 +0% $39 +5% $3 +10% $-34
Rent -10% $-58 -5% $-9 +0% $39 +5% $88 +10% $137
Rate -1.0pp $105 -0.5pp $73 base $39 +0.5pp $6 +1.0pp $-28

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $130,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    remarks 695-char remark
  3. 2026-06-09
    listed $130,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,340 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,340 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,740
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$2,340
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,179
− Management
−$1,179
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$1,672
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$401
After-tax cash flow
$875/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oelwein Community School District
NCES district ID
1921630
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$39,812
Composite
42.61/100
National rank
#3189
State rank
#281 of 289 in IA

Livability — Oelwein

Score
76/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#3329

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oelwein, IA
Population (ZIP)
6,497

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,299 people
By 2030
18,701 · -3.1%
By 2040
17,469 · -9.5%
By 2050
16,389 · -15.1%
By 2075
15,156 · -21.5%
By 2100
14,214 · -26.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.5) · D 34.0% · R 64.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-47.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: -30.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+16.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.26%
Current HPI
177.9399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $130,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,340 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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