Triplex
63 Gorham Ave · Hamden, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$479,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3 family in great neighborhood! Walk to everything: shopping, busline, park/ Very commutable to hospitals, Southern Connecticut State University, Yale and Quinnipiac.
Key facts
- Great neighborhood
- Walk to everything
- Commutable to yale
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $479k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $443/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $479k).
- Recommended offer: $422k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,310/mo this rent would consume 85% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 1228% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $134k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($422k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $345k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.89%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $497,055
- List price
- $479,000
- Delta
- -3.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Bradley Ave | 0.03mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,283 (-0%) | 15mo | $475,000 | $145 | 80 |
| 116 Helen St | 0.11mi | 6/3.0 | 3,426 (+4%) | 9mo | $457,000 | $133 | 80 |
| 75 Concord St | 0.35mi | 6/3.0 | 3,016 (-8%) | 1mo | $549,000 | $182 | 69 |
| 203 Helen St | 0.23mi | 6/3.0 | 3,038 (-8%) | 11mo | $550,000 | $181 | 68 |
| 106 Helen St | 0.11mi | 6/2.0 | 3,103 (-6%) | 19mo | $420,000 | $135 | 66 |
| 42 Collins St | 0.18mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,035 (-8%) | 12mo | $460,000 | $152 | 64 |
| 47 Beacon St | 0.30mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 3,076 (-6%) | 10mo | $555,000 | $180 | 62 |
| 16-18 3rd St | 0.35mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,116 (-5%) | 20mo | $450,000 | $144 | 53 |
| 78 Church St | 0.38mi | 6/3.0 | 2,853 (-13%) | 10mo | $440,000 | $154 | 52 |
| 1492 Dixwell Ave | 0.48mi | 6/4.0 | 2,960 (-10%) | 8mo | $580,000 | $196 | 50 |
| 207 Helen St | 0.23mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,795 (-15%) | 14mo | $540,000 | $193 | 47 |
| 57 North St | 0.45mi | 6/2.0 | 2,931 (-11%) | 12mo | $412,000 | $141 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $17,707
- Equity at exit
- $71,420
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $169,687
- Equity at exit
- $41,415
Cash invested: $134,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06514
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 19.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,310 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,512
- Tax from tax record
- −$945 /mo · $11,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$200
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,325
- Net cashflow
- $1,329
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $6,309 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,103 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,103 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,103 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,310 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $119,750
- Closing costs
- $14,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $479,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $479,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $479,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $479,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $479,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $479,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $479,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $479,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $479,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $479,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $479,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $479,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $479,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $479,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $479,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $479,000 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Spacious 3 family in great neighborhood! Walk to everything: shopping, busline, park/ Very commutable to hospitals, Southern Connecticut State University, Yale and Quinnipiac.
-
2026-02-06$500,000 Active 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Spacious 3 family in great neighborhood! Walk to everything: shopping, busline, park/ Very commutable to hospitals, Southern Connecticut State University, Yale and Quinnipiac.
-
2022-02-03soldstatus $345,000
-
2022-01-28soldstatus $345,000 Closed 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Large Hamden multi family home available. Units in really nice condition. Gas heating utilities. Two car detached garage. Mandated Hamden Fire marshal inspected & passed.
-
2021-10-15price $357,000 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Large Hamden multi family home available. Units in really nice condition. Gas heating utilities. Two car detached garage. Mandated Hamden Fire marshal inspected & passed.
-
2021-10-01$367,000 Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Large Hamden multi family home available. Units in really nice condition. Gas heating utilities. Two car detached garage. Mandated Hamden Fire marshal inspected & passed.
-
2014-01-21soldstatus $223,000
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2014-01-15soldstatus $223,000
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2013-09-11historical
-
2013-08-19$225,000
-
2013-03-11$240,000
-
1988-06-01soldstatus $200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,335 · $945/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,335 · $945/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $75,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,831
- − Property taxes
- −$11,335
- − Insurance
- −$2,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,058
- − Management
- −$6,058
- − Depreciation
- −$13,935
- Taxable income
- $9,109
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,186
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamden School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901860
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,821
- Composite
- 33.34/100
- National rank
- #5490
- State rank
- #106 of 153 in CT
Livability — Hamden
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 61,150
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,803
- Household income
- $88,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1228.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% German 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.59%
- Current HPI
- 251.556
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+139.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $479,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $500,000 Smart MLS
- 2022-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-28 Sold (MLS) $345,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-10-15 Price Changed $357,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-10-01 Listed $367,000 Smart MLS
- 2014-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $223,000 Public Records
- 2014-01-15 Sold (MLS) $223,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-09-11 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2013-08-19 Listed $225,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-03-11 Listed $240,000 Smart MLS
- 1988-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2023): $11,335 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…