3604 Kingman Ave · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$217,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1943
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $217k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-319/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (2.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westhaven Elementary (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #933 of 1,108 statewide, top 86%, 442 students, 100% FRL); William E. Waters Middle (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B, #160 of 342 statewide, top 48%, 534 students, 99% FRL); Manor High (math 48% / reading 75%, grade B-, #240 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 1,236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 60% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.52%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $300,464
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4020 Greenway Ct W | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,437 (+1%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $198 | 78 |
| 3209 Arlington Pl | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-2%) | 1mo | $291,000 | $208 | 75 |
| 2208 Colorado Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,425 (+0%) | 2mo | $319,900 | $224 | 74 |
| 3720 Turnpike Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-12%) | 1mo | $281,000 | $223 | 73 |
| 83 Wyoming Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-2%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $196 | 68 |
| 289 Choate St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+5%) | 1mo | $303,000 | $202 | 68 |
| 4013 Greenway Ct W | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,533 (+8%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $179 | 65 |
| 94 Kansas Ave | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-2%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $211 | 57 |
| 173 Noble St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-9%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $250 | 54 |
| 266 Hansen Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (-13%) | 0mo | $293,000 | $236 | 52 |
| 83 Oregon Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,276 (-10%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $211 | 50 |
| 104 Oregon Ave | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,515 (+6%) | 1mo | $284,900 | $188 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $24,468
- Equity at exit
- $97,573
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $89,534
- Equity at exit
- $150,371
Cash invested: $60,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23705
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,138
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,079/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $96 | -5% $35 | +0% $-27 | +5% $-88 | +10% $-149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-172 | -5% $-99 | +0% $-27 | +5% $46 | +10% $119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $83 | -0.5pp $29 | base $-27 | +0.5pp $-83 | +1.0pp $-140 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,250
- Closing costs
- $6,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Radford St Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1651 | $2,550 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3401 Brighton St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1439 | $2,195 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3717 Scott St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1157 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3607 Bart St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3626 Bart St Unit BAR3626-DF Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 9d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 70 Manly St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 300 Russell St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1534 | $2,250 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 207 Falcon Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1720 | $3,000 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3310 Glasgow St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 251 Independence St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1294 | $2,550 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2304 Nashville Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2750 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 21 DeKalb Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,550 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3728 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3754 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 26 Byers Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,575 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Unit 231 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 821 Mt Vernon Ave Unit A Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 35 Fairview Cir S Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 804 City Park Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 124 Tyler Cres E Unit B Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3509 Floyd St Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $2,400 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-04-24status Under Contract
-
2026-03-09$217,000 Active
-
2024-08-05status Under Contract
-
2024-07-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-07-14$250,000 Active
-
2019-03-14soldstatus $160,000
-
2019-02-11status Under Contract
-
2019-01-31$165,000 Active
-
2016-01-12soldstatus $132,800
-
2015-12-16status Under Contract
-
2015-12-14historical
-
2015-11-23$130,000 Active
-
2015-11-21historical
-
2015-11-05price $140,000
-
2015-11-05status Active
-
2015-10-14status Under Contract
-
2015-10-12historical
-
2015-08-26price $145,000
-
2015-08-21$150,000 Active
-
2015-08-18historical
-
2015-08-07price $150,000
-
2015-07-14price $159,900
-
2015-05-30$170,000 Active
-
2014-11-14price $54,000
-
2006-08-11soldstatus $130,000
-
2002-06-05soldstatus $64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,079 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,079 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,155
- − Property taxes
- −$3,079
- − Insurance
- −$1,085
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,772
- − Management
- −$1,772
- − Depreciation
- −$6,313
- Taxable loss
- −$4,024
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$966
- After-tax cash flow
- $647/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+239.1% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $217,000 REINMLS
- 2024-08-05 Pending — REINMLS
- 2024-07-22 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2024-07-14 Listed $250,000 REINMLS
- 2019-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2019-02-11 Pending — REINMLS
- 2019-01-31 Listed $165,000 REINMLS
- 2016-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $132,800 Public Records
- 2015-12-16 Pending — REINMLS
- 2015-12-14 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2015-11-23 Listed $130,000 REINMLS
- 2015-11-21 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2015-11-05 Price Changed $140,000 REINMLS
- 2015-11-05 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2015-10-14 Pending — REINMLS
- 2015-10-12 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2015-08-26 Price Changed $145,000 REINMLS
- 2015-08-21 Listed $150,000 REINMLS
- 2015-08-18 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2015-08-07 Price Changed $150,000 REINMLS
- 2015-07-14 Price Changed $159,900 REINMLS
- 2015-05-30 Listed $170,000 REINMLS
- 2014-11-14 Price Changed $54,000 REINMLS
- 2006-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,079 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…