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1418 Saskatoon Ave
B- Composite 66.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,500

1418 Saskatoon Ave · Norton Shores, MI 49444
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily · 172 Days on market
Built 2007

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Stop by and check out this 3 bedroom 2 full bath home in Norton Shores Estates! When you enter in the west door you immediately step into the living room with open kitchen and dining area. Off the kitchen is laundry with front load washer & dryer plus some storage. Toward the back you will find the furnace off the hallway plus another bedroom with large closet and full bath. Off the other side of the living room is the 2 other bedrooms with the other full bath between them. Outside there is a newer shed perfect for storage (even tho the park mows the lawn & weed wack's) Home also has central air and a steel roof! Lot rent is just $529.36 a month which also includes trash plus base rate for water & sewer. Setup your showing today!

Key facts

  • Laundry with storage
  • Newer shed
  • Steel roof

Tags

OPEN KITCHENLAUNDRY WITH STORAGENEWER SHEDCENTRAL AIRSTEEL ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Residential property; Other architectural style; Single-level (1,008 sq ft living area)
  • Construction: Built in 2007; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating available
  • Interior features: Total of 5 rooms; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 3.0% in Norton Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#310 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of (urban): math 4% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #534 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $273 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $34,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.23%
Cap rate
28.62%
Cash-on-cash
79.72%
DSCR
4.55
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,352
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3104 Stratford St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,089 (+8%) 2mo $209,000 $192 74
2983 Worden St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+11%) 5mo $169,900 $152 63
3176 Klug St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 948 (-6%) 3mo $205,000 $216 60
2657 Roberts St 0.67mi 3/2.0 955 (-5%) 2mo $143,000 $150 58
2962 Stratford St 0.29mi 3/1.0 900 (-11%) 9mo $165,000 $183 57
3049 Kooi St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (-8%) 10mo $158,900 $172 54
1200 E Broadway Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 936 (-7%) 10mo $129,000 $138 51
2847 Mc Dermott St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 874 (-13%) 3mo $148,000 $169 45
2965 Valley St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,047 (+4%) 14mo $114,000 $109 42
2865 Vandenberg Rd 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,121 (+11%) 5mo $184,000 $164 41
2754 Huizenga St 0.67mi 3/1.0 900 (-11%) 9mo $115,000 $128 39
2928 Valley St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+13%) 10mo $199,900 $175 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
79.9%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$40,417
Equity at exit
$5,890
10-year hold
IRR
83.3%
Equity multiple
9.64×
Total profit
$95,532
Equity at exit
$3,415

Cash invested: $11,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49444

Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,276 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$207
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $592/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$735

Break-even live

Break-even rent $346
Max offer price $39,500
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $762 -5% $748 +0% $735 +5% $721 +10% $707
Rent -10% $634 -5% $684 +0% $735 +5% $785 +10% $836
Rate -1.0pp $755 -0.5pp $745 base $735 +0.5pp $725 +1.0pp $714

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,875
Closing costs
$1,185
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3223 Bailey St Norton Shores, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1096 $1,319 $1.20 21d 1 0.35mi
232 E Lincoln Ave Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $39,500 Active 172 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,500 Active 171 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,500 Active 170 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,500 Active 169 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,500 Active 168 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,500 Active 166 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,500 Active 165 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,500 Active 163 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,500 Active 162 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,500 Active 161 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,500 Active 160 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,500 Active 157 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,500 Active 156 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,500 Active 155 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,500 Active 154 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,500 Active 153 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,500 Active 152 DOM
  18. 2025-12-29
    listed $39,500 Active 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Stop by and check out this 3 bedroom 2 full bath home in Norton Shores Estates! When you enter in the west door you immediately step into the living room with open kitchen and dining area. Off the kitchen is laundry with front load washer & dryer plus some storage. Toward the back you will find the furnace off the hallway plus another bedroom with large closet and full bath. Off the other side of the living room is the 2 other bedrooms with the other full bath between them. Outside there is a newer shed perfect for storage (even tho the park mows the lawn & weed wack's) Home also has central air and a steel roof! Lot rent is just $529.36 a month which also includes trash plus base rate for water & sewer. Setup your showing today!

  19. 2025-12-29
    listed $39,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Stop by and check out this 3 bedroom 2 full bath home in Norton Shores Estates! When you enter in the west door you immediately step into the living room with open kitchen and dining area. Off the kitchen is laundry with front load washer & dryer plus some storage. Toward the back you will find the furnace off the hallway plus another bedroom with large closet and full bath. Off the other side of the living room is the 2 other bedrooms with the other full bath between them. Outside there is a newer shed perfect for storage (even tho the park mows the lawn & weed wack's) Home also has central air and a steel roof! Lot rent is just $529.36 a month which also includes trash plus base rate for water & sewer. Setup your showing today!

  20. 2025-12-29
    listed $39,500 Active 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Stop by and check out this 3 bedroom 2 full bath home in Norton Shores Estates! When you enter in the west door you immediately step into the living room with open kitchen and dining area. Off the kitchen is laundry with front load washer & dryer plus some storage. Toward the back you will find the furnace off the hallway plus another bedroom with large closet and full bath. Off the other side of the living room is the 2 other bedrooms with the other full bath between them. Outside there is a newer shed perfect for storage (even tho the park mows the lawn & weed wack's) Home also has central air and a steel roof! Lot rent is just $529.36 a month which also includes trash plus base rate for water & sewer. Setup your showing today!

  21. 2025-12-06
    historical
  22. 2025-11-20
    status Active
  23. 2025-11-20
    status Active
  24. 2025-11-10
    status Pending
  25. 2025-11-10
    status Pending
  26. 2025-11-10
    historical
  27. 2025-10-18
    price $39,500
  28. 2025-10-17
    price $39,500
  29. 2025-10-17
    price $39,500
  30. 2025-08-12
    listed $41,900 Active
  31. 2025-08-12
    listed $41,900 Active
  32. 2023-04-03
    soldstatus $28,000 Sold
  33. 2023-04-03
    soldstatus $28,000 Sold
  34. 2023-03-31
    status Pending
  35. 2023-03-31
    status Pending
  36. 2023-03-31
    status Pending
  37. 2023-03-28
    listed $30,000 Active
  38. 2023-03-28
    listed $30,000 Active
  39. 2023-03-28
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,308
− Mortgage interest
−$2,213
− Property taxes
−$592
− Insurance
−$198
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,225
− Management
−$1,225
− Depreciation
−$1,149
Taxable income
$8,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,090
After-tax cash flow
$6,728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muskegon Public Schools Of The City Of
NCES district ID
2624840
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$27,622
Composite
5.8/100
National rank
#10017
State rank
#534 of 540 in MI

Livability — Norton Shores

Score
70/100
State rank
#310
US rank
#7620

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norton Shores, MI
County
Muskegon County · 107,917 people
City population
26,372
Metro
Muskegon, MI
Population (ZIP)
26,372
Household income
$53,054
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
930.0

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 6% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.02%
Current HPI
209.2698
Rent YoY
Metro
Muskegon, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.7% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $39,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $39,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $39,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-20 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-18 Price Changed $39,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $39,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $39,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $41,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $41,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-03 Sold (MLS) $28,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-04-03 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-31 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-31 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-31 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-03-28 Listed $30,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-03-28 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-28 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…