2237 Fm 1182 · Alma, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
Key facts
- Tiled backsplash
- New cabinets
- Kitchen island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#386 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Ennis ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #411 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: David S Crockett Early Childhood Center (469 students, 82% FRL); Ennis J H (math 41% / reading 44%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 886 students, 69% FRL); Ennis H S (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #941 of 1,632 statewide, top 58%, 1,791 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,016 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ellis County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 500 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 500 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.12%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $257,000
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -38.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-18,492
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,042
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75119
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 368
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,416 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $116
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $206 | -5% $161 | +0% $116 | +5% $71 | +10% $26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4 | -5% $60 | +0% $116 | +5% $172 | +10% $228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $196 | -0.5pp $156 | base $116 | +0.5pp $75 | +1.0pp $33 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $159,000 Active 500 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,000 Active 499 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 496 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 491 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,000 Active 482 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 479 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 478 DOM
-
2026-03-03price $159,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2026-02-03price $162,500 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2025-11-05price $169,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2025-08-14price $180,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2025-06-03price $190,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2025-05-19price $200,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2025-04-18price $209,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2025-03-21status Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2025-03-20historical Active Option Contract 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
-
2025-02-07$225,000 Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Recently remodeled, 1344 sf, 3-bedroom 2-bathroom doublewide manufactured home situated on a 0.7 acre lot that is located southeast of Ennis. Recent improvements consist of granite counters, new cabinets, kitchen island, tiled backsplash, and vinyl plank floors....NOTE: The dwelling has been moved and is not eligible for FHA financing and recommend 21st Mortgage for financing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,910 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,678/yr (+$140/mo · 136.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,232
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,359
- − Management
- −$1,359
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$1,286
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$309
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,699/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This recently remodeled doublewide manufactured home is in good condition with recent improvements, making it a good investment for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value.
- Both Add a small front porch or entryway — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming entrance.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value. ↑
- Both Add a small front porch or entryway — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming entrance. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ennis ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818540
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,105
- Composite
- 34.14/100
- National rank
- #5283
- State rank
- #411 of 826 in TX
Livability — Alma
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #386
- US rank
- #8051
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ellis County · 199,237 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,866
- Household income
- $77,053
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 784.0
Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,556 people
- By 2030
- 209,679 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 238,837 · +22.8%
- By 2050
- 265,451 · +36.4%
- By 2075
- 326,571 · +67.9%
- By 2100
- 362,156 · +86.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 13% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ellis
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.0% · R 65.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.2pp toward D · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+47.5 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -207.30%
- Current HPI
- 253.0134
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-29.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $159,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $162,500 NTREIS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $169,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $180,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $190,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $200,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-18 Price Changed $209,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-21 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-03-20 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-02-07 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…