5935 Consider Trl · Somerset, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$194,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Kitson- An inviting open-concept floorplan serves as the heart of this single-level home, providing for seamless transitions between the kitchen, dining area and family room. A restful owner's suite is located at the back of home, featuring a comfortable bedroom, en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. Two secondary bedrooms can be found off the entry. Estimated Completion July 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Secondary bedrooms
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment resources available
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with a monthly fee of $33; Association transfer fee of $450; Community amenities include a pool and additional community features
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity provided by CPS; Water provided by SAWS; Sewer provided by SAWS; City garbage service; Property connected to water and sewer systems
- Home design: New construction by Lennar; Cement fiber exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Built new (age 0)
- Exterior features: Privacy fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (10 x 9); Stove/Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level with walk-in closet and full bath; Bedroom 2 (12 x 11); Bedroom 3 (11 x 12); Master bedroom dimensions 14 x 15
- Flooring: Carpeting; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total; Master bath with tub/shower combination (8 x 8)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floor plan with a breakfast bar; One living area; Utility room inside; Cable TV available; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Laundry located on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($239/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (9.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Somerset ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #417 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.44%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,878
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5919 Consider Trl | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (0%) | 1mo | $194,999 | $139 | 99 |
| 12107 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (0%) | 2mo | $192,999 | $138 | 98 |
| 5903 Consider Trl | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (0%) | 2mo | $196,999 | $141 | 98 |
| 12119 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (0%) | 3mo | $211,999 | $151 | 98 |
| 6043 Skipping Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (-3%) | 1mo | $184,999 | $137 | 94 |
| 12010 Pressing Pass | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (-3%) | 1mo | $184,999 | $137 | 93 |
| 12030 Pressing Pass | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (-3%) | 1mo | $184,999 | $137 | 93 |
| 6027 Skipping Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (-3%) | 1mo | $192,999 | $143 | 93 |
| 12103 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (-10%) | 2mo | $184,999 | $146 | 82 |
| 6046 Skipping Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,213 (-14%) | 3mo | $185,999 | $153 | 75 |
| 12227 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+14%) | 3mo | $197,999 | $124 | 69 |
| 12203 Kneeling Path | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+14%) | 4mo | $219,999 | $137 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $20,720
- Equity at exit
- $83,333
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $77,241
- Equity at exit
- $125,144
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78073
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,773 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $155 | -5% $87 | +0% $20 | +5% $-47 | +10% $-115 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-120 | -5% $-50 | +0% $20 | +5% $90 | +10% $160 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $118 | -0.5pp $70 | base $20 | +0.5pp $-31 | +1.0pp $-82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-07price $194,999
-
2026-04-28price $198,999
-
2026-04-24price $200,999
-
2026-04-17price $202,999
-
2026-04-10price $214,999
-
2026-04-04price $202,999
-
2026-03-31$214,999 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,702
- − Management
- −$1,702
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$3,022
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$725
- After-tax cash flow
- $964/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern, open-concept floor plan and is move-in ready, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840740
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,712
- Composite
- 34.01/100
- National rank
- #5315
- State rank
- #417 of 826 in TX
Livability — Somerset
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #639
- US rank
- #12187
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,510
Population outlook (Atascosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,233 people
- By 2030
- 61,729 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 71,122 · +24.3%
- By 2050
- 80,906 · +41.4%
- By 2075
- 106,134 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 122,415 · +113.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 81% Two or more races 33% White 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atascosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.9% · R 71.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+10.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Current HPI
- 289.1266
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — LERA
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $194,999 LERA
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $198,999 LERA
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $200,999 LERA
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $202,999 LERA
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $214,999 LERA
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $202,999 LERA
- 2026-03-31 Listed $214,999 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…