232 Horton St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your vision and make this home your own! Perfectly situated in a highly desirable location, this property offers convenience to schools, shopping, dining, and major freeways. With plenty of space and a functional layout, it's ideal for investors, first-time buyers ready for a project, or anyone looking to add value through updates and renovations. This is your chance to create the home you've always wanted or an excellent investment opportunity in a sought-after neighborhood. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today! Please note the adjacent lots are not included with the sale. BATVAI
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 150 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.1%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,424/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 83.57%
- DSCR
- 4.72
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $302,133
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 Horton St | 0.02mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+1%) | 17mo | $405,000 | $169 | 76 |
| 514 Mount Vernon St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,575 (+8%) | 6mo | $309,000 | $120 | 56 |
| 608 Mount Vernon St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,600 (+9%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $94 | 52 |
| 65 Melbourne St | 0.44mi | 4/4.5 | 2,650 (+11%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $104 | 51 |
| 612 Marston St | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 | 2,068 (-13%) | 12mo | $340,000 | $164 | 49 |
| 266 Alger St | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 2,557 (+8%) | 11mo | $405,000 | $158 | 48 |
| 237 Alger St | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 | 2,597 (+9%) | 6mo | $337,500 | $130 | 46 |
| 250 Alger St | 0.66mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 2,500 (+5%) | 9mo | $317,500 | $127 | 45 |
| 443 E Edsel Ford Fwy E | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,526 (+6%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $30 | 44 |
| 89 Hague St | 0.62mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,154 (-10%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $81 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 80.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $70,691
- Equity at exit
- $10,735
- IRR
- 83.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.41×
- Total profit
- $149,423
- Equity at exit
- $6,225
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48202
- Rents YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,424 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,243/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $1,404
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528 E Philadelphia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1625 | $2,400 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 419 King St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1668 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 216 Holbrook Unit Na Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 216 Holbrook St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1418 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2264 | $1,200 | $0.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1441 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2380 | $2,600 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 634 Atkinson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3000 | $6,500 | $2.17 | 10d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 330 Westminster St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1995 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 330 Westminster St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1995 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 505 Westminster St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-02-13status Pending 601-char remark
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
Bring your vision and make this home your own! Perfectly situated in a highly desirable location, this property offers convenience to schools, shopping, dining, and major freeways. With plenty of space and a functional layout, it's ideal for investors, first-time buyers ready for a project, or anyone looking to add value through updates and renovations. This is your chance to create the home you've always wanted or an excellent investment opportunity in a sought-after neighborhood. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today! Please note the adjacent lots are not included with the sale. BATVAI
-
2026-02-13status Pending
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
Bring your vision and make this home your own! Perfectly situated in a highly desirable location, this property offers convenience to schools, shopping, dining, and major freeways. With plenty of space and a functional layout, it's ideal for investors, first-time buyers ready for a project, or anyone looking to add value through updates and renovations. This is your chance to create the home you've always wanted or an excellent investment opportunity in a sought-after neighborhood. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today! Please note the adjacent lots are not included with the sale. BATVAI
-
2025-09-09$72,000 Active 601-char remark
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
Bring your vision and make this home your own! Perfectly situated in a highly desirable location, this property offers convenience to schools, shopping, dining, and major freeways. With plenty of space and a functional layout, it's ideal for investors, first-time buyers ready for a project, or anyone looking to add value through updates and renovations. This is your chance to create the home you've always wanted or an excellent investment opportunity in a sought-after neighborhood. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today! Please note the adjacent lots are not included with the sale. BATVAI
-
2025-09-09$72,000 Active
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
Bring your vision and make this home your own! Perfectly situated in a highly desirable location, this property offers convenience to schools, shopping, dining, and major freeways. With plenty of space and a functional layout, it's ideal for investors, first-time buyers ready for a project, or anyone looking to add value through updates and renovations. This is your chance to create the home you've always wanted or an excellent investment opportunity in a sought-after neighborhood. Don't miss out - schedule your showing today! Please note the adjacent lots are not included with the sale. BATVAI
-
2024-04-22historical
-
2024-04-22historical
-
2023-09-11$160,000 Active
-
2023-09-11$160,000 Active
-
2023-07-31historical
-
2023-07-31historical
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2023-03-02historical
-
2023-03-02status Active
-
2023-01-31$295,000 Active
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2023-01-31$295,000 Active
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2023-01-02historical
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2023-01-01historical
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2022-11-30price $425,000
-
2022-11-30price $425,000
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2022-11-17price $59,000
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2022-11-16price $59,000
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2022-06-02$499,900 Active
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2022-06-02$499,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,243 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,243 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,090
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$1,243
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,327
- − Management
- −$2,327
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $16,705
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,009
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,780
- Household income
- $43,627
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1258.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 26% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.24%
- Current HPI
- 145.5509
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.13%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-85.6% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-09 Listed $72,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-09 Listed $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-09-11 Listed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-11 Listed $160,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-07-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-02 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2023-01-31 Listed $295,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-31 Listed $295,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-01-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-11-30 Price Changed $425,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-30 Price Changed $425,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-17 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-16 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-06-02 Listed $499,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-02 Listed $499,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,243 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…