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18597 Stafford Dr
B Composite 71.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$339,900

18597 Stafford Dr · Strongsville, OH 44149
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,944 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1972 0.45 ac lot Est $323k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely Split Level Located On Nearly 1/2 Acre With Fenced Backyard * Newer Carpeting Throughout * Remodeled Kitchen With Island (Appliances Stay) * Family Room With Many Built-ins * Warm & Inviting Wbfp * (Family Rm Now Used As Master Bedroom-has Walk-in Closet & Lower Level Full Bath) * Newer Roof *

Key facts

  • Awning covered patio
  • Built-in island
  • Custom built-ins

Tags

SPLIT LEVEL HOMEPARKFORD SUBDIVISIONCUSTOM BUILT-INSAWNING COVERED PATIOBUILT-IN ISLANDSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($44k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $340k).
  • Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 3.2% in Strongsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#27 in OH, #243 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Strongsville City (suburban): math 73% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #62 of 656 in OH (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Strongsville Middle School (math 70% / reading 76%, grade A, #105 of 654 statewide, top 17%, 1,270 students, 20% FRL); Strongsville High School (math 63% / reading 82%, grade B+, #87 of 781 statewide, top 11%, 1,844 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 18% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,500/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($114k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $165k; list at $340k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $339,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
19.20%
Cash-on-cash
46.11%
DSCR
3.05
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$322,704
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18737 Evergreen Dr 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,944 (0%) 7mo $322,000 $166 75
8623 Oxford Dr 0.14mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,160 (+11%) 21mo $290,000 $134 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.3%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$177,890
Equity at exit
$50,680
10-year hold
IRR
49.4%
Equity multiple
5.78×
Total profit
$455,064
Equity at exit
$29,388

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44149

Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,782
Tax from tax record
$344 /mo · $4,131/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,575
Net cashflow
$3,657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,871
Max offer price $339,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,849 -5% $3,753 +0% $3,657 +5% $3,561 +10% $3,464
Rent -10% $3,064 -5% $3,361 +0% $3,657 +5% $3,953 +10% $4,249
Rate -1.0pp $3,828 -0.5pp $3,743 base $3,657 +0.5pp $3,569 +1.0pp $3,479

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,975
Closing costs
$10,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8040 Strongsville Blvd Unit 1496063P Strongsville, OH 3.0 2.0 1980 $8,055 $4.07 22d 1 0.40mi
367 S Rocky River Dr Unit 1496132P Berea, OH 4.0 2.0 1765 $5,357 $3.04 9d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $339,900 Contingent 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $339,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $339,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 687-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $339,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,131 · $344/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,717 · $393/mo
Expected delta
+$586/yr (+$49/mo · 14.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$90,003
− Mortgage interest
−$19,040
− Property taxes
−$4,131
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,200
− Management
−$7,200
− Depreciation
−$9,888
Taxable income
$40,844
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$9,803
After-tax cash flow
$34,079/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Strongsville City
NCES district ID
3904484
Math proficiency
73% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$78,206
Composite
67.02/100
National rank
#395
State rank
#62 of 656 in OH

Livability — Strongsville

Score
88/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#243

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Strongsville, OH
County
Cuyahoga · 1,045,444 people
City population
46,110
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
21,042
Household income
$114,107
Rent vs Own
5.7% rent · 94.3% own
Severe rent burden
2.7

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -238.17%
Current HPI
196.9311
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+372.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $339,900 MLSNOW
  • 2002-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2002-03-08 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MLSNOW
  • 2002-02-28 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2001-11-29 Listed $164,900 MLSNOW
  • 1993-09-10 Sold (MLS) $122,000 MLSNOW
  • 1993-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
  • 1993-06-28 Listed $123,900 MLSNOW
  • 1982-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 1979-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1978-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,131 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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