17312 Poe Ave · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.
Key facts
- Large master bedroom
- Deck
- Remodeled home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space, asphalt driveway); Garage owned
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built 71-80 years ago; Built before 1978; Rehab completed in 2026
- Exterior features: Lot approximately .25-.49 acre (49 x 125); School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Galley kitchen
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring throughout; Vinyl flooring in kitchen, laundry, and master bedroom; Wood laminate in several bedrooms and living room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Crawl space basement; Window treatments: blinds and curtains/drapes in multiple rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mae Jemison School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 376 students, 0% FRL); Prairie-Hills Junior High School (math 7% / reading 10%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 825 students, 0% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 4% / reading 4%, grade F, #657 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 1,314 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; list at $200k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.70%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,928
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17417 Kedzie Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-0%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $182 | 90 |
| 17312 Poe Ave | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,187 (+8%) | 0mo | $199,000 | $168 | 82 |
| 2912 175th St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-5%) | 3mo | $209,500 | $201 | 75 |
| 3318 Tulip Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,093 (-1%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $206 | 71 |
| 2800 Lexington Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,073 (-3%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $168 | 70 |
| 3213 Woodworth Pl | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,246 (+13%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $116 | 66 |
| 3617 Coventry Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-4%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $226 | 57 |
| 17801 Yale Ln | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-6%) | 3mo | $206,000 | $198 | 53 |
| 17622 Oakwood Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,257 (+14%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $91 | 49 |
| 2722 Cherrywood Pl | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,258 (+14%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $207 | 46 |
| 17781 Yale Ln | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+9%) | 2mo | $141,500 | $118 | 43 |
| 3425 Birchwood Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,256 (+14%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $143 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-12,285
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $15,744
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,476 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$512 /mo · $6,147/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $313
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $426 | -5% $369 | +0% $313 | +5% $256 | +10% $199 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $215 | +0% $313 | +5% $410 | +10% $508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $413 | -0.5pp $363 | base $313 | +0.5pp $261 | +1.0pp $208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1441 | $2,650 | $1.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 839 | $2,850 | $3.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $2,650 | $1.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $2,650 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $2,700 | $2.61 | 1d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,900 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $2,500 | $2.13 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 0d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,500 | $2.88 | 0d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,700 | $1.92 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1158 | $2,300 | $1.99 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2420 183rd St Homewood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-20$199,900 Active
-
2025-04-25soldstatus $64,000
-
2012-12-18soldstatus $20,500 Closed Sale 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.
-
2012-09-20historical Contingent 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.
-
2012-08-22price $30,000 Price Change 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.
-
2012-06-30$40,000 New 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Ranch home with nice space in need of rehab. Large extra living area on the front, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Large yard and a 1 car garage. Has central air but it needs to be replaced. Cute cozy home with loads of potential. short sale.
-
1992-04-30soldstatus $64,500
-
1987-05-01soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,147 · $512/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,147 · $512/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,718
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$6,147
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,377
- − Management
- −$2,377
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $804
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$193
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Crest, IL
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+308.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Listed $199,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2012-12-18 Sold (MLS) $20,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-20 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-22 Price Changed $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-30 Listed $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2023): $6,147 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…