702 N Orchard Ave · Cameron, TX 76520

$39,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 964 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market

Built 1960 0.25 ac lot $41/sqft · 68% below area ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is.

Key facts

• 0.25 acre lot
• Built 1960
• Listed 18 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Single-story residence; Resale property
• Construction: Shingle siding; Wood siding; Year built source: Assessor
• Exterior features: City lot; Less than quarter acre; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 14x16)
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (approx. 10x10, 10x10, 11x11)
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Interior features: No notable interior features listed; see remarks

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 3.6% in Cameron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#812 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Cameron ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #312 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Milam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Milam County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $39,301 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.81% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 55.02%
• DSCR: 3.45
• GRM: 3.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $124,548
• List price: $39,900
• Delta: -67.96%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 10 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
108 N Jefferson Ave	0.47mi	2/1.0 (-1)	880 (-9%)	13mo	$150,000	$170	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 53.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.35×
• Total profit: $26,236
• Equity at exit: $5,949

10-year hold

• IRR: 58.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.83×
• Total profit: $65,166
• Equity at exit: $3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76520

• Home prices YoY: -31.4%
• Active inventory: 133
• Price-to-rent: 3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,120 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$209
• Tax from tax record: −$147 /mo · $1,758/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$235
• Net cashflow: $512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $471

Max offer price $39,900

Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $535	-5% $524	+0% $512	+5% $501	+10% $490
Rent	-10% $424	-5% $468	+0% $512	+5% $556	+10% $601
Rate	-1.0pp $532	-0.5pp $522	base $512	+0.5pp $502	+1.0pp $491

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,975
• Closing costs: $1,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-08
   days on market $39,900 Active 19 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $39,900 Active 18 DOM
3. 2026-06-05
   days on market $39,900 Active 16 DOM
4. 2026-06-04
   status $39,900 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-05-08
   status Pending 144-char remark
6. 2026-05-02
   price $39,900 144-char remark
7. 2026-04-24
   listed $44,900 Active 144-char remark
8. 2023-09-27
   soldstatus
9. 2023-09-27
   soldstatus
10. 2023-06-14
    soldstatus
11. 2023-06-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,758 · $147/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,758 · $147/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,437
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,235
• − Property taxes: −$1,758
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,075
• − Management: −$1,075
• − Depreciation: −$1,161
• Taxable income: $5,934
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,424
• After-tax cash flow: $4,723/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cameron ISD
• NCES district ID: 4812640
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $37,973
• Composite: 36.67/100
• National rank: #4611
• State rank: #312 of 826 in TX

Livability — Cameron

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #812
• US rank: #14747

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cameron, TX
• Population (ZIP): 8,098

Population outlook (Milam County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 24,051 people
• By 2030: 23,613 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 22,693 · -5.6%
• By 2050: 21,879 · -9.0%
• By 2075: 20,974 · -12.8%
• By 2100: 19,414 · -19.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 47% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 18% Two or more races 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 20%

Political lean MEDSL · Milam

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+57.3) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -31.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -57.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+49.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -76.27%
• Current HPI: 167.0164
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-11.1% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-08 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
• 2026-06-03 Relisted — CTXMLS
• 2026-05-08 Pending — CTXMLS
• 2026-05-02 Price Changed $39,900 CTXMLS
• 2026-04-24 Listed $44,900 CTXMLS
• 2023-09-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2023-09-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2023-06-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2023-06-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+15.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,758 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.