CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
13929 Nancy Lou Loop
B+ Composite 75.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

13929 Nancy Lou Loop · Athens, AL 35611
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,224 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1970 0.41 ac lot Est $179k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

JUST RELISTED! New Carpet in Living Room and all 4 Bedrooms, cleaned, including duct work. 4BR, 1 BA, 1220sf property located 5 min from TVA Plant, apx. 10 min to Calhoun Decatur Campus, I65 & Toyota Mazda. 4th BR could be additional Living Space/Den or Isolated Master. TVA package (windows, roof & exterior doors) installed by previous owner. Current owner replaced lower kitchen cabinets, refrigerator (remains), replaced joists, subfloor & vinyl in Kitchen, Bath & Laundry and repaired/secured deck foundation apx 3 years ago. Sold As-is, Where-is with no known defects. Large Storage building and fenced area of backyard off deck. Conventional Loan or Cash Only.

Key facts

  • Flexible floor plan
  • Spacious lot
  • Rear deck

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTFLEXIBLE FLOOR PLANREAR DECKPARTIALLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.41 acre lot
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Nancy Lou

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1970; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Crawl space foundation; Built in 1970
  • Exterior features: Public water service

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space foundation; 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.6% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Limestone County (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Blue Springs Elementary School (math 32% / reading 49%, grade F, #238 of 627 statewide, top 38%, 515 students, 66% FRL); Clements High School (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #181 of 305 statewide, top 60%, 554 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 40% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,215 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.34%
Cash-on-cash
18.04%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$178,704
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11594 Cowford Rd 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,200 (-2%) 2mo $175,000 $146 83
13680 Nancy Lou Loop 0.13mi 4/1.0 1,277 (+4%) 23mo $180,000 $141 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,524
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$29,102
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35611

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
546
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$434

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,125
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $119,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    remarks 602-char remark
  11. 2026-06-03
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,101
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$1,392
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,608
− Management
−$1,608
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$3,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$859
After-tax cash flow
$4,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Limestone County
NCES district ID
0102100
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,972
Composite
28.09/100
National rank
#6829
State rank
#52 of 129 in AL

Livability — Athens

Score
75/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#4019

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Limestone County · 80,439 people
City population
55,492
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
29,969
Household income
$57,377
Rent vs Own
40.4% rent · 59.6% own
Severe rent burden
811.0

Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,441 people
By 2030
121,272 · +8.8%
By 2040
140,705 · +26.3%
By 2050
159,069 · +42.7%
By 2075
202,231 · +81.5%
By 2100
230,608 · +106.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Limestone

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.98%
Current HPI
185.0264
Rent YoY
▲ 1.23%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $129,900 VMLS
  • 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $134,050 Public Records
  • 2022-05-02 Sold (MLS) $134,050 VMLS
  • 2022-04-07 Pending VMLS
  • 2022-03-25 Listed $115,000 VMLS
  • 2021-12-17 Listed $115,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+18.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $192 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…