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434 Hillside Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 40.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,500

434 Hillside Rd · Bessemer, AL 35020
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,222 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1974 0.35 ac lot $67/sqft · 34% below area Est $228k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity with a tenant in place paying $1400/mo through Feb 2027. 4 bed / 2/5 bath home. Finished basement area.

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • Built 1974
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel ID: 38-00-17-4-010-028.000
  • Financial info: Annual fire fee ($50); Monthly garbage fee ($12)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Gas water heater; Internet service available
  • Home design: Brick over foundation construction; Basement foundation; Existing/previously built home
  • Construction: Brick-over-foundation exterior
  • Exterior features: Open patio; No pool; No waterfront; No garden/yard features listed; No decks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Additional primary bedroom in basement; Multiple bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Other ceiling details (see remarks); One wood-burning fireplace with brick surround in the living room; Full finished daylight basement; Pull-down attic
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $149,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$227,827) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-717/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (7.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Greenwood Elementary School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 286 students, 77% FRL); Bessemer City Middle School (math 3% / reading 23%, grade F, #215 of 257 statewide, top 84%, 674 students, 88% FRL); Bessemer City High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 850 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $84k; list at $150k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,608 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.71%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$227,827
List price
$149,500
Delta
-34.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 Woodland Rd 0.27mi 3/2.5 2,181 (-2%) 10mo $231,500 $106 76
432 Oak St SW 0.21mi 3/1.0 2,262 (+2%) 13mo $147,000 $65 71
445 Oak St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 2,256 (+2%) 10mo $131,000 $58 70
701 Rosemary Ln 0.24mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,390 (+8%) 2mo $245,000 $103 68
109 Hillside Rd 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,008 (-10%) 1mo $169,000 $84 66
822 S Montez Dr 0.42mi 3/3.0 2,413 (+9%) 0mo $240,000 $99 64
726 Parker Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 2,322 (+4%) 15mo $211,000 $91 62
109 Waverly Cir 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,923 (-14%) 6mo $285,000 $148 60
402 Memorial Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 2,264 (+2%) 8mo $170,000 $75 58
1055 Barclay Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 2,233 (+0%) 7mo $255,000 $114 58
1052 Gloria Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,915 (-14%) 19mo $220,000 $115 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.6%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-31,729
Equity at exit
$22,291
10-year hold
IRR
-27.7%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-46,816
Equity at exit
$12,926

Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35020

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,276 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$784
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,659/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$-60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,352
Max offer price $138,947
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $25 -5% $-17 +0% $-60 +5% $-102 +10% $-144
Rent -10% $-161 -5% $-110 +0% $-60 +5% $-9 +10% $41
Rate -1.0pp $16 -0.5pp $-22 base $-60 +0.5pp $-98 +1.0pp $-138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,375
Closing costs
$4,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1418 $1,100 $0.78 46d 1 0.77mi
200 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1826 $1,200 $0.66 12d 1 0.89mi
236 Clifton St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,100 $0.76 46d 1 1.06mi
434 Bryant St Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1540 $1,523 $0.99 5d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,500 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,500 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,500 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,500 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,500 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,500 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,500 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,500 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,500 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,500 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,500 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,500 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,500 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,500 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,500 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    listed $149,500 Active 99-char remark
  17. 2026-02-02
    historical $1,623
  18. 2026-01-18
    listed $1,623
  19. 2025-05-15
    price $155,000
  20. 2025-04-03
    price $165,000
  21. 2025-01-17
    price $175,000
  22. 2023-12-14
    historical $1,400
  23. 2023-11-29
    price $1,400
  24. 2023-11-18
    listed $1,500
  25. 1989-09-11
    soldstatus $83,882
  26. 1985-02-01
    soldstatus $79,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,659 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,659 · $222/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,313
− Mortgage interest
−$8,374
− Property taxes
−$2,659
− Insurance
−$748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,225
− Management
−$1,225
− Depreciation
−$4,349
Taxable loss
−$3,267
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$784
After-tax cash flow
$67/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bessemer City
NCES district ID
0100330
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$29,721
Composite
8.45/100
National rank
#9905
State rank
#120 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bessemer, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,892
Household income
$35,362
Rent vs Own
40.6% rent · 59.4% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.54%
Current HPI
179.7702
Rent YoY
▼ -3.12%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $149,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-02 Rental Removed $1,623 RENTLY
  • 2026-01-18 Listed for Rent $1,623 RENTLY
  • 2025-05-15 Price Changed $155,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-04-03 Price Changed $165,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-01-17 Price Changed $175,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-12-14 Rental Removed $1,400 GALMLS
  • 2023-11-29 Price Changed $1,400 GALMLS
  • 2023-11-18 Listed for Rent $1,500 GALMLS
  • 1989-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $83,882 Public Records
  • 1985-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,659 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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