20467 Binder St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and updated bungalow on a quiet east side street. Classic character with solid bones — perfect for an owner-occupant or investor.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1943
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential property; 2-story structure; Built in 1943; Frontage approximately 40 feet
- Construction: Basement foundation; Below-grade area noted
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Paved street access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 on second level (approx. 12 x 10); Bedroom 2 on entry level (approx. 11 x 8); Bedroom 3 on entry level (approx. 11 wide)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom located on entry level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.01%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $54,340
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20499 Binder St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 712 (-0%) | 6mo | $72,100 | $101 | 93 |
| 19942 Binder St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 696 (-3%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $101 | 76 |
| 20270 Dean Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 792 (+11%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $69 | 69 |
| 19667 Sunset St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 752 (+5%) | 4mo | $28,500 | $38 | 62 |
| 20203 Moenart St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 725 (+1%) | 3mo | $48,000 | $66 | 56 |
| 20006 Anglin St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 726 (+2%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $76 | 55 |
| 21771 Cunningham Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 696 (-3%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $180 | 54 |
| 21106 Audrey St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 696 (-3%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $76 | 53 |
| 20846 Atlantic Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 696 (-3%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $122 | 49 |
| 19656 Mitchell St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 814 (+14%) | 11mo | $33,000 | $41 | 34 |
| 19300 Binder St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 820 (+15%) | 4mo | $10,000 | $12 | 34 |
| 20760 Atlantic Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 822 (+15%) | 15mo | $39,000 | $47 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $10,164
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $60,875
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $717/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $359
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $422 | -5% $390 | +0% $359 | +5% $328 | +10% $297 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $255 | -5% $307 | +0% $359 | +5% $411 | +10% $463 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $415 | -0.5pp $387 | base $359 | +0.5pp $331 | +1.0pp $302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 19d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 18475 Wexford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 749 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 19d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $109,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $114,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical $114,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $717 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,205 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$488/yr (+$41/mo · 68.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$717
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,265
- − Management
- −$1,265
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $2,665
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$640
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $717 · -54.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…