165 Edinburgh Rd · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Cash flow +3.7/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$380,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM
Key facts
- 2-car garage
- Freshly repainted
- 1.25 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (51.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (46.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (51.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bonham El (math 40% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,437 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 525 students, 40% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$65k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.54% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.48%
- DSCR
- 0.44
- GRM
- 15.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $466,388
- List price
- $380,000
- Delta
- -18.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Edinburgh Rd | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 3,000 (-14%) | 14mo | $425,000 | $142 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $142,440
- Equity at exit
- $342,334
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.59×
- Total profit
- $488,328
- Equity at exit
- $738,256
Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76901
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 15.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,036 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,993
- Tax from tax record
- −$522 /mo · $6,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $-1,106
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-891 | -5% $-999 | +0% $-1,106 | +5% $-1,214 | +10% $-1,321 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,267 | -5% $-1,187 | +0% $-1,106 | +5% $-1,026 | +10% $-945 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-915 | -0.5pp $-1,010 | base $-1,106 | +0.5pp $-1,205 | +1.0pp $-1,305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $95,000
- Closing costs
- $11,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-22days on market $380,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $380,000 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $380,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $380,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $380,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $380,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $380,000 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $380,000 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $380,000 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $380,000 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $380,000 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $380,000 Active 200 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $380,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $380,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $380,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $380,000 Active 192 DOM
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2026-04-08price $399,900 1014-char remark
Show marketing remark (1014 chars)
Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM
-
2026-03-18status Active 1014-char remark
Show marketing remark (1014 chars)
Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM
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2026-03-18price $415,000 1014-char remark
Show marketing remark (1014 chars)
Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM
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2026-03-17historical 1014-char remark
Show marketing remark (1014 chars)
Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM
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2026-01-14price $425,000 1014-char remark
Show marketing remark (1014 chars)
Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM
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2025-11-19$430,000 Active 1014-char remark
Show marketing remark (1014 chars)
Step into possibility! Over 1 1/4 acres and If you looked a few months ago, you'll be surprised when you see this property a second time. More than 3,500+ SF home—freshly repainted in neutral colors, re-stained, updated new flooring in key areas, multiple repairs gives you a clean slate and ready for your inspired touch to make this your own. With 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and multiple generous living spaces, this home offers the perfect foundation for your dream home to share life with family and friends alike. Property features include a 2-car garage, a separate equipment garage and workshop, and a detached 1-room apartment tucked away in the backyard—ideal for guests, a studio, or classroom. Enjoy the amenities of community life in Highland Range Estates including swimming pool and clubhouse. With its fresh updates and wide-open possibilities, this home is truly a new slate ready for your imagination. THIS IS AN “AS IS” SALE. Video link: https://youtu. be/DAsSyY5x-cM
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2025-07-16price $299,900
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2025-04-16$315,000 Active
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2010-06-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,260 · $522/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,954 · $580/mo
- Expected delta
- +$694/yr (+$58/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,433
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,286
- − Property taxes
- −$6,260
- − Insurance
- −$1,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,955
- − Management
- −$1,955
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$11,055
- Taxable loss
- −$20,481
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,915
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,831
- Household income
- $69,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.96%
- Current HPI
- 798.58
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.78%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+27.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $399,900 SAAR TX
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $415,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-03-17 Delisted — SAAR TX
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $425,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-11-19 Listed $430,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $299,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-04-16 Listed $315,000 SAAR TX
- 2010-06-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+35.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,260 · +35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…