2630 Cropsey Ave Unit 8D · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$390,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Waterview Towers, located in the Bath Beach section of Brooklyn. This beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom coop is located on the 8th floor of a 16 story building. This stunning corner apt. offers a blend of modern style and comfort. Enjoy breathtaking views of the iconic Verrazano Bridge and stunning sunsets from your own home, all while basking in an abundance of natural sunlight that floods every room. The spacious living areas are complemented by stylish laminate flooring throughout, adding warmth and charm to every room. The updated kitchen features sleek, wood cabinets, elegant quartz countertops, a tasteful tiled backsplash and stainless steel appliances – perfe
Key facts
- Breathtaking views
- 16 story building
- Natural sunlight
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is part of a 164-unit building
- Financial info: Financing available: bank mortgage or cash; Typical down payment requirement around 20%; Flip tax applicable
- HOA & community: Monthly maintenance/ common fee of $1,057; Management: Paul O'Leary (phone available); Pets not allowed (see agent for details); Handicap access available; Co-op shares associated with unit
Exterior
- Parking: Wait-list parking
- Security: Intercom door; Secure lobby; Security patrol
- Utilities: Electric; Gas; Heat (steam/radiator); Water; Sewer; Septic
- Home design: Detached building; Residential unit on floor 8
- Construction: Detached building
- Exterior features: Secure lobby; Intercom door; Recreational room; Resident superintendent; Security patrol; Storage rooms; Terrace
Interior
- Kitchen: Galley kitchen; Stove; Refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor; Second bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Laminate floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Central A/C (1 unit)
- Interior features: Central A/C (1 unit); Dishwasher; Elevator access; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove; Private terrace
- Laundry & utility: Card-operated communal laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $390k).
- Recommended offer: $343k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,180/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 6028% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.67%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-12,043
- Equity at exit
- $58,150
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $93,616
- Equity at exit
- $33,720
Cash invested: $109,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11214
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,180 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$488 /mo · $5,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$878
- Net cashflow
- $607
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $877 | -5% $742 | +0% $607 | +5% $472 | +10% $338 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $277 | -5% $442 | +0% $607 | +5% $772 | +10% $937 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $804 | -0.5pp $706 | base $607 | +0.5pp $506 | +1.0pp $403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,500
- Closing costs
- $11,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2483 W 16th St Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 8642 26th Ave Unit 3 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,100 | $2.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 6A Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 889 | $5,125 | $5.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 18B Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 889 | $5,300 | $5.96 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 9A Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 889 | $5,200 | $5.85 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 7E Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $5,250 | $5.54 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 13E Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $5,550 | $5.85 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 8B Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 889 | $5,000 | $5.62 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 63 Bay 37th St Unit 1R Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,100 | $3.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1515 Surf Ave Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $5,195 | $7.35 | 0d | 14 | 0.99mi |
| 2321 81st St Unit 1 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1199 | $2,499 | $2.08 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2957 Shell Rd Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $5,550 | $4.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 711 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $4,200 | $4.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 406 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $3,550 | $3.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 508 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $4,099 | $4.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 602 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $5,299 | $4.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 720 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $4,100 | $4.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 612 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $4,150 | $4.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 704 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $3,950 | $4.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 532 Neptune Ave Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $4,550 | $4.80 | 0d | 8 | 1.10mi |
| 2538 E 2nd St Unit 2 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3000 Ocean Pkwy Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $3,775 | $3.34 | 20d | 2 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-02-25price $390,000
-
2026-02-25status Active
-
2025-12-24historical
-
2025-11-12price $410,000
-
2025-10-02price $415,000
-
2025-08-04status Active
-
2025-04-29status Pending
-
2025-03-17price $425,000
-
2025-01-03$435,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,163
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,846
- − Property taxes
- −$5,850
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,013
- − Management
- −$4,013
- − Depreciation
- −$11,345
- Taxable income
- $1,146
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$275
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 89,397
- Household income
- $65,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6028.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Asian 38% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 56% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 26% English-only · Chinese 28% Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -184.55%
- Current HPI
- 276.0804
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.87%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-10.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $390,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-02-25 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-12-24 Delisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $410,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $415,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-08-04 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-04-29 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $425,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-01-03 Listed $435,000 BNYMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…