3176 Highway 53 · Rainy Lake, MN 56649

$79,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily · 124 Days on market

Built 1979 2.09 ac lot ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming single-family residence nestled on approximately 2.50 acres along U. S. Highway 53 in the International Falls area. T

Key facts

• 2.09 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1979

Tags

• SINGLE-FAMILY RESIDENCE
• APPROXIMATELY 2.50 ACRES
• INTERNATIONAL FALLS AREA

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($829 rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• International Falls School District (town): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #211 of 301 in MN (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Falls Elementary (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #368 of 857 statewide, top 47%, 393 students, 49% FRL); Falls Secondary (math 32% / reading 41%, grade F, #298 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 501 students, 38% FRL).
• Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Koochiching County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Koochiching County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.83%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.49%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-6,414
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.13×
• Total profit: $2,862
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 56649

• Home prices YoY: -22.7%
• Active inventory: 70
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $829 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$174
• Net cashflow: $102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $158	-5% $130	+0% $102	+5% $75	+10% $47
Rent	-10% $37	-5% $70	+0% $102	+5% $135	+10% $168
Rate	-1.0pp $143	-0.5pp $123	base $102	+0.5pp $82	+1.0pp $61

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-04
   days on market $79,900 Active 124 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $79,900 Active 123 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $79,900 Active 121 DOM
5. 2026-05-31
   days on market $79,900 Active 120 DOM
6. 2026-01-26
   price $79,900
7. 2026-01-23
   price $89,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $9,943
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$1,198
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$795
• − Management: −$795
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable loss: −$46
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$11
• After-tax cash flow: $1,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: International Falls School District
• NCES district ID: 2715000
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -18.00%
• Median HH income: $42,926
• Composite: 35.88/100
• National rank: #4813
• State rank: #211 of 301 in MN

Livability — Rainy Lake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,895

Population outlook (Koochiching County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 11,977 people
• By 2030: 11,406 · -4.8%
• By 2040: 10,045 · -16.1%
• By 2050: 8,746 · -27.0%
• By 2075: 6,363 · -46.9%
• By 2100: 4,275 · -64.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 7% Native American 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 20% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Koochiching

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.7) · D 36.4% · R 62.0% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -35.8pp toward R · 2008: 10.1pp · 2024: -25.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.7 2020: R+21.3 2016: R+20.0 2012: D+9.5 2008: D+10.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -51.62%
• Current HPI: 176.118
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

-11.1% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-26 Price Changed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-23 Price Changed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid