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12 Victoria Ln
D+ Composite 47.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$84,900

12 Victoria Ln · Berlin, NH 03570
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 560 sqft · Manufactured public records · 109 Days on market
Built 2021 Fair condition $300/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.

Key facts

  • Mobile home
  • Built 2021
  • Listed 109 days

Tags

VIEWS OF THE MOUNTAINSMOBILE HOMEMANUFACTURED HOME PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-831/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $73k (14.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#67 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Berlin School District (town): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #91 of 98 in NH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Recommended offer $72,663 (14.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
5.31%
Cash-on-cash
-3.50%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$42,063
Equity at exit
$76,485
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
6.38×
Total profit
$127,806
Equity at exit
$164,942

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03570

Home prices YoY
14.3%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,106 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,949/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$300
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,194
Max offer price $72,663
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-21 -5% $-45 +0% $-69 +5% $-93 +10% $-117
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-113 +0% $-69 +5% $-26 +10% $18
Rate -1.0pp $-27 -0.5pp $-48 base $-69 +0.5pp $-91 +1.0pp $-114

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$300 · $3,600/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,900 Active 109 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,900 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,900 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-03-03
    listed $90,000 Active 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.

  17. 2022-05-16
    soldstatus $77,400 Closed 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.

  18. 2022-04-06
    historical Active with Contract 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.

  19. 2022-01-26
    listed $79,900 Active 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR EASY LIVING, LOOK NO FURTHER!!! Beautiful maintenance free Energy Star 2021 CHAMPION 40’ x 14’ mobile home located in a very well-kept manufactured home park on the north end of Berlin. This home offers some very nice views of the mountains. This floor plans enters you into a very cozy living room and kitchen and dining area along with one bedroom and bath . This would make a perfect primary home for someone looking to downsize or a perfect second home for someone who wants to enjoy all the activities this area has to offer and not worry about maintaining a large home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,949 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,949 · $162/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,272
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,949
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,062
− Management
−$1,062
− HOA
−$3,600
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable loss
−$2,050
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$492
After-tax cash flow
$-339/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in fair condition with good curb appeal and minimal repairs needed. Painting the exterior and improving landscaping can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, making the home more attractive to renters.
  • Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more attractive to potential buyers or renters and improve the overall impression of the home.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, making the home more attractive to renters.
  • Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more attractive to potential buyers or renters and improve the overall impression of the home.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berlin School District
NCES district ID
3301860
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$37,494
Composite
22.5/100
National rank
#8095
State rank
#91 of 98 in NH

Livability — Berlin

Score
66/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#11665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berlin, NH
City population
9,473
Population (ZIP)
9,473

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,912 people
By 2030
29,872 · -3.4%
By 2040
27,449 · -11.2%
By 2050
25,049 · -19.0%
By 2075
19,584 · -36.6%
By 2100
13,818 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 21% German 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 42.7% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-32.1pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+5.9 2016: R+9.1 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+18.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.16%
Current HPI
440.9127
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+12.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $90,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2022-05-16 Sold (MLS) $77,400 PrimeMLS
  • 2022-04-06 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2022-01-26 Listed $79,900 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,949 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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