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748 Northwood Ln
D Composite 43.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$21,500

748 Northwood Ln · Jacksonville, IL 62650
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured · 870 Days on market
Built 2024 ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Built 2024
  • Listed 870 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $22k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $726 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 46.8% vs local median 5.4% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#187 in IL, #3,543 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D.
  • Jacksonville SD 117 (town): math 20% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #407 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $149 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $645 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 870 days — a 12% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $18,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 870 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.15%
Cap rate
46.84%
Cash-on-cash
144.80%
DSCR
7.44
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.11×
Total profit
$42,800
Equity at exit
$3,206
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.10×
Total profit
$96,913
Equity at exit
$1,859

Cash invested: $6,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62650

Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$113
Tax est. 1.5%
$27 /mo · $322/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$726

Break-even live

Break-even rent $188
Max offer price $21,500
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $741 -5% $734 +0% $726 +5% $719 +10% $712
Rent -10% $639 -5% $683 +0% $726 +5% $770 +10% $814
Rate -1.0pp $737 -0.5pp $732 base $726 +0.5pp $721 +1.0pp $715

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,375
Closing costs
$645
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $21,500 Active 870 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $21,500 Active 868 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $21,500 Active 867 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $21,500 Active 866 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $21,500 Active 865 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $21,500 Active 863 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $21,500 Active 862 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $21,500 Active 859 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $21,500 Active 858 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $21,500 Active 857 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $21,500 Active 856 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $21,500 Active 853 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $21,500 Active 852 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $21,500 Active 851 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $21,500 Active 850 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $21,500 Active 849 DOM
  17. 2024-05-03
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  18. 2024-05-03
    price $21,500 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  19. 2024-05-03
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  20. 2024-05-02
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  21. 2024-05-02
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  22. 2024-05-02
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  23. 2024-05-02
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  24. 2024-05-01
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  25. 2024-04-24
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  26. 2024-04-23
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  27. 2024-04-23
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  28. 2024-04-16
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  29. 2024-04-16
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  30. 2024-04-15
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  31. 2024-04-15
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  32. 2024-04-14
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  33. 2024-04-14
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  34. 2024-04-13
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  35. 2024-04-13
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  36. 2024-04-12
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  37. 2024-04-12
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  38. 2024-04-11
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  39. 2024-04-11
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  40. 2024-04-10
    status Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  41. 2024-04-10
    historical 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  42. 2024-01-23
    listed $24,500 Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,291
− Mortgage interest
−$1,204
− Property taxes
−$322
− Insurance
−$108
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,063
− Management
−$1,063
− Depreciation
−$625
Taxable income
$8,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,137
After-tax cash flow
$6,580/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jacksonville SD 117
NCES district ID
1720280
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,909
Composite
18.66/100
National rank
#8888
State rank
#407 of 620 in IL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
76/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#3543

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, IL
City population
24,318
Population (ZIP)
24,318

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,874 people
By 2030
31,698 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,050 · -11.6%
By 2050
26,381 · -19.8%
By 2075
20,235 · -38.4%
By 2100
14,324 · -56.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.5) · D 33.1% · R 65.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-31.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.8pp · 2024: -32.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.5 2020: R+31.8 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+15.4 2008: R+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.33%
Current HPI
126.5712
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.2% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2024-05-03 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-03 Price Changed $21,500 Zillow
  • 2024-05-03 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-02 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-02 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-02 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-02 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-01 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-24 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-23 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-23 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-16 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-16 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-15 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-15 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-14 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-14 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-13 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-13 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-12 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-12 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-11 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-11 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-10 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-04-10 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-01-23 Listed $24,500 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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