Duplex
39 Lackawanna Ave · East Stroudsburg, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Rare side-by-side duplex opportunity in a prime in-town location! Each unit offers 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, full basement, and walk-up attic--ideal for added storage or future expansion. Both feature spacious layouts with eat-in kitchens, large formal dining rooms, and oversized living areas, plus a huge wraparound porch adding charm and curb appeal. One unit is in average condition with hardwood floors and custom built-ins, while the other is in need of significant renovation--perfect for investors looking to add value. Strong upside potential with proximity to university campus, hospital, shopping, and major roadways. Great opportunity for rental income, or full rehab project. Priced with c
Key facts
- Side-by-side duplex
- Eat-in kitchens
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex (residential income); One shared common wall
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood siding; Block foundation; Stone foundation; Slate roof; Built as a residential income duplex
- Exterior features: Front porch; Wrap-around porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Built-in bookcases; Natural woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Full basement with walk-out access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $713/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $300k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.6% in East Stroudsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#108 in PA, #833 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,517/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 672% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $300k implies a 757% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.17%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $66,204
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $283,692
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18301
- Rents YoY
- 10.4%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,517 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$389 /mo · $4,672/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$949
- Net cashflow
- $1,426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,596 | -5% $1,511 | +0% $1,426 | +5% $1,341 | +10% $1,256 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,069 | -5% $1,248 | +0% $1,426 | +5% $1,604 | +10% $1,783 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,577 | -0.5pp $1,502 | base $1,426 | +0.5pp $1,348 | +1.0pp $1,269 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3.0 | 1.5 | $4,518 |
| #1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | $2,259 |
| #2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | $2,259 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,517 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-15$299,900 Active
-
1982-11-05soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,672 · $389/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,705 · $392/mo
- Expected delta
- +$33/yr (+$3/mo · 0.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$4,672
- − Insurance
- −$2,166
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,336
- − Management
- −$4,336
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable income
- $13,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,161
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,950/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Stroudsburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #833
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- County
- Monroe County · 59,057 people
- City population
- 28,977
- Metro
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,977
- Household income
- $90,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 672.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.90%
- Current HPI
- 154.4762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.44%
- Metro
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+756.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-04-15 Listed $299,900 PMAR
- 1982-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $4,672 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…