CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
465 Hazzard Ln
B- Composite 69.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

465 Hazzard Ln · Molino, FL 32533
None bd · None ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 170 Days on market
Built 1918 5.29 ac lot ↓ 52% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own a mobile home park for the price of a single family house ! This large parcel consists of 4.37 acres spread out on Hazzard Lane. Currently, there are 3 mobile homes and a wood frame single-family home. The Wood frame house is 1260 sq. ft, 3 bed 1 bath. Mobile 1 has 2 bed 1 bath, around 800 sq ft. Mobile 2 has around 800 sq ft 2 bed 1 bath. Mobile 3 has around 600 sq ft, 1 bed 1 bath. Each structure needs work to get them back in rentable condition. Property is zoned RMU, and the property use is multifamily. Per the county, you can have up to 9 units on the property, so there is the possibility of adding an additional 5 units for even more cash flow. There is city water, so no need to deal with wells. There are 2 power poles and at least one septic we know of, but there is probably another septic as well, as 2 of the mobile homes, and wood frame house were occupied. Property was aquired via tax deed, and will be transferred with a quit claim deed. All information to be verified by buyer.

Key facts

  • Large parcel
  • Multifamily use
  • City water

Tags

LARGE PARCELZONED RMUMULTIFAMILY USECITY WATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.5% in Molino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#224 in FL, #3,540 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 513 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.04%
Cash-on-cash
20.53%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$17,047
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$61,698
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32533

Home prices YoY
-14.6%
Active inventory
513
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,762 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$570

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1787 Booth Lake Rd Cantonment, FL 3.0 2.0 1476 $1,775 $1.20 14d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 168 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 167 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,000 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,000 Active 162 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 161 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 160 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 155 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 153 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 152 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 151 DOM
  15. 2026-03-03
    status Active 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Own a mobile home park for the price of a single family house ! This large parcel consists of 4.37 acres spread out on Hazzard Lane. Currently, there are 3 mobile homes and a wood frame single-family home. The Wood frame house is 1260 sq. ft, 3 bed 1 bath. Mobile 1 has 2 bed 1 bath, around 800 sq ft. Mobile 2 has around 800 sq ft 2 bed 1 bath. Mobile 3 has around 600 sq ft, 1 bed 1 bath. Each structure needs work to get them back in rentable condition. Property is zoned RMU, and the property use is multifamily. Per the county, you can have up to 9 units on the property, so there is the possibility of adding an additional 5 units for even more cash flow. There is city water, so no need to deal with wells. There are 2 power poles and at least one septic we know of, but there is probably another septic as well, as 2 of the mobile homes, and wood frame house were occupied. Property was aquired via tax deed, and will be transferred with a quit claim deed. All information to be verified by buyer.

  16. 2026-02-28
    historical 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Own a mobile home park for the price of a single family house ! This large parcel consists of 4.37 acres spread out on Hazzard Lane. Currently, there are 3 mobile homes and a wood frame single-family home. The Wood frame house is 1260 sq. ft, 3 bed 1 bath. Mobile 1 has 2 bed 1 bath, around 800 sq ft. Mobile 2 has around 800 sq ft 2 bed 1 bath. Mobile 3 has around 600 sq ft, 1 bed 1 bath. Each structure needs work to get them back in rentable condition. Property is zoned RMU, and the property use is multifamily. Per the county, you can have up to 9 units on the property, so there is the possibility of adding an additional 5 units for even more cash flow. There is city water, so no need to deal with wells. There are 2 power poles and at least one septic we know of, but there is probably another septic as well, as 2 of the mobile homes, and wood frame house were occupied. Property was aquired via tax deed, and will be transferred with a quit claim deed. All information to be verified by buyer.

  17. 2026-02-04
    status Active 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Own a mobile home park for the price of a single family house ! This large parcel consists of 4.37 acres spread out on Hazzard Lane. Currently, there are 3 mobile homes and a wood frame single-family home. The Wood frame house is 1260 sq. ft, 3 bed 1 bath. Mobile 1 has 2 bed 1 bath, around 800 sq ft. Mobile 2 has around 800 sq ft 2 bed 1 bath. Mobile 3 has around 600 sq ft, 1 bed 1 bath. Each structure needs work to get them back in rentable condition. Property is zoned RMU, and the property use is multifamily. Per the county, you can have up to 9 units on the property, so there is the possibility of adding an additional 5 units for even more cash flow. There is city water, so no need to deal with wells. There are 2 power poles and at least one septic we know of, but there is probably another septic as well, as 2 of the mobile homes, and wood frame house were occupied. Property was aquired via tax deed, and will be transferred with a quit claim deed. All information to be verified by buyer.

  18. 2026-02-04
    price $119,000 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Own a mobile home park for the price of a single family house ! This large parcel consists of 4.37 acres spread out on Hazzard Lane. Currently, there are 3 mobile homes and a wood frame single-family home. The Wood frame house is 1260 sq. ft, 3 bed 1 bath. Mobile 1 has 2 bed 1 bath, around 800 sq ft. Mobile 2 has around 800 sq ft 2 bed 1 bath. Mobile 3 has around 600 sq ft, 1 bed 1 bath. Each structure needs work to get them back in rentable condition. Property is zoned RMU, and the property use is multifamily. Per the county, you can have up to 9 units on the property, so there is the possibility of adding an additional 5 units for even more cash flow. There is city water, so no need to deal with wells. There are 2 power poles and at least one septic we know of, but there is probably another septic as well, as 2 of the mobile homes, and wood frame house were occupied. Property was aquired via tax deed, and will be transferred with a quit claim deed. All information to be verified by buyer.

  19. 2025-12-20
    status Pending 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Own a mobile home park for the price of a single family house ! This large parcel consists of 4.37 acres spread out on Hazzard Lane. Currently, there are 3 mobile homes and a wood frame single-family home. The Wood frame house is 1260 sq. ft, 3 bed 1 bath. Mobile 1 has 2 bed 1 bath, around 800 sq ft. Mobile 2 has around 800 sq ft 2 bed 1 bath. Mobile 3 has around 600 sq ft, 1 bed 1 bath. Each structure needs work to get them back in rentable condition. Property is zoned RMU, and the property use is multifamily. Per the county, you can have up to 9 units on the property, so there is the possibility of adding an additional 5 units for even more cash flow. There is city water, so no need to deal with wells. There are 2 power poles and at least one septic we know of, but there is probably another septic as well, as 2 of the mobile homes, and wood frame house were occupied. Property was aquired via tax deed, and will be transferred with a quit claim deed. All information to be verified by buyer.

  20. 2025-11-10
    listed $140,000 Active 1005-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1005 chars)

    Own a mobile home park for the price of a single family house ! This large parcel consists of 4.37 acres spread out on Hazzard Lane. Currently, there are 3 mobile homes and a wood frame single-family home. The Wood frame house is 1260 sq. ft, 3 bed 1 bath. Mobile 1 has 2 bed 1 bath, around 800 sq ft. Mobile 2 has around 800 sq ft 2 bed 1 bath. Mobile 3 has around 600 sq ft, 1 bed 1 bath. Each structure needs work to get them back in rentable condition. Property is zoned RMU, and the property use is multifamily. Per the county, you can have up to 9 units on the property, so there is the possibility of adding an additional 5 units for even more cash flow. There is city water, so no need to deal with wells. There are 2 power poles and at least one septic we know of, but there is probably another septic as well, as 2 of the mobile homes, and wood frame house were occupied. Property was aquired via tax deed, and will be transferred with a quit claim deed. All information to be verified by buyer.

  21. 2025-11-02
    historical
  22. 2025-10-15
    listed $140,000 Active
  23. 2025-05-08
    historical
  24. 2025-04-30
    price $174,980
  25. 2025-03-20
    price $184,980
  26. 2025-01-13
    price $199,980
  27. 2025-01-03
    price $214,900
  28. 2024-10-09
    price $229,900
  29. 2024-09-18
    listed $249,900 Active
  30. 2024-08-15
    historical
  31. 2024-08-15
    historical
  32. 2024-07-17
    price $250,000
  33. 2024-07-17
    price $250,000
  34. 2024-07-16
    price $199,000
  35. 2024-07-16
    price $199,000
  36. 2024-07-12
    status Active
  37. 2024-07-12
    status Active
  38. 2024-04-29
    status Pending
  39. 2024-04-29
    status Pending
  40. 2024-01-02
    listed $250,000 Active
  41. 2024-01-02
    listed $250,000 Active
  42. 2023-12-06
    historical
  43. 2023-10-18
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,150
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,692
− Management
−$1,692
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$5,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,262
After-tax cash flow
$5,578/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Molino

Score
76/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#3540

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,860
Household income
$86,087
Rent vs Own
15.4% rent · 84.6% own
Severe rent burden
389.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.13%
Current HPI
259.2605
Rent YoY
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-52.4% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-28 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-20 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-02 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $140,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-05-08 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Price Changed $174,980 PARMLS
  • 2025-03-20 Price Changed $184,980 PARMLS
  • 2025-01-13 Price Changed $199,980 PARMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Price Changed $214,900 PARMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Price Changed $229,900 PARMLS
  • 2024-09-18 Listed $249,900 PARMLS
  • 2024-08-15 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2024-08-15 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2024-07-17 Price Changed $250,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-07-17 Price Changed $250,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-07-16 Price Changed $199,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-07-16 Price Changed $199,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2024-04-29 Pending PARMLS
  • 2024-04-29 Pending PARMLS
  • 2024-01-02 Listed $250,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-01-02 Listed $250,000 PARMLS
  • 2023-12-06 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Listed $250,000 PARMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $111 · -85.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…