65627 Edgewater Dr · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
Key facts
- Separate office
- Quartz countertops
- Private lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-878 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (41.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (28.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (41.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 7% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.61%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $428,175
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65627 Edgewater Dr | 0.00mi | 4/4.0 | 2,475 (0%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $152 | 99 |
| 65704 Edgewater Dr | 0.09mi | 4/4.0 | 2,566 (+4%) | 2mo | $442,000 | $172 | 88 |
| 77170 Cobblestone Dr | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 | 2,416 (-2%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $151 | 75 |
| 77041 Cobblestone Dr | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,356 (-5%) | 5mo | $460,000 | $195 | 69 |
| 75274 Bridgewater Dr | 0.50mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,494 (+1%) | 4mo | $318,990 | $128 | 63 |
| 78228 Duckwood Trl | 0.42mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,696 (+9%) | 2mo | $510,000 | $189 | 55 |
| 75754 Egret Landing Ct | 0.70mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,511 (+2%) | 3mo | $434,000 | $173 | 53 |
| 79547 Plummers Creek Dr | 0.68mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,316 (-6%) | 2mo | $449,000 | $194 | 46 |
| 65506 River Glen Pkwy | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,160 (-13%) | 3mo | $400,000 | $185 | 44 |
| 75156 Brookwood Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,308 (-7%) | 2mo | $399,000 | $173 | 41 |
| 75394 Bridgewater Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 2,129 (-14%) | 5mo | $355,000 | $167 | 39 |
| 79599 Plummers Creek Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 2,214 (-10%) | 2mo | $475,000 | $215 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $148,264
- Equity at exit
- $337,830
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.58×
- Total profit
- $480,511
- Equity at exit
- $728,543
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32097
- Home prices YoY
- 19.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 601
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,669 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$732 /mo · $8,779/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$7
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$560
- Net cashflow
- $-878
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-666 | -5% $-772 | +0% $-878 | +5% $-984 | +10% $-1,090 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,089 | -5% $-984 | +0% $-878 | +5% $-773 | +10% $-667 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-689 | -0.5pp $-783 | base $-878 | +0.5pp $-975 | +1.0pp $-1,074 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70305 Winding River Dr Yulee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2042 | $2,500 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 65343 River Glen Pkwy Yulee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1714 | $2,195 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 65303 River Glen Pkwy Yulee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2160 | $2,400 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 75075 Morning Glen Ct Yulee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,399 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 75045 Morning Glen Ct Yulee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1685 | $2,310 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 75346 Bridgewater Dr Yulee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 75008 Morning Glen Ct Yulee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,300 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 75215 Fern Creek Dr Yulee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2898 | $2,900 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 75047 Brookwood Dr Yulee, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3300 | $3,405 | $1.03 | 6d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 76195 Deerwood Dr Yulee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2757 | $2,475 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 75094 Glenspring Way Yulee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2055 | $2,500 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 75094 Fern Creek Dr Yulee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $2,495 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 65013 Lagoon Forest Dr Yulee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2245 | $2,800 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 75470 Sunberry Dr Yulee, FL | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2903 | $3,150 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $7 · $84/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-03-09status Pending
-
2026-03-09status Active
-
2026-03-09price $375,000
-
2026-01-30historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-04price $325,000
-
2025-09-13$350,000 Active
-
2023-10-11soldstatus $438,990 Closed 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-10-11soldstatus $438,990 Closed 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-08-29status Pending 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-07-31price $438,990 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-07-31historical 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-07-31status Pending 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-07-26price $438,990 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-07-26status Active 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-07-21$3,447,990 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-04-21historical 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
-
2023-04-18$434,990 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,779 · $732/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,779 · $732/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone A · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,027
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$8,779
- − Insurance
- −$3,378
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,562
- − Management
- −$2,562
- − HOA
- −$84
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable loss
- −$17,253
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,141
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,397/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nassau
- NCES district ID
- 1201350
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,267
- Composite
- 59.79/100
- National rank
- #899
- State rank
- #4 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Nassau County · 67,729 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,700
- Household income
- $93,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 404.0
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,419 people
- By 2030
- 92,679 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 99,257 · +12.3%
- By 2050
- 103,378 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 109,726 · +24.1%
- By 2100
- 107,006 · +21.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 49.35%
- Current HPI
- 301.9299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.88%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-13.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $375,000 realMLS
- 2026-01-30 Contingent — realMLS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $325,000 realMLS
- 2025-09-13 Listed $350,000 realMLS
- 2023-10-11 Sold (MLS) $438,990 realMLS
- 2023-10-11 Sold (MLS) $438,990 AINCAR
- 2023-08-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2023-07-31 Price Changed $438,990 AINCAR
- 2023-07-31 Delisted — AINCAR
- 2023-07-31 Pending — realMLS
- 2023-07-26 Price Changed $438,990 realMLS
- 2023-07-26 Relisted — realMLS
- 2023-07-21 Listed $3,447,990 AINCAR
- 2023-04-21 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2023-04-18 Listed $434,990 realMLS
Property tax history
+294.0%/yrLatest (2025): $8,779 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…