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201 Talulla Trl
D- Composite 39.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

201 Talulla Trl · Nocatee, FL 32095
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,210 sqft · Townhouse · 51 Days on market
Built 2023 $214/sqft · 11% below area Est $292k · 11% under $61/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 2BR/2.5BA townhome in the highly desirable Phase 1 of Bridgewater! This popular Aspen floor plan features an open-concept main level with a spacious living area and a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer private en-suite bathrooms, and the interior has been freshly painted in modern, stylish colors. Additional highlights include a main-level half bath, first-floor laundry, and a 1-car garage with epoxy flooring. Located in an A-rated school district, this community also offers excellent amenities, including a pool and fitness center. Close to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect for a primary residence or investment opportunity!

Key facts

  • 1-car garage
  • Granite countertops
  • First-floor laundry

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT MAIN LEVELGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMSFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRY1-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $61; CDD fee applies

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with garage door opener (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Townhouse; Residential use
  • Exterior features: Townhouse (attached property); Private pool: No

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: In-unit laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $259k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-350 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (23.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (22.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.5% in Nocatee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#425 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Palencia Elementary School (math 82% / reading 80%, grade A+, #95 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 781 students, 15% FRL); Pacetti Bay Middle School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #40 of 571 statewide, top 7%, 1,443 students, 18% FRL); Allen D Nease Senior High School (math 72% / reading 78%, grade A-, #40 of 667 statewide, top 6%, 2,214 students, 4% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($136k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $197,154 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.79%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$292,305
List price
$259,000
Delta
-11.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
263 Talulla Trl 0.06mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 3mo $255,000 $211 95
31 Oarsman Crossing Dr 0.06mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 3mo $269,900 $223 94
127 Pomona Way 0.14mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 3mo $245,000 $202 91
30 Summer Daze Dr 0.12mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 5mo $245,000 $202 90
50 Blue Haven Rd 0.40mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 6mo $275,000 $227 76
105 Blue Haven Rd 0.46mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 4mo $289,500 $239 75
99 Playa DE Luna Ln 0.43mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 6mo $254,990 $211 75
67 Blue Haven Rd 0.43mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 7mo $275,000 $227 74
65 Blue Haven Rd 0.43mi 2/2.5 1,210 (0%) 7mo $275,000 $227 74
95 Blue Haven Rd 0.45mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,210 (0%) 4mo $277,000 $229 71
99 Blue Haven Rd 0.46mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,210 (0%) 4mo $277,000 $229 70
101 Blue Haven Rd 0.46mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,210 (0%) 4mo $277,000 $229 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.7%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-66,606
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
-31.6%
Equity multiple
-0.32×
Total profit
$-96,065
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32095

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
461
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,013 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax from tax record
$413 /mo · $4,961/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$61
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$-350

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,456
Max offer price $197,154
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-203 -5% $-277 +0% $-350 +5% $-423 +10% $-497
Rent -10% $-509 -5% $-430 +0% $-350 +5% $-271 +10% $-191
Rate -1.0pp $-220 -0.5pp $-284 base $-350 +0.5pp $-417 +1.0pp $-485

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
66 Pomona Way Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1250 $2,900 $2.32 19d 1 0.04mi
63 Oarsman Crossing Dr Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1210 $1,775 $1.47 25d 1 0.06mi
262 Talulla Trl Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1210 $1,700 $1.40 19d 1 0.07mi
97 Pomona Way Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1210 $1,774 $1.47 23d 1 0.08mi
32 Pasadena Dr Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1442 $2,100 $1.46 25d 1 0.15mi
22 Vero Dr St. Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1300 $2,150 $1.65 25d 1 0.15mi
96 Vero Dr Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1220 $1,725 $1.41 14d 1 0.21mi
96 Vero Dr Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1220 $1,725 $1.41 16d 1 0.21mi
199 Tidal Beach Ave Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,750 $1.46 22d 1 0.35mi
30 Tidal Beach Ave Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1210 $1,799 $1.49 9d 1 0.43mi
75 Teigan Trl St Johns, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1035 $1,939 $1.87 3d 35 0.67mi
35 Crystal Palm Dr St Johns, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1115 $1,996 $1.79 5d 16 0.87mi
581 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1346 $1,800 $1.34 14d 1 1.05mi
505 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1497 $1,850 $1.24 5d 1 1.11mi
454 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1497 $1,950 $1.30 25d 1 1.17mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$61 · $732/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgym

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $259,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $259,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $259,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $275,000 730-char remark
  16. 2026-05-01
    listed $285,000 Active 730-char remark
  17. 2026-02-14
    historical 733-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    Beautiful 2BR/2.5BA townhome in the highly desirable Phase 1 of Bridgewater! This popular Aspen floor plan features an open-concept main level with a spacious living area and a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer private en-suite bathrooms, and the interior has been freshly painted in modern, stylish colors. Additional highlights include a main-level half bath, first-floor laundry, and a 1-car garage with epoxy flooring. Located in an A-rated school district, this community also offers excellent amenities, including a pool and fitness center. Close to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect for a primary residence or investment opportunity!

  18. 2025-11-26
    price $262,000 733-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    Beautiful 2BR/2.5BA townhome in the highly desirable Phase 1 of Bridgewater! This popular Aspen floor plan features an open-concept main level with a spacious living area and a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer private en-suite bathrooms, and the interior has been freshly painted in modern, stylish colors. Additional highlights include a main-level half bath, first-floor laundry, and a 1-car garage with epoxy flooring. Located in an A-rated school district, this community also offers excellent amenities, including a pool and fitness center. Close to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect for a primary residence or investment opportunity!

  19. 2025-11-20
    listed $250,000 Active 733-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    Beautiful 2BR/2.5BA townhome in the highly desirable Phase 1 of Bridgewater! This popular Aspen floor plan features an open-concept main level with a spacious living area and a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer private en-suite bathrooms, and the interior has been freshly painted in modern, stylish colors. Additional highlights include a main-level half bath, first-floor laundry, and a 1-car garage with epoxy flooring. Located in an A-rated school district, this community also offers excellent amenities, including a pool and fitness center. Close to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect for a primary residence or investment opportunity!

  20. 2025-11-19
    historical
    Show marketing remark (1051 chars)

    **OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!

  21. 2025-11-06
    price $245,000
    Show marketing remark (1051 chars)

    **OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!

  22. 2025-11-04
    price $254,500
    Show marketing remark (1051 chars)

    **OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!

  23. 2025-10-27
    price $270,000
    Show marketing remark (1051 chars)

    **OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!

  24. 2025-10-21
    listed $280,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1051 chars)

    **OPEN FLOOR PLAN**AWESOME AMMENTIES**INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY** Located in the desirable first phase of the Bridgewater community, this 2-bed/2.5-bath, ASPEN FLOOR PLAN blends comfort and modern design. The OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT flows effortlessly from the kitchen to the SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, creating an inviting space. The kitchen features GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, and plenty of cabinetry. Both bedrooms offer PRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMS, providing convenience and privacy. The interior has been recently painted in stylish colors, giving the home a fresh feel. Additional highlights include a downstairs half bath, laundry area conveniently located on the main level, and a 1-car garage with EXPOXY FLOORS. Bridgewater residents enjoy access to fantastic amenities, including a community pool and fitness center, all within close proximity to shopping, dining, and major highways. Perfect as a primary residence or INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, this home offers low-maintenance living in one of the area's most convenient locations!

  25. 2024-04-09
    soldstatus $285,000 Closed
  26. 2024-04-09
    soldstatus $285,000
  27. 2024-03-29
    status Pending
  28. 2024-03-29
    status Active
  29. 2024-03-29
    status Pending
  30. 2023-11-17
    listed $290,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,961 · $413/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,961 · $413/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,159
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$4,961
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,933
− Management
−$1,933
− HOA
−$732
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable loss
−$8,737
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,097
After-tax cash flow
$-2,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — Nocatee

Score
70/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#7550

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
City population
27,365
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
21,399
Household income
$136,038
Rent vs Own
8.0% rent · 92.0% own
Severe rent burden
101.0

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Cuban 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.44%
Current HPI
246.0743
Rent YoY
▲ 1.77%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $259,000 realMLS
  • 2026-05-24 Price Changed $265,000 realMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $275,000 realMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $285,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2025-11-26 Price Changed $262,000 realMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $250,000 realMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $245,000 realMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $254,500 realMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $270,000 realMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $280,000 realMLS
  • 2024-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-09 Sold (MLS) $285,000 realMLS
  • 2024-03-29 Pending realMLS
  • 2024-03-29 Relisted realMLS
  • 2024-03-29 Pending realMLS
  • 2023-11-17 Listed $290,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+47.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,961 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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