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17312 Poe Ave
C- Composite 54.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

17312 Poe Ave · Hazel Crest, IL 60429
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1952 6,125 sqft lot Est $201k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.

Key facts

  • Large master bedroom
  • Deck
  • Remodeled home

Tags

REMODELED HOMELARGE MASTER BEDROOMHUGE FENCED BACKYARDDECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space, asphalt driveway); Garage owned
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built 71-80 years ago; Built before 1978; Rehab completed in 2026
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately .25-.49 acre (49 x 125); School bus service

Interior

  • Kitchen: Galley kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring throughout; Vinyl flooring in kitchen, laundry, and master bedroom; Wood laminate in several bedrooms and living room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Crawl space basement; Window treatments: blinds and curtains/drapes in multiple rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mae Jemison School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 376 students, 0% FRL); Prairie-Hills Junior High School (math 7% / reading 10%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 825 students, 0% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 4% / reading 4%, grade F, #657 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 1,314 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $200k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
8.17%
Cash-on-cash
6.70%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,928
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17417 Kedzie Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-0%) 0mo $200,000 $182 90
17312 Poe Ave 0.00mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,187 (+8%) 0mo $199,000 $168 82
2912 175th St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,044 (-5%) 3mo $209,500 $201 75
3318 Tulip Dr 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,093 (-1%) 1mo $225,000 $206 71
2800 Lexington Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,073 (-3%) 1mo $180,000 $168 70
3213 Woodworth Pl 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,246 (+13%) 2mo $145,000 $116 66
3617 Coventry Ct 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-4%) 1mo $240,000 $226 57
17801 Yale Ln 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-6%) 3mo $206,000 $198 53
17622 Oakwood Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,257 (+14%) 3mo $115,000 $91 49
2722 Cherrywood Pl 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,258 (+14%) 3mo $260,000 $207 46
17781 Yale Ln 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+9%) 2mo $141,500 $118 43
3425 Birchwood Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,256 (+14%) 1mo $180,000 $143 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-12,285
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$15,744
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60429

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,476 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$512 /mo · $6,147/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$520
Net cashflow
$313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,081
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $426 -5% $369 +0% $313 +5% $256 +10% $199
Rent -10% $117 -5% $215 +0% $313 +5% $410 +10% $508
Rate -1.0pp $413 -0.5pp $363 base $313 +0.5pp $261 +1.0pp $208

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1441 $2,650 $1.84 15d 1 0.53mi
3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 2.0 839 $2,850 $3.40 0d 1 0.63mi
3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $2,650 $1.88 0d 1 0.82mi
3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $2,650 $1.88 1d 1 0.82mi
17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 1.0 1034 $2,700 $2.61 1d 1 0.88mi
3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1486 $2,900 $1.95 4d 1 1.03mi
2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.0 1020 $2,400 $2.35 0d 1 1.14mi
17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL 3.0 1.0 1174 $2,500 $2.13 19d 1 1.15mi
17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL 3.0 1.0 1174 $2,300 $1.96 0d 1 1.15mi
16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 867 $2,500 $2.88 0d 1 1.15mi
16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1406 $2,700 $1.92 0d 1 1.16mi
2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1159 $2,350 $2.03 0d 1 1.24mi
2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1158 $2,300 $1.99 0d 1 1.33mi
16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 0d 1 1.36mi
17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 0d 1 1.37mi
2420 183rd St Homewood, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 13d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    listed $199,900 Active
  3. 2025-04-25
    soldstatus $64,000
  4. 2012-12-18
    soldstatus $20,500 Closed Sale 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.

  5. 2012-09-20
    historical Contingent 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.

  6. 2012-08-22
    price $30,000 Price Change 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.

  7. 2012-06-30
    listed $40,000 New 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.

  8. 1992-04-30
    soldstatus $64,500
  9. 1987-05-01
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,147 · $512/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,147 · $512/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,718
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$6,147
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,377
− Management
−$2,377
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$804
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$193
After-tax cash flow
$3,558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Hazel Crest

Score
75/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#4242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Crest, IL
City population
14,602
Population (ZIP)
14,602

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.04%
Current HPI
282.3552
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+308.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $199,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-18 Sold (MLS) $20,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-20 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-22 Price Changed $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-06-30 Listed $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
  • 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $6,147 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…