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307 Main St N
C+ Composite 60.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$74,900

307 Main St N · Greenbush, MN 56726
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1975 3,267 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

When Opportunity Knocks! Great opportunity for anyone looking for big square footage at a fraction of the price. Could make for a great investment opportunity or AirBNB as the building offers over 2800 square feet offering lots of space for a new business or future home. The property has been well cared for and is a tremendous value at under $50 a square foot. Give us a call today to schedule a showing.

Key facts

  • 3,267 sq ft lot
  • Built 1975
  • Listed 64 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($832 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#300 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Greenbush-Middle River School District (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #186 of 467 in MN (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Roseau County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $503 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Roseau County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $70,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.90%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$6,808
Equity at exit
$24,299
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$27,142
Equity at exit
$31,331

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56726

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$832 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,566/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$175
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $702
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $74,900 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-04-13
    listed $79,900 Active 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    When Opportunity Knocks! Great opportunity for anyone looking for big square footage at a fraction of the price. Could make for a great investment opportunity or AirBNB as the building offers over 2800 square feet offering lots of space for a new business or future home. The property has been well cared for and is a tremendous value at under $50 a square foot. Give us a call today to schedule a showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,566 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,566 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,989
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,566
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$799
− Management
−$799
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$76
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$18
After-tax cash flow
$1,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenbush-Middle River School District
NCES district ID
2700107
Math proficiency
55% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$49,269
Composite
50.64/100
National rank
#3947
State rank
#186 of 467 in MN

Livability — Greenbush

Score
71/100
State rank
#300
US rank
#6590

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenbush, MN
Population (ZIP)
1,576

Population outlook (Roseau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,709 people
By 2030
15,559 · -1.0%
By 2040
15,168 · -3.4%
By 2050
14,539 · -7.4%
By 2075
13,430 · -14.5%
By 2100
11,713 · -25.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Asian 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 41% Romanian 12% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roseau

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.3) · D 24.7% · R 74.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -49.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.3 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.67%
Current HPI
101.0623
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,566 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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