12 Glen Rock Rd · Pittston, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely renovated 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home in a prime location near Montage Mountain and just off I-81. Enjoy the peaceful setting along Spring Brook stream. Features 2x4 walls, forced air heat, washer/dryer hookups, fresh paint, and new carpeting. Move-in ready and waiting for you!
Key facts
- Renovated
- Fresh paint
- Forced air heat
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 6.5% in Pittston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#493 in PA, #4,549 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pittston Area SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #418 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pittston City Intrmd Ctr (math 25% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 648 students, 63% FRL); Pittston Area Ms (math 6% / reading 36%, grade F, #432 of 512 statewide, top 85%, 964 students, 55% FRL); Pittston Area Shs (math 77% / reading 50%, grade B-, #69 of 437 statewide, top 16%, 1,022 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.28%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,000
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- 13.41%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Glen Rock Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (0%) | 0mo | $46,000 | $63 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $16,836
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 36.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $46,822
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18640
- Home prices YoY
- -34.9%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $954 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $169/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $405 | +0% $391 | +5% $377 | +10% $363 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $353 | +0% $391 | +5% $429 | +10% $466 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $416 | -0.5pp $404 | base $391 | +0.5pp $378 | +1.0pp $365 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02status $49,900 Pending 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-06$49,900 Active 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
Completely renovated 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home in a prime location near Montage Mountain and just off I-81. Enjoy the peaceful setting along Spring Brook stream. Features 2x4 walls, forced air heat, washer/dryer hookups, fresh paint, and new carpeting. Move-in ready and waiting for you!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $169 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $479 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$310/yr (+$26/mo · 182.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$169
- − Insurance
- −$1,047
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$916
- − Management
- −$916
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $4,157
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$998
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittston Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219200
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,316
- Composite
- 29.86/100
- National rank
- #6409
- State rank
- #418 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pittston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #493
- US rank
- #4549
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,418
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.89%
- Current HPI
- 191.973
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $49,900 LCAR
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $169 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…