1705 Wolf Ridge Rd · Prichard, AL 36612

$55,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,852 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 183 Days on market

Built 1988 0.47 ac lot $30/sqft · 14% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +8.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Single family home with lots of potential. Price reflects anticipated repairs needed. As is, where is.

Key facts

• 0.47 acre lot
• 3 parking spots
• Listed 182 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 11.4% in Prichard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
• Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
• Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $48,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.98% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 40.64%
• DSCR: 2.81
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $27,666
• List price: $55,000
• Delta: 98.80%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 14 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
129 S Gould Ave	0.71mi	2/2.0	1,720 (-7%)	0mo	$43,460	$25	51
3618 Dial St	0.42mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,965 (+6%)	19mo	$128,000	$65	46
125 Gould Ave S	0.71mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,852 (0%)	21mo	$68,000	$37	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 52.5%
• Equity multiple: 4.53×
• Total profit: $54,401
• Equity at exit: $40,222

10-year hold

• IRR: 48.0%
• Equity multiple: 9.64×
• Total profit: $133,126
• Equity at exit: $78,393

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36612

• Home prices YoY: 6.2%
• Active inventory: 17
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,091 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$29 /mo · $352/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$229
• Net cashflow: $522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $431

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-15
   days on market $55,000 Active 183 DOM
2. 2026-06-14
   days on market $55,000 Active 181 DOM
3. 2026-06-13
   days on market $55,000 Active 180 DOM
4. 2026-06-10
   days on market $55,000 Active 178 DOM
5. 2026-06-09
   days on market $55,000 Active 177 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $55,000 Active 176 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $55,000 Active 175 DOM
8. 2026-06-05
   days on market $55,000 Active 172 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $55,000 Active 171 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 170 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 169 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 168 DOM
13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $55,000 Active 167 DOM
14. 2025-12-14
    listed $55,000 Active 102-char remark

    Show marketing remark (102 chars)

    Single family home with lots of potential. Price reflects anticipated repairs needed. As is, where is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $352 · $29/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $352 · $29/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,098
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$352
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,048
• − Management: −$1,048
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $5,694
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,367
• After-tax cash flow: $4,893/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mobile County
• NCES district ID: 0102370
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,455
• Composite: 22.9/100
• National rank: #8002
• State rank: #81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prichard

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #472
• US rank: #24080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Prichard, AL
• City population: 13,402
• Population (ZIP): 3,558

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 415,303 people
• By 2030: 411,755 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 399,670 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 382,616 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 337,353 · -18.8%
• By 2100: 283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 93% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

• 2024 margin: R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 7.58%
• Current HPI: 130.8445
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-12-14 Listed $55,000 GCMLS AL