CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
65627 Edgewater Dr
D+ Composite 47.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.8/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.2/10.0

$375,000

65627 Edgewater Dr · Jacksonville, FL 32097
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,475 sqft · SingleFamily · 177 Days on market
Built 2023 0.25 ac lot Est $428k · 12% under $7/mo HOA ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

Key facts

  • Separate office
  • Quartz countertops
  • Private lot

Tags

PRIVATE LOTSERENE BACKYARDSEPARATE OFFICEQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSPANTRY SPACEOVERSIZED PRIMARY SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-878 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (41.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (28.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (41.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 7% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,866 (41.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
3.88%
Cash-on-cash
-8.61%
DSCR
0.62
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$428,175
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
65627 Edgewater Dr 0.00mi 4/4.0 2,475 (0%) 1mo $375,000 $152 99
65704 Edgewater Dr 0.09mi 4/4.0 2,566 (+4%) 2mo $442,000 $172 88
77170 Cobblestone Dr 0.29mi 4/3.0 2,416 (-2%) 4mo $365,000 $151 75
77041 Cobblestone Dr 0.21mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,356 (-5%) 5mo $460,000 $195 69
75274 Bridgewater Dr 0.50mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,494 (+1%) 4mo $318,990 $128 63
78228 Duckwood Trl 0.42mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,696 (+9%) 2mo $510,000 $189 55
75754 Egret Landing Ct 0.70mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,511 (+2%) 3mo $434,000 $173 53
79547 Plummers Creek Dr 0.68mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,316 (-6%) 2mo $449,000 $194 46
65506 River Glen Pkwy 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,160 (-13%) 3mo $400,000 $185 44
75156 Brookwood Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,308 (-7%) 2mo $399,000 $173 41
75394 Bridgewater Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 2,129 (-14%) 5mo $355,000 $167 39
79599 Plummers Creek Dr 0.72mi 4/2.0 2,214 (-10%) 2mo $475,000 $215 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$148,264
Equity at exit
$337,830
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
5.58×
Total profit
$480,511
Equity at exit
$728,543

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32097

Home prices YoY
19.5%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
601
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,669 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax from tax record
$732 /mo · $8,779/yr
Insurance
$156
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$7
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$560
Net cashflow
$-878

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,781
Max offer price $219,866
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-666 -5% $-772 +0% $-878 +5% $-984 +10% $-1,090
Rent -10% $-1,089 -5% $-984 +0% $-878 +5% $-773 +10% $-667
Rate -1.0pp $-689 -0.5pp $-783 base $-878 +0.5pp $-975 +1.0pp $-1,074

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
70305 Winding River Dr Yulee, FL 4.0 3.0 2042 $2,500 $1.22 25d 1 0.32mi
65343 River Glen Pkwy Yulee, FL 3.0 2.0 1714 $2,195 $1.28 25d 1 0.35mi
65303 River Glen Pkwy Yulee, FL 4.0 2.0 2160 $2,400 $1.11 25d 1 0.35mi
75075 Morning Glen Ct Yulee, FL 4.0 2.0 1856 $2,399 $1.29 6d 1 0.40mi
75045 Morning Glen Ct Yulee, FL 3.0 2.0 1685 $2,310 $1.37 22d 1 0.47mi
75346 Bridgewater Dr Yulee, FL 3.0 2.0 1711 $2,300 $1.34 25d 1 0.51mi
75008 Morning Glen Ct Yulee, FL 4.0 2.0 1856 $2,300 $1.24 25d 1 0.51mi
75215 Fern Creek Dr Yulee, FL 4.0 2.5 2898 $2,900 $1.00 16d 1 0.61mi
75047 Brookwood Dr Yulee, FL 5.0 3.0 3300 $3,405 $1.03 6d 1 0.61mi
76195 Deerwood Dr Yulee, FL 4.0 2.5 2757 $2,475 $0.90 25d 1 0.63mi
75094 Glenspring Way Yulee, FL 3.0 2.0 2055 $2,500 $1.22 25d 1 0.65mi
75094 Fern Creek Dr Yulee, FL 4.0 2.0 2193 $2,495 $1.14 4d 1 0.79mi
65013 Lagoon Forest Dr Yulee, FL 4.0 2.5 2245 $2,800 $1.25 12d 1 0.84mi
75470 Sunberry Dr Yulee, FL 5.0 4.0 2903 $3,150 $1.09 21d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$7 · $84/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-03-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-09
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-09
    price $375,000
  4. 2026-01-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2025-10-04
    price $325,000
  6. 2025-09-13
    listed $350,000 Active
  7. 2023-10-11
    soldstatus $438,990 Closed 463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  8. 2023-10-11
    soldstatus $438,990 Closed 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  9. 2023-08-29
    status Pending 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  10. 2023-07-31
    price $438,990 463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  11. 2023-07-31
    historical 463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  12. 2023-07-31
    status Pending 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  13. 2023-07-26
    price $438,990 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  14. 2023-07-26
    status Active 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  15. 2023-07-21
    listed $3,447,990 463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (463 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  16. 2023-04-21
    historical 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

  17. 2023-04-18
    listed $434,990 466-char remark
    Show marketing remark (466 chars)

    Welcome to River Glen! Just off FL-200 and I-95, residents will enjoy quick access to Jacksonville and Amelia Island's world-renowned beaches. River Glen features open concept one and two-story home plans and homeowners have access to resort style amenities. You will never be too far from home with Home Is Connected®. Your new home comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products that keep you connected with the people and place you value most.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,779 · $732/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,779 · $732/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone A · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,027
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$8,779
− Insurance
−$3,378
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,562
− Management
−$2,562
− HOA
−$84
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable loss
−$17,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,141
After-tax cash flow
$-6,397/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nassau
NCES district ID
1201350
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,267
Composite
59.79/100
National rank
#899
State rank
#4 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Nassau County · 67,729 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,700
Household income
$93,161
Rent vs Own
19.8% rent · 80.2% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,419 people
By 2030
92,679 · +4.8%
By 2040
99,257 · +12.3%
By 2050
103,378 · +16.9%
By 2075
109,726 · +24.1%
By 2100
107,006 · +21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.35%
Current HPI
301.9299
Rent YoY
▲ 2.88%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.8% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $375,000 realMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Contingent realMLS
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $325,000 realMLS
  • 2025-09-13 Listed $350,000 realMLS
  • 2023-10-11 Sold (MLS) $438,990 realMLS
  • 2023-10-11 Sold (MLS) $438,990 AINCAR
  • 2023-08-29 Pending realMLS
  • 2023-07-31 Price Changed $438,990 AINCAR
  • 2023-07-31 Delisted AINCAR
  • 2023-07-31 Pending realMLS
  • 2023-07-26 Price Changed $438,990 realMLS
  • 2023-07-26 Relisted realMLS
  • 2023-07-21 Listed $3,447,990 AINCAR
  • 2023-04-21 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2023-04-18 Listed $434,990 realMLS

Property tax history

+294.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,779 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…