6097 County Road 4 · Minto, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 3 season room
- Large garage
- One level living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Propane
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Private lot of about 0.51 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Window treatments
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#148 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Minto 20 (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #127 of 169 in ND (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Minto Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #162 of 236 statewide, top 73%, 225 students, 46% FRL); Minto High School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #131 of 144 statewide, top 92%, 83 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Walsh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Walsh County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.51%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $16,781
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $51,338
- Equity at exit
- $62,019
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58261
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $870 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $145 | -5% $120 | +0% $94 | +5% $69 | +10% $44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $26 | -5% $60 | +0% $94 | +5% $129 | +10% $163 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $139 | -0.5pp $117 | base $94 | +0.5pp $71 | +1.0pp $47 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-23$89,500 Active
-
2015-10-13soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,435
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$1,033
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$835
- − Management
- −$835
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable loss
- −$332
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$80
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,211/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minto 20
- NCES district ID
- 3813050
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 20.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,421
- Composite
- 33.46/100
- National rank
- #10533
- State rank
- #127 of 169 in ND
Livability — Minto
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #11209
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,284
Population outlook (Walsh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,953 people
- By 2030
- 10,984 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 11,293 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 11,936 · +9.0%
- By 2075
- 15,168 · +38.5%
- By 2100
- 19,544 · +78.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 24% Portuguese 17% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walsh
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.2) · D 26.3% · R 71.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -45.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.2 2020: R+41.6 2016: R+40.2 2012: R+13.7 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+49.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $89,500 GFAAR
- 2015-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,033 · -15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…