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110 Valley St
B- Composite 69.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

110 Valley St · Springfield, VT 05156
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,361 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1830 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 unit investment property features a 4 bedroom and a 2 bedroom unit. Both units are up down configurations. The first unit features decent kitchen with washer and dryer, living room, 3/4 bath, 2 first floor bedrooms and 2 upstairs bedrooms with a covered porch in the rear. The second unit has a living room, large kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, large 3/4 bath, deck, bedroom down, and a bedroom up with an additional room off the bedroom. The 2nd unit needs to have a permanent heat source installed. Exterior features a metal roof, recently painted exterior, deck, covered porch, adequate parking, and a decent sized rear yard the borders a brook. Recent separate 100 amp CB electrical system

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Metal roof
  • Washer and dryer

Tags

WASHER AND DRYERCOVERED PORCHLARGE KITCHENDECKMETAL ROOFRECENTLY PAINTED EXTERIOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unit 1: 7 rooms; Unit 2: 5 rooms; Roof and driveway noted as building-level features
  • Financial info: Total of 2 residential units (1 x 4-bed, 1 x 2-bed); Month-to-month leases; Net income reported: $20,600; Operating expenses include insurance and water/sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector; Carbon monoxide detector
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service 100 Amp with circuit breakers; High-speed internet available; Gas supplied by LP/bottle
  • Home design: Colonial-style multi-unit building; Existing structure; Brown exterior
  • Construction: Originally built in 1830; Wood frame construction with wood siding; Metal roof; Unspecified foundation
  • Exterior features: City lot; Waterfront; Paved, public-maintained road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range (Unit 1); Electric range (Unit 2); Refrigerator (both units)
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 4 bedrooms (spans first and second levels); One unit with 2 bedrooms (spans first and second levels)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Wall heating units; No central air
  • Interior features: Basement with walk-up access; Unfinished dirt-floor basement; Carbon monoxide detector; Smoke detector; Deck; Porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (Unit 1); Dryer — gas (Unit 1); Laundry hookup (Unit 2); On-demand water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.1% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#21 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 339 units permitted in Windsor County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Windsor County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1830 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1830 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.09%
Cash-on-cash
17.14%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$323,457
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 Elm Hill St 0.44mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,240 (-5%) 3mo $340,000 $152 62
47 Dell Rd 0.47mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,484 (+5%) 10mo $310,000 $125 52
16 Center St 0.65mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,450 (+4%) 13mo $255,000 $104 43
137 Wall St 0.59mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,038 (-14%) 0mo $279,000 $137 39
1114 Cherry Hill Rd 0.69mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,170 (-8%) 19mo $335,000 $154 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$9,465
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$49,697
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05156

Home prices YoY
-12.2%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,862 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,429/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$504

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    price $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $144,900 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,900 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $144,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-16
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,429 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,044 · $170/mo
Expected delta
+$615/yr (+$51/mo · 43.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,339
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,429
− Insurance
−$1,366
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,787
− Management
−$1,787
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$4,064
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$975
After-tax cash flow
$5,074/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Springfield

Score
73/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#5125

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, VT
Population (ZIP)
9,028

Population outlook (Windsor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,235 people
By 2030
51,269 · -3.7%
By 2040
46,517 · -12.6%
By 2050
41,859 · -21.4%
By 2075
33,298 · -37.5%
By 2100
24,523 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 13% Romanian 4% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Windsor

2024 margin
Solid D (+35.6) · D 66.3% · R 30.7% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: 39.7pp · 2024: 35.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+35.6 2020: D+38.9 2016: D+32.1 2012: D+38.1 2008: D+39.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.22%
Current HPI
310.0154
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $149,900 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,429 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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