748 Northwood Ln · Jacksonville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$21,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Built 2024
- Listed 870 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $22k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $726 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 46.8% vs local median 5.4% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#187 in IL, #3,543 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D.
- Jacksonville SD 117 (town): math 20% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #407 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $149 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $645 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 870 days — a 12% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 870 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 144.80%
- DSCR
- 7.44
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.11×
- Total profit
- $42,800
- Equity at exit
- $3,206
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.10×
- Total profit
- $96,913
- Equity at exit
- $1,859
Cash invested: $6,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62650
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$113
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$27 /mo · $322/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $726
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $741 | -5% $734 | +0% $726 | +5% $719 | +10% $712 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $639 | -5% $683 | +0% $726 | +5% $770 | +10% $814 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $737 | -0.5pp $732 | base $726 | +0.5pp $721 | +1.0pp $715 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,375
- Closing costs
- $645
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $21,500 Active 870 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $21,500 Active 868 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $21,500 Active 867 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $21,500 Active 866 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $21,500 Active 865 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $21,500 Active 863 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $21,500 Active 862 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $21,500 Active 859 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $21,500 Active 858 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $21,500 Active 857 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $21,500 Active 856 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $21,500 Active 853 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $21,500 Active 852 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $21,500 Active 851 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $21,500 Active 850 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $21,500 Active 849 DOM
-
2024-05-03status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-03price $21,500 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-03historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-02status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-02historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-02status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-02historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-05-01status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-24historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-23status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-23historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-16status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-16historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-15status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-15historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-14status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-14historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-13status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-13historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-12status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-12historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-11status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-11historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-10status Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-04-10historical 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2024-01-23$24,500 Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,291
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,204
- − Property taxes
- −$322
- − Insurance
- −$108
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$625
- Taxable income
- $8,905
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,137
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,580/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jacksonville SD 117
- NCES district ID
- 1720280
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,909
- Composite
- 18.66/100
- National rank
- #8888
- State rank
- #407 of 620 in IL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #3543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, IL
- City population
- 24,318
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,318
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,874 people
- By 2030
- 31,698 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 29,050 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 26,381 · -19.8%
- By 2075
- 20,235 · -38.4%
- By 2100
- 14,324 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.5) · D 33.1% · R 65.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.8pp · 2024: -32.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.5 2020: R+31.8 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+15.4 2008: R+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.33%
- Current HPI
- 126.5712
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
-12.2% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2024-05-03 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-03 Price Changed $21,500 Zillow
- 2024-05-03 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-02 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-02 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-02 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-02 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-05-01 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-24 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-23 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-23 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-16 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-16 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-15 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-15 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-14 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-14 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-13 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-13 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-12 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-12 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-11 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-11 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-10 Relisted — Zillow
- 2024-04-10 Delisted — Zillow
- 2024-01-23 Listed $24,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…