735 aka 718 Wiggins St · Greenport West, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$865,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming Farmhouse/Colonial in one of Greenport’s most desirable in-town neighborhoods. Just moments from sandy beaches, award-winning restaurants, boutique shops, and the harbor, this home offers the perfect blend of village lifestyle and quiet residential living. Enjoy 4 bedrooms all privately set on the second level, including a spacious primary bedroom with a cozy loft. Sunlight fills the home through classic windows that complement the warmth of wood floors throughout. The inviting first floor features an eat-in kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a pantry, along with the convenience of a first-floor laundry room. Step outside onto t
Key facts
- Cozy loft
- Farmhouse colonial
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $865k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($77k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $865k).
- Recommended offer: $787k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 8.1% in Greenport West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,073 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Greenport Union Free School District (town): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #450 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Greenport Elementary School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 339 students, 61% FRL); Greenport High School (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #934 of 1,100 statewide, top 86%, 356 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $242k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($787k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.72%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $857,520
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520 4th St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,599 (+1%) | 11mo | $890,000 | $557 | 67 |
| 426 Clark St | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,672 (+5%) | 3mo | $1,645,000 | $984 | 65 |
| 312 5th Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (+2%) | 10mo | $875,000 | $540 | 65 |
| 73175 Main Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-3%) | 2mo | $595,000 | $386 | 60 |
| 416 West St | 0.37mi | 4/1.5 | 1,450 (-9%) | 4mo | $725,000 | $500 | 59 |
| 237 5th Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,700 (+7%) | 11mo | $1,250,000 | $735 | 57 |
| 216 North St | 0.52mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,724 (+9%) | 0mo | $999,000 | $579 | 54 |
| 239 5th Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (+10%) | 15mo | $895,000 | $511 | 50 |
| 1605 Washington Ave | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 1,740 (+10%) | 6mo | $1,295,000 | $744 | 48 |
| 336 2nd St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (+13%) | 15mo | $578,000 | $321 | 38 |
| 35 Washington Ave | 0.75mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,805 (+14%) | 2mo | $750,000 | $416 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $267,839
- Equity at exit
- $128,974
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $759,259
- Equity at exit
- $74,789
Cash invested: $242,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11944
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $15,671 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,536
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,081 /mo · $12,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$360
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,291
- Net cashflow
- $6,402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $7,000 | -5% $6,701 | +0% $6,402 | +5% $6,103 | +10% $5,805 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5,164 | -5% $5,783 | +0% $6,402 | +5% $7,021 | +10% $7,640 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $6,838 | -0.5pp $6,622 | base $6,402 | +0.5pp $6,178 | +1.0pp $5,950 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $216,250
- Closing costs
- $25,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 5th Ave Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $12,000 | $6.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 134 6th St Greenport, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $18,500 | $11.86 | 20d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 131 6th St Unit G Greenport, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2238 | $5,000 | $2.23 | 26d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 123 Sterling Ave #2 Greenport, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1528 | $45,000 | $29.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 485 Sutton Pl Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2026 | $20,000 | $9.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-05price $865,000
-
2025-12-09$899,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $188,053
- − Mortgage interest
- −$48,453
- − Property taxes
- −$12,975
- − Insurance
- −$4,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$15,044
- − Management
- −$15,044
- − Depreciation
- −$25,164
- Taxable income
- $67,048
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$16,091
- After-tax cash flow
- $60,737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenport Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612840
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,490
- Composite
- 45.25/100
- National rank
- #5759
- State rank
- #450 of 755 in NY
Livability — Greenport West
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1073
- US rank
- #21520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenport West, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,744
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.97%
- Current HPI
- 462.3431
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-3.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $865,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-09 Listed $899,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…