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2904 Poyner Dr
F Composite 32.9
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$274,900

2904 Poyner Dr · Phenix City, AL 36870
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,526 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2014 0.35 ac lot Est $237k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Some homes are built for living. Some simply feel like the place you were meant to plant your roots. Welcome to 2904 Poyner Drive in Phenix City, AL. This move in ready home offers over 1,800 square feet with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths, giving you the flexibility and space to make it fit your lifestyle. Originally a 3 bedroom, 2 bath home, it was thoughtfully converted to include 2 additional bedrooms, creating extra room for guests, hobbies, office space, or simply more room to spread out and enjoy. Inside, you'll find granite countertops throughout, a kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space, and a walk in pantry ready to handle everyday living with ease. The oversized master sui

Key facts

  • Granite countertops
  • Walk in pantry
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSWALK IN PANTRYSCREENED IN BACK PORCHFENCED BACKYARDOVERSIZED MASTER SUITELARGE WALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Patio (screened); Fenced yard; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($783/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (20.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.1% in Phenix City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Phenix City Elementary School (math 11% / reading 29%, grade F, #455 of 627 statewide, top 73%, 715 students, 90% FRL); Phenix City Intermediate School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #129 of 257 statewide, top 52%, 1,044 students, 80% FRL); Central High School (math 26% / reading 21%, grade F, #139 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,495 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 64% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $275k implies a 269% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $217,851 (20.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.02%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$236,530
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2906 Kent Dr 0.13mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,625 (+6%) 10mo $235,000 $145 70
10 Devonshire Dr 0.30mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,737 (+14%) 17mo $269,900 $155 43
205 Summerbrooke Loop 0.75mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,684 (+10%) 10mo $279,900 $166 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-40,508
Equity at exit
$40,988
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-30,399
Equity at exit
$23,768

Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36870

Home prices YoY
-10.5%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,179 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,196/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,096
Max offer price $274,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $221 -5% $143 +0% $65 +5% $-13 +10% $-90
Rent -10% $-107 -5% $-21 +0% $65 +5% $151 +10% $237
Rate -1.0pp $204 -0.5pp $135 base $65 +0.5pp $-6 +1.0pp $-78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,725
Closing costs
$8,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1910 Kittrell Dr Phenix City, AL 5.0 3.0 2100 $2,250 $1.07 16d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $274,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $274,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $274,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $274,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,900 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $274,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $274,900 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $274,900 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $274,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $274,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $274,900 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,900 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,900 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $274,900 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $279,900 Active
  18. 2002-09-27
    soldstatus $74,568

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,196 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,196 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,142
− Mortgage interest
−$15,399
− Property taxes
−$1,196
− Insurance
−$1,374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,091
− Management
−$2,091
− Depreciation
−$7,997
Taxable loss
−$4,007
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$962
After-tax cash flow
$1,744/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phenix City
NCES district ID
0102700
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,228
Composite
27.29/100
National rank
#7001
State rank
#59 of 129 in AL

Livability — Phenix City

Score
60/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#19037

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phenix City, AL
County
Lee County · 144,175 people
City population
62,290
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
Population (ZIP)
17,951
Household income
$72,500
Rent vs Own
19.3% rent · 80.7% own
Severe rent burden
500.0

Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
70,137 people
By 2030
75,826 · +8.1%
By 2040
87,858 · +25.3%
By 2050
99,721 · +42.2%
By 2075
128,009 · +82.5%
By 2100
149,251 · +112.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Russell

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 48.7%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.3pp · 2024: 1.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.7 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+7.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -28.19%
Current HPI
241.1403
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+275.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $279,900 CBOR
  • 2002-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $74,568 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,196 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…