402 E 5th St · Atlantic, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Timeless beauty and character is what you'll find in this 1 1/2 story home that features 3 bedrooms and one bath, completely renovated! Modern updates bring peace of mind while the stunning original woodwork and hardwood floors add warmth and classic charm you just can't replicate. The original built-in features showcase the craftsmanship of the era, blending perfectly with today's style and convenience. Truly move-in ready!
Key facts
- Original woodwork
- Hardwood floors
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (5.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.0% in Atlantic — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#243 in IA, #4,704 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Atlantic Community School District (town): math 68% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #155 of 289 in IA (top 54%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.84%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,169
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -4.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 Spruce St | 0.27mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+5%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $103 | 67 |
| 608 Hazel Street St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,536 (+11%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 201 E 6th St | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+4%) | 17mo | $202,000 | $139 | 61 |
| 901 Mulberry St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-2%) | 10mo | $157,500 | $116 | 61 |
| 310 W 1st St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,395 (+0%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $125 | 57 |
| 505 Hickory St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,316 (-5%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $95 | 52 |
| 810 Walnut St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (-11%) | 17mo | $139,500 | $113 | 51 |
| 1320 Poplar St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (-4%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $86 | 47 |
| 204 W 11th St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (-8%) | 16mo | $100,000 | $78 | 41 |
| 200 W 8th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (+15%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $72 | 38 |
| 1205 Maple St | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,558 (+12%) | 10mo | $138,000 | $89 | 37 |
| 7 E 13 St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (-9%) | 18mo | $175,000 | $139 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-10,831
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,568
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50022
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,132 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $958/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $169 | +0% $135 | +5% $101 | +10% $68 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $46 | -5% $91 | +0% $135 | +5% $180 | +10% $225 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $196 | -0.5pp $166 | base $135 | +0.5pp $104 | +1.0pp $73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2025-12-26$119,900 Active 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Timeless beauty and character is what you'll find in this 1 1/2 story home that features 3 bedrooms and one bath, completely renovated! Modern updates bring peace of mind while the stunning original woodwork and hardwood floors add warmth and classic charm you just can't replicate. The original built-in features showcase the craftsmanship of the era, blending perfectly with today's style and convenience. Truly move-in ready!
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2025-12-22historical $1,200
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2025-11-21$1,200
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2025-11-14soldstatus $101,750
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2019-12-03soldstatus $70,000
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2019-12-02soldstatus $70,000 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Nicely redone 3 Bedroom home. New interior & exterior paint. Completely refinished hardwood floors. Nice oak woodwork, New Roof, gutters and Windows. Remolded Kitchen and Bathroom. Nice sitting front porch. Walking distance to downtown. Must SEE Call a Realtor Today!!
-
2019-12-02soldstatus $70,000 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Nicely redone 3 Bedroom home. New interior & exterior paint. Completely refinished hardwood floors. Nice oak woodwork, New Roof, gutters and Windows. Remolded Kitchen and Bathroom. Nice sitting front porch. Walking distance to downtown. Must SEE Call a Realtor Today!!
-
2019-08-22$75,491 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Nicely redone 3 Bedroom home. New interior & exterior paint. Completely refinished hardwood floors. Nice oak woodwork, New Roof, gutters and Windows. Remolded Kitchen and Bathroom. Nice sitting front porch. Walking distance to downtown. Must SEE Call a Realtor Today!!
-
2019-08-22$75,491 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Nicely redone 3 Bedroom home. New interior & exterior paint. Completely refinished hardwood floors. Nice oak woodwork, New Roof, gutters and Windows. Remolded Kitchen and Bathroom. Nice sitting front porch. Walking distance to downtown. Must SEE Call a Realtor Today!!
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2019-06-26soldstatus $35,000
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2019-06-26soldstatus $35,000
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2017-06-28$35,000
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2017-06-28$35,000
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2011-10-18soldstatus $25,000
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2011-09-07$30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $958 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,420 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$462/yr (+$39/mo · 48.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$958
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,086
- − Management
- −$1,086
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$355
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$85
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,710/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlantic Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1903930
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,877
- Composite
- 58.58/100
- National rank
- #987
- State rank
- #155 of 289 in IA
Livability — Atlantic
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #4704
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlantic, IA
- City population
- 8,472
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,472
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,452 people
- By 2030
- 11,911 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 10,904 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 10,005 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 8,030 · -35.5%
- By 2100
- 5,865 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 28.9% · R 69.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+38.0 2016: R+39.8 2012: R+18.9 2008: R+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.62%
- Current HPI
- 162.2127
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+299.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-26 Listed $119,900 IAR
- 2025-12-22 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-11-21 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $101,750 Public Records
- 2019-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2019-12-02 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-02 Sold (MLS) $70,000 IAR
- 2019-08-22 Listed $75,491 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-22 Listed $75,491 IAR
- 2019-06-26 Sold (MLS) $35,000 IAR
- 2019-06-26 Sold (MLS) $35,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-28 Listed $35,000 IAR
- 2017-06-28 Listed $35,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-07 Listed $30,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $958 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…