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165 Edinburgh Rd
D Composite 41.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.7/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.4/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$380,000

165 Edinburgh Rd · San Angelo, TX 76901
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,502 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 214 Days on market
Built 1986 1.29 ac lot $109/sqft · 19% below area Est $466k · 19% under $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM

Key facts

  • 2-car garage
  • Freshly repainted
  • 1.25 acres

Tags

FRESHLY REPAINTEDUPDATED WITH NEW FLOORINGDETACHED 1-ROOM APARTMENT2-CAR GARAGE1.25 ACRES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (51.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (46.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (51.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bonham El (math 40% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,437 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 525 students, 40% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$65k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,578 (51.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.54%
Cap rate
2.80%
Cash-on-cash
-12.48%
DSCR
0.44
GRM
15.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$466,388
List price
$380,000
Delta
-18.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
129 Edinburgh Rd 0.33mi 4/3.0 3,000 (-14%) 14mo $425,000 $142 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$142,440
Equity at exit
$342,334
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
5.59×
Total profit
$488,328
Equity at exit
$738,256

Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76901

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
15.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,036 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,993
Tax from tax record
$522 /mo · $6,260/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$-1,106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,436
Max offer price $184,578
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-891 -5% $-999 +0% $-1,106 +5% $-1,214 +10% $-1,321
Rent -10% $-1,267 -5% $-1,187 +0% $-1,106 +5% $-1,026 +10% $-945
Rate -1.0pp $-915 -0.5pp $-1,010 base $-1,106 +0.5pp $-1,205 +1.0pp $-1,305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$95,000
Closing costs
$11,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $380,000 Active 214 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $380,000 Active 212 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $380,000 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $380,000 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $380,000 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $380,000 Active 208 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $380,000 Active 206 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $380,000 Active 205 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $380,000 Active 203 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $380,000 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $380,000 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $380,000 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $380,000 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $380,000 Active 194 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $380,000 Active 193 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $380,000 Active 192 DOM
  17. 2026-04-08
    price $399,900 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM

  18. 2026-03-18
    status Active 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM

  19. 2026-03-18
    price $415,000 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM

  20. 2026-03-17
    historical 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM

  21. 2026-01-14
    price $425,000 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM

  22. 2025-11-19
    listed $430,000 Active 1014-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1014 chars)

    Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM

  23. 2025-07-16
    price $299,900
  24. 2025-04-16
    listed $315,000 Active
  25. 2010-06-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,260 · $522/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,954 · $580/mo
Expected delta
+$694/yr (+$58/mo · 11.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,433
− Mortgage interest
−$21,286
− Property taxes
−$6,260
− Insurance
−$1,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,955
− Management
−$1,955
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$11,055
Taxable loss
−$20,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,915
After-tax cash flow
$-8,360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,831
Household income
$69,450
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (55%)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.96%
Current HPI
798.58
Rent YoY
▲ 5.78%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $399,900 SAAR TX
  • 2026-03-18 Relisted SAAR TX
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $415,000 SAAR TX
  • 2026-03-17 Delisted SAAR TX
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $425,000 SAAR TX
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $430,000 SAAR TX
  • 2025-07-16 Price Changed $299,900 SAAR TX
  • 2025-04-16 Listed $315,000 SAAR TX
  • 2010-06-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+35.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,260 · +35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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