12 Victoria Ln · Berlin, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.
Key facts
- Mobile home
- Built 2021
- Listed 109 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-831/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $73k (14.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#67 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Berlin School District (town): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #91 of 98 in NH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.50%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $42,063
- Equity at exit
- $76,485
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $127,806
- Equity at exit
- $164,942
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03570
- Home prices YoY
- 14.3%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,106 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,949/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $-69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-21 | -5% $-45 | +0% $-69 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-157 | -5% $-113 | +0% $-69 | +5% $-26 | +10% $18 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-27 | -0.5pp $-48 | base $-69 | +0.5pp $-91 | +1.0pp $-114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $84,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $84,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-03-03$90,000 Active 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.
-
2022-05-16soldstatus $77,400 Closed 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.
-
2022-04-06historical Active with Contract 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.
-
2022-01-26$79,900 Active 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,949 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,949 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,272
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,949
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,062
- − Management
- −$1,062
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable loss
- −$2,050
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $-339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This mobile home is in fair condition with good curb appeal and minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior and improving landscaping can significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
- Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, making the home more attractive to renters.
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more attractive to potential buyers or renters and improve the overall impression of the home.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, making the home more attractive to renters. ↑
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more attractive to potential buyers or renters and improve the overall impression of the home. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berlin School District
- NCES district ID
- 3301860
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,494
- Composite
- 22.5/100
- National rank
- #8095
- State rank
- #91 of 98 in NH
Livability — Berlin
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #11665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berlin, NH
- City population
- 9,473
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,473
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,912 people
- By 2030
- 29,872 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 27,449 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 25,049 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 19,584 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 13,818 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% German 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 42.7% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+5.9 2016: R+9.1 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+18.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 55.16%
- Current HPI
- 440.9127
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+12.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Listed $90,000 PrimeMLS
- 2022-05-16 Sold (MLS) $77,400 PrimeMLS
- 2022-04-06 Contingent — PrimeMLS
- 2022-01-26 Listed $79,900 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,949 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…