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1049 Adams St
B Composite 70.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

1049 Adams St · New Castle, PA 16101
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 337 Days on market
Built 1956 5,619 sqft lot $84/sqft · at area comps Est $90k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this fully remodeled home featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. Inside enjoy brand new energy efficient windows that fill the home with natural light. The main level offers a spacious living room, a formal dining room, and a charming functional kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms plus a third smaller room- great for a home office, playroom, or nursery. With thoughtful updates throughout and a warm, welcoming atmosphere, this move in ready home is an excellent opportunity you won't want to miss. Income producing/great for investors.

Key facts

  • Level yard
  • Off-street parking
  • Remodeled home

Tags

REMODELED HOMEFRONT AND REAR PORCHESLEVEL YARDOFF-STREET PARKINGENERGY EFFICIENT WINDOWSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 8.7% in New Castle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#137 in PA, #1,120 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
  • New Castle Area SD (town): math 9% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #519 of 539 in PA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.1%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 51 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 12% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $90k implies a 399% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.86%
Cash-on-cash
23.46%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,729
List price
$89,900
Delta
0.19%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1023 Beckford St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+3%) 3mo $25,000 $23 87
939 Warren Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,123 (+5%) 1mo $135,000 $120 79
1042 Maryland Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,204 (+12%) 2mo $54,000 $45 73
827 Morton St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,123 (+5%) 0mo $40,000 $36 66
746 Castle St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,066 (-0%) 2mo $169,900 $159 65
1211 Gale St 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 944 (-12%) 0mo $150,000 $159 65
1613 E Washington St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+8%) 10mo $90,000 $78 60
1815 E Washington St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,134 (+6%) 6mo $69,000 $61 54
1218 Finch St 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,128 (+5%) 9mo $128,000 $113 48
1602 National St 0.59mi 3/1.0 962 (-10%) 9mo $48,000 $50 48
819 Addis St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 930 (-13%) 7mo $62,000 $67 46
705 E Lutton St 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,218 (+14%) 2mo $48,500 $40 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$24,322
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$95,859
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16101

Home prices YoY
-26.3%
Rents YoY
20.1%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,422 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,467/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $799
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $543 -5% $518 +0% $492 +5% $467 +10% $441
Rent -10% $380 -5% $436 +0% $492 +5% $548 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $537 -0.5pp $515 base $492 +0.5pp $469 +1.0pp $445

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1056 Adams St New Castle, PA 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,500 $1.34 44d 1 0.05mi
932 Morton St New Castle, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,375 $0.95 44d 1 0.38mi
1112 Williams St New Castle, PA 2.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 44d 1 0.64mi
712 E Reynolds St New Castle, PA 3.0 1.0 1182 $975 $0.82 44d 1 0.69mi
503 Galbreath St New Castle, PA 2.0 1.0 1228 $1,295 $1.05 44d 1 1.05mi
1605 S Jefferson St New Castle, PA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 337 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 336 DOM
  3. 2025-11-17
    status Active 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    Welcome to this fully remodeled home featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. Inside enjoy brand new energy efficient windows that fill the home with natural light. The main level offers a spacious living room, a formal dining room, and a charming functional kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms plus a third smaller room- great for a home office, playroom, or nursery. With thoughtful updates throughout and a warm, welcoming atmosphere, this move in ready home is an excellent opportunity you won't want to miss. Income producing/great for investors.

  4. 2025-10-20
    status Pending 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    Welcome to this fully remodeled home featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. Inside enjoy brand new energy efficient windows that fill the home with natural light. The main level offers a spacious living room, a formal dining room, and a charming functional kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms plus a third smaller room- great for a home office, playroom, or nursery. With thoughtful updates throughout and a warm, welcoming atmosphere, this move in ready home is an excellent opportunity you won't want to miss. Income producing/great for investors.

  5. 2025-06-02
    price $89,900 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    Welcome to this fully remodeled home featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. Inside enjoy brand new energy efficient windows that fill the home with natural light. The main level offers a spacious living room, a formal dining room, and a charming functional kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms plus a third smaller room- great for a home office, playroom, or nursery. With thoughtful updates throughout and a warm, welcoming atmosphere, this move in ready home is an excellent opportunity you won't want to miss. Income producing/great for investors.

  6. 2025-05-31
    listed $80,000 Active 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    Welcome to this fully remodeled home featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. Inside enjoy brand new energy efficient windows that fill the home with natural light. The main level offers a spacious living room, a formal dining room, and a charming functional kitchen. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms plus a third smaller room- great for a home office, playroom, or nursery. With thoughtful updates throughout and a warm, welcoming atmosphere, this move in ready home is an excellent opportunity you won't want to miss. Income producing/great for investors.

  7. 2024-10-24
    price $92,900 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Welcome to this newly remodeled home, featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. The entire house boasts brand-new windows, ensuring energy efficiency and abundant natural light throughout. Inside, the spacious living room provides a perfect setting for relaxation, while the formal dining room is ideal for hosting gatherings. The cozy kitchen is both functional and charming. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms along with a third smaller bedroom, perfect for use as a playroom or home office. This home effortlessly combines modern updates with a warm and welcoming atmosphere, making it an excellent choice for your next residence. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own this beautifully updated home!

  8. 2024-09-06
    price $94,900 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Welcome to this newly remodeled home, featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. The entire house boasts brand-new windows, ensuring energy efficiency and abundant natural light throughout. Inside, the spacious living room provides a perfect setting for relaxation, while the formal dining room is ideal for hosting gatherings. The cozy kitchen is both functional and charming. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms along with a third smaller bedroom, perfect for use as a playroom or home office. This home effortlessly combines modern updates with a warm and welcoming atmosphere, making it an excellent choice for your next residence. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own this beautifully updated home!

  9. 2024-08-01
    price $99,900 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Welcome to this newly remodeled home, featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. The entire house boasts brand-new windows, ensuring energy efficiency and abundant natural light throughout. Inside, the spacious living room provides a perfect setting for relaxation, while the formal dining room is ideal for hosting gatherings. The cozy kitchen is both functional and charming. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms along with a third smaller bedroom, perfect for use as a playroom or home office. This home effortlessly combines modern updates with a warm and welcoming atmosphere, making it an excellent choice for your next residence. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own this beautifully updated home!

  10. 2024-06-11
    price $107,000 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Welcome to this newly remodeled home, featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. The entire house boasts brand-new windows, ensuring energy efficiency and abundant natural light throughout. Inside, the spacious living room provides a perfect setting for relaxation, while the formal dining room is ideal for hosting gatherings. The cozy kitchen is both functional and charming. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms along with a third smaller bedroom, perfect for use as a playroom or home office. This home effortlessly combines modern updates with a warm and welcoming atmosphere, making it an excellent choice for your next residence. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own this beautifully updated home!

  11. 2024-05-22
    listed $110,000 Active 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Welcome to this newly remodeled home, featuring inviting front and rear porches, a level yard, and convenient off-street parking. The entire house boasts brand-new windows, ensuring energy efficiency and abundant natural light throughout. Inside, the spacious living room provides a perfect setting for relaxation, while the formal dining room is ideal for hosting gatherings. The cozy kitchen is both functional and charming. Upstairs, you'll find two generously sized bedrooms along with a third smaller bedroom, perfect for use as a playroom or home office. This home effortlessly combines modern updates with a warm and welcoming atmosphere, making it an excellent choice for your next residence. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own this beautifully updated home!

  12. 1995-07-17
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,467 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,467 · $122/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,063
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,467
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,365
− Management
−$1,365
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$4,766
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,144
After-tax cash flow
$4,763/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Castle Area SD
NCES district ID
4216620
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -23.00%
Median HH income
$30,967
Composite
11.08/100
National rank
#9736
State rank
#519 of 539 in PA

Livability — New Castle

Score
82/100
State rank
#137
US rank
#1120

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Castle, PA
County
Lawrence County · 30,767 people
City population
30,767
Metro
New Castle, PA
Population (ZIP)
30,767
Household income
$51,128
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
1047.0

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,781 people
By 2030
77,978 · -4.7%
By 2040
69,522 · -15.0%
By 2050
61,344 · -25.0%
By 2075
45,027 · -44.9%
By 2100
31,305 · -61.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Serbian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.8% · R 66.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.7pp toward R · 2008: -5.1pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+9.0 2008: R+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.77%
Current HPI
159.3091
Rent YoY
▲ 20.05%
Metro
New Castle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+399.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-17 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-20 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2025-06-02 Price Changed $89,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-31 Listed $80,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-10-24 Price Changed $92,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-09-06 Price Changed $94,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-08-01 Price Changed $99,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-06-11 Price Changed $107,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-05-22 Listed $110,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1995-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,467 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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