201 Talulla Trl · Nocatee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 2BR/2.5BA townhome in the highly desirable Phase 1 of Bridgewater! This popular Aspen floor plan features an open-concept main level with a spacious living area and a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer private en-suite bathrooms, and the interior has been freshly painted in modern, stylish colors. Additional highlights include a main-level half bath, first-floor laundry, and a 1-car garage with epoxy flooring. Located in an A-rated school district, this community also offers excellent amenities, including a pool and fitness center. Close to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect for a primary residence or investment opportunity!
Key facts
- 1-car garage
- Granite countertops
- First-floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $61; CDD fee applies
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with garage door opener (1 car)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Townhouse; Residential use
- Exterior features: Townhouse (attached property); Private pool: No
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: In-unit laundry
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-350 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (23.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (22.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.5% in Nocatee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#425 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Palencia Elementary School (math 82% / reading 80%, grade A+, #95 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 781 students, 15% FRL); Pacetti Bay Middle School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #40 of 571 statewide, top 7%, 1,443 students, 18% FRL); Allen D Nease Senior High School (math 72% / reading 78%, grade A-, #40 of 667 statewide, top 6%, 2,214 students, 4% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($136k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.79%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $292,305
- List price
- $259,000
- Delta
- -11.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263 Talulla Trl | 0.06mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $211 | 95 |
| 31 Oarsman Crossing Dr | 0.06mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 3mo | $269,900 | $223 | 94 |
| 127 Pomona Way | 0.14mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $202 | 91 |
| 30 Summer Daze Dr | 0.12mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $202 | 90 |
| 50 Blue Haven Rd | 0.40mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $227 | 76 |
| 105 Blue Haven Rd | 0.46mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 4mo | $289,500 | $239 | 75 |
| 99 Playa DE Luna Ln | 0.43mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 6mo | $254,990 | $211 | 75 |
| 67 Blue Haven Rd | 0.43mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $227 | 74 |
| 65 Blue Haven Rd | 0.43mi | 2/2.5 | 1,210 (0%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $227 | 74 |
| 95 Blue Haven Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,210 (0%) | 4mo | $277,000 | $229 | 71 |
| 99 Blue Haven Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,210 (0%) | 4mo | $277,000 | $229 | 70 |
| 101 Blue Haven Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,210 (0%) | 4mo | $277,000 | $229 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-66,606
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- -31.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.32×
- Total profit
- $-96,065
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32095
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 461
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,013 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$413 /mo · $4,961/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$61
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $-350
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-203 | -5% $-277 | +0% $-350 | +5% $-423 | +10% $-497 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-509 | -5% $-430 | +0% $-350 | +5% $-271 | +10% $-191 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-220 | -0.5pp $-284 | base $-350 | +0.5pp $-417 | +1.0pp $-485 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 Pomona Way Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $2,900 | $2.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 63 Oarsman Crossing Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1210 | $1,775 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 262 Talulla Trl Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1210 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 97 Pomona Way Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1210 | $1,774 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 32 Pasadena Dr Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1442 | $2,100 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 22 Vero Dr St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,150 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 96 Vero Dr Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1220 | $1,725 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 96 Vero Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1220 | $1,725 | $1.41 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 199 Tidal Beach Ave Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 30 Tidal Beach Ave Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1210 | $1,799 | $1.49 | 9d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 75 Teigan Trl St Johns, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $1,939 | $1.87 | 3d | 35 | 0.67mi |
| 35 Crystal Palm Dr St Johns, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1115 | $1,996 | $1.79 | 5d | 16 | 0.87mi |
| 581 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1346 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 505 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1497 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 454 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1497 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $61 · $732/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgym
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $259,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $259,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $275,000 730-char remark
-
2026-05-01$285,000 Active 730-char remark
-
2026-02-14historical 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
Beautiful 2BR/2.5BA townhome in the highly desirable Phase 1 of Bridgewater! This popular Aspen floor plan features an open-concept main level with a spacious living area and a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer private en-suite bathrooms, and the interior has been freshly painted in modern, stylish colors. Additional highlights include a main-level half bath, first-floor laundry, and a 1-car garage with epoxy flooring. Located in an A-rated school district, this community also offers excellent amenities, including a pool and fitness center. Close to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect for a primary residence or investment opportunity!
-
2025-11-26price $262,000 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
Beautiful 2BR/2.5BA townhome in the highly desirable Phase 1 of Bridgewater! This popular Aspen floor plan features an open-concept main level with a spacious living area and a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer private en-suite bathrooms, and the interior has been freshly painted in modern, stylish colors. Additional highlights include a main-level half bath, first-floor laundry, and a 1-car garage with epoxy flooring. Located in an A-rated school district, this community also offers excellent amenities, including a pool and fitness center. Close to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect for a primary residence or investment opportunity!
-
2025-11-20$250,000 Active 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
Beautiful 2BR/2.5BA townhome in the highly desirable Phase 1 of Bridgewater! This popular Aspen floor plan features an open-concept main level with a spacious living area and a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer private en-suite bathrooms, and the interior has been freshly painted in modern, stylish colors. Additional highlights include a main-level half bath, first-floor laundry, and a 1-car garage with epoxy flooring. Located in an A-rated school district, this community also offers excellent amenities, including a pool and fitness center. Close to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect for a primary residence or investment opportunity!
-
2025-11-19historical
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
**OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!
-
2025-11-06price $245,000
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
**OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!
-
2025-11-04price $254,500
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
**OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!
-
2025-10-27price $270,000
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
**OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!
-
2025-10-21$280,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
**OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!
-
2024-04-09soldstatus $285,000 Closed
-
2024-04-09soldstatus $285,000
-
2024-03-29status Pending
-
2024-03-29status Active
-
2024-03-29status Pending
-
2023-11-17$290,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,961 · $413/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,961 · $413/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$4,961
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,933
- − Management
- −$1,933
- − HOA
- −$732
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable loss
- −$8,737
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,097
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — Nocatee
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #7550
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- City population
- 27,365
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,399
- Household income
- $136,038
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 101.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Cuban 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.44%
- Current HPI
- 246.0743
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.77%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-10.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $259,000 realMLS
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $265,000 realMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $275,000 realMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $285,000 realMLS
- 2026-02-14 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $262,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-20 Listed $250,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $245,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $254,500 realMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $270,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listed $280,000 realMLS
- 2024-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-09 Sold (MLS) $285,000 realMLS
- 2024-03-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2024-03-29 Relisted — realMLS
- 2024-03-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2023-11-17 Listed $290,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+47.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,961 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…