18597 Stafford Dr · Strongsville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely Split Level Located On Nearly 1/2 Acre With Fenced Backyard * Newer Carpeting Throughout * Remodeled Kitchen With Island (Appliances Stay) * Family Room With Many Built-ins * Warm & Inviting Wbfp * (Family Rm Now Used As Master Bedroom-has Walk-in Closet & Lower Level Full Bath) * Newer Roof *
Key facts
- Awning covered patio
- Built-in island
- Custom built-ins
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($44k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $340k).
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 3.2% in Strongsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#27 in OH, #243 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
- Strongsville City (suburban): math 73% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #62 of 656 in OH (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Strongsville Middle School (math 70% / reading 76%, grade A, #105 of 654 statewide, top 17%, 1,270 students, 20% FRL); Strongsville High School (math 63% / reading 82%, grade B+, #87 of 781 statewide, top 11%, 1,844 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 18% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,500/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($114k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $340k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.11%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $322,704
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18737 Evergreen Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,944 (0%) | 7mo | $322,000 | $166 | 75 |
| 8623 Oxford Dr | 0.14mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,160 (+11%) | 21mo | $290,000 | $134 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $177,890
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- 49.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $455,064
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44149
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax from tax record
- −$344 /mo · $4,131/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,575
- Net cashflow
- $3,657
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,849 | -5% $3,753 | +0% $3,657 | +5% $3,561 | +10% $3,464 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,064 | -5% $3,361 | +0% $3,657 | +5% $3,953 | +10% $4,249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,828 | -0.5pp $3,743 | base $3,657 | +0.5pp $3,569 | +1.0pp $3,479 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8040 Strongsville Blvd Unit 1496063P Strongsville, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $8,055 | $4.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 367 S Rocky River Dr Unit 1496132P Berea, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $5,357 | $3.04 | 9d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $339,900 Contingent 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-16$339,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,131 · $344/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,717 · $393/mo
- Expected delta
- +$586/yr (+$49/mo · 14.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $90,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$4,131
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,200
- − Management
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable income
- $40,844
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $34,079/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Strongsville City
- NCES district ID
- 3904484
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,206
- Composite
- 67.02/100
- National rank
- #395
- State rank
- #62 of 656 in OH
Livability — Strongsville
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #243
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Strongsville, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga · 1,045,444 people
- City population
- 46,110
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,042
- Household income
- $114,107
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2.7
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -238.17%
- Current HPI
- 196.9311
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+372.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $339,900 MLSNOW
- 2002-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2002-03-08 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MLSNOW
- 2002-02-28 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2001-11-29 Listed $164,900 MLSNOW
- 1993-09-10 Sold (MLS) $122,000 MLSNOW
- 1993-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 1993-06-28 Listed $123,900 MLSNOW
- 1982-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 1979-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1978-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,131 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…